Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$109

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

574

Trades

2,146

lifetime

Volume

$6.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-30

last 10-26 14:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 40% -$110

Other

4% 41% -$1

Politics

2% 38% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 385 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+12	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	10-21 12:57
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes		+4	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	09-30 12:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	16	$115	180	130	+50	Up	+$89	10-23 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3AM ET	20	$115	181	181	+0	Down	+$19	10-05 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	9	$101	203	150	+53	Down	+$37	10-23 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7AM ET	23	$91	143	125	+18	Up	+$16	10-05 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	13	$84	275	120	+155	Up	+$12	10-23 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	11	$71	165	92	+74	Down	+$1	10-23 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1PM ET	19	$70	685	606	+79	Down	+$7	10-23 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ET	20	$69	98	85	+14	Up	+$4	10-06 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	28	$67	107	107	+0	Down	+$15	10-22 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 07:30 UTC	9	$65	85	85	+0	Up	+$13	10-05 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	24	$62	70	70	+0	Down	+$14	10-21 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	11	$61	61	61	+0	Up	+$15	10-05 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	15	$61	218	98	+120	Up	+$9	10-23 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	10	$58	87	67	+20	Up	+$8	10-05 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	7	$57	88	75	+13	Up	+$37	10-23 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	12	$56	454	46	+408	Down	-$16	10-23 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	10	$54	217	125	+92	Up	-$10	10-23 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 16:50 UTC	14	$50	69	52	+17	Down	+$14	10-03 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	13	$48	99	73	+26	Up	+$2	10-23 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	6	$48	136	80	+56	Down	-$2	10-23 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	10	$46	67	62	+5	Down	+$3	10-05 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 12:20 UTC	13	$46	68	54	+14	Down	-$2	10-05 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	9	$44	103	30	+73	Up	-$18	10-05 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	8	$44	86	86	+0	Down	+$6	10-23 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:20 UTC	16	$43	46	46	+0	Up	+$19	10-04 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	21	$43	50	43	+7	Down	+$7	10-22 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	11	$43	91	87	+5	Down	+$17	10-24 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	16	$41	57	57	+0	Up	+$7	10-23 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	5	$41	49	49	+0	Up	+$11	10-23 17:55
bitcoin above 84k on september 30 2026	4	$40	43	23	+21	Yes	+$19	09-30 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x00069d…
10-26 14:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x7bb8ab…
10-26 14:55:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x3199da…
10-26 14:55:08	Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x7defbd…
10-26 14:55:00	Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x83f4f3…
10-26 08:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x35d894…
10-26 08:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x631516…
10-26 08:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x7f8ac2…
10-26 08:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6cbc7a…
10-26 08:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x0c25df…
10-26 08:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x46051d…
10-26 08:43:53	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xb585f6…
10-26 08:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x885d8a…
10-26 08:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3702af…
10-26 08:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xcbe549…
10-26 08:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf4d377…
10-26 08:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9f4458…
10-26 08:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x1ddef6…
10-26 08:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd032c1…
10-26 08:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x464a3b…
10-26 08:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x581566…
10-26 08:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xce44fa…
10-26 08:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6d2b31…
10-26 08:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xba8282…
10-26 08:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2cc2bd…
10-26 08:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x147165…
10-26 08:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf0a137…
10-26 08:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x427fa4…
10-26 08:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1d199c…
10-26 08:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x460020…
10-26 08:00:41	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xa64c9b…
10-25 14:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6837a8…
10-25 14:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x836424…
10-25 14:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x40d705…
10-25 14:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x11c1c0…
10-25 14:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x56b0d6…
10-25 14:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0x14c16d…
10-25 14:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x09ef73…
10-25 14:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xa0a01a…
10-25 14:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x60ef8c…
10-25 14:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0xdbbdce…
10-25 14:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xecd06b…
10-25 14:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x0d1f1f…
10-25 14:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x2a2110…
10-25 14:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x986db1…
10-25 14:00:17	Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x2d465f…
10-25 13:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd0500a…
10-25 13:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$2	0x335284…
10-25 13:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3ed15f…
10-25 13:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb22932…
10-25 13:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x65baae…
10-25 13:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0x9d39b1…
10-25 13:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbcea3e…
10-25 13:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3de1de…
10-25 13:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4a415b…
10-25 13:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb69299…
10-25 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x501473…
10-25 13:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd628af…
10-25 13:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdddcb1…
10-25 13:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0x5a7f4e…
10-25 13:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe96718…
10-25 13:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x345bbf…
10-25 13:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbc7ffa…
10-25 13:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xfee472…
10-25 13:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa07657…
10-25 13:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9c37b0…
10-25 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x241b7e…
10-25 13:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x018e61…
10-25 13:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xa6ad03…
10-25 13:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x53db0a…
10-25 13:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0xad1b7e…
10-25 13:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd9ba0c…
10-25 13:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0x459405…
10-25 11:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x86279e…
10-25 11:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x2cff88…
10-25 11:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6be2d5…
10-25 11:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x78822d…
10-25 11:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaa5423…
10-25 11:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0xe1a83e…
10-25 11:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xfab245…
10-25 11:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa52f86…
10-25 11:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcbf0b6…
10-25 11:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x33950b…
10-25 11:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfc1f9c…
10-25 11:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x1baedf…
10-25 11:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x9e46cd…
10-25 11:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x63be1a…
10-25 11:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe01cb4…
10-25 11:43:09	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x5770fc…
10-25 09:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaf754b…
10-25 09:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xbc608a…
10-25 09:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa51e21…
10-25 09:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5abc7c…
10-25 09:08:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0xd0cab9…
10-25 09:06:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x097773…
10-25 09:05:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x45b38c…
10-25 09:05:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0xe33356…
10-25 08:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc0a1bc…
10-24 18:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x013acc…
10-24 18:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xebec8f…