Frightened-Subsidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$356.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

772

Trades

49,078

lifetime

Volume

$2.66M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-28 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 35% -$188,367

Sports

24% 32% -$55,171

Other

22% 33% -$112,964

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 415 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta rybakin fernand 2026 04 17	60	$84.0K	56,273	55,772	+501	Elena Rybakina	+$19,277	04-17 21:16
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	138	$66.3K	60,595	60,401	+194	Warriors	+$29,520	04-16 04:44
atp glinka blanc 2026 04 15	159	$63.7K	100,475	49,869	+50,605	Daniil Glinka	-$1,868	04-17 01:22
nba por phx 2026 04 14	69	$50.4K	48,108	47,332	+776	Trail Blazers	+$11,662	04-15 05:01
nba orl bos 2026 04 12	112	$37.1K	85,763	69,204	+16,559	Celtics	+$7,823	04-13 00:41
nhl stl utah 2026 04 16	38	$36.4K	32,963	32,963	+0	Blues	+$4,433	04-17 02:11
Bulls vs. Bucks	93	$33.8K	36,894	36,894	+0	Bulls	+$9,287	10-23 22:39
atp holmgre broady 2026 04 17	428	$31.5K	86,685	86,306	+380	Liam Broady	-$7,489	04-17 15:26
nba mia cha 2026 04 14	29	$29.9K	22,544	22,228	+316	Hornets	+$12,211	04-15 02:12
nba cha orl 2026 04 17	9	$25.9K	104,703	0	+104,703	Magic	-$25,861	04-18 00:20
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	4	$25.3K	93,352	0	+93,352	Suns	-$25,315	04-18 02:46
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	40	$24.9K	22,881	22,881	+0	Trail Blazers	+$4,412	10-28 05:51
nba min den 2026 04 18	65	$20.4K	61,154	15,375	+45,779	Nuggets	-$5,917	04-18 21:26
atp silv dias 2026 04 17	6	$20.2K	39,473	7,638	+31,836	Joao Lucas Da Silva	-$11,035	04-17 18:26
Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima	5	$19.7K	17,501	17,499	+3	Mary Stoiana	+$7,703	10-22 06:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 08:50 UTC	828	$19.3K	14,976	14,976	+0	Down	+$3,446	03-24 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 09:10 UTC	792	$19.3K	15,000	14,996	+4	Down	+$4,274	03-24 09:15
wta muchova gauff 2026 04 17	15	$18.6K	61,423	127	+61,297	Karolina Muchova	-$18,397	04-17 14:54
atp kotov simakin 2026 04 09	39	$18.0K	17,547	17,274	+273	Pavel Kotov	+$7,099	04-10 06:36
atp glinka kennedy 2026 04 17	55	$17.5K	41,673	0	+41,673	Jack Kennedy	-$17,500	04-17 22:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 20:00 UTC	100	$17.4K	12,649	12,184	+465	Up	+$5,757	04-05 20:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 05:00 UTC	296	$17.2K	12,249	12,182	+67	Down	+$4,730	04-13 05:12
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees	6	$15.3K	13,174	13,012	+162	New York Yankees	-$64	04-19 18:39
atp bu walton 2026 04 16	86	$15.3K	42,594	0	+42,594	Yunchaokete Bu	-$15,263	04-17 02:48
nba det cha 2026 04 10	33	$15.3K	19,380	10,000	+9,380	Pistons	-$4,627	04-11 01:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 13:00 UTC	404	$14.9K	11,885	11,864	+21	Up	+$3,095	03-28 13:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 02:00 UTC	139	$14.9K	10,000	9,939	+61	Up	+$4,839	04-12 02:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 05:30 UTC	392	$14.1K	10,272	10,222	+50	Down	+$3,709	04-13 05:43
Japan Women's Open: Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova	10	$13.9K	44,250	27,934	+16,316	Katerina Siniakova	-$9,183	10-22 07:52
atp fonseca shelton 2026 04 17	5	$13.5K	26,552	0	+26,552	Ben Shelton	-$13,515	04-17 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	703	32¢	$225	0xa85d6a…
10-28 12:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	848	29¢	$250	0xa7acd5…
10-28 12:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	760	33¢	$250	0x0203ba…
10-28 12:49:07	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x84fb97…
10-28 12:48:04	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe7cf9d…
10-28 12:48:04	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x1faf5c…
10-28 12:47:46	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	190	15¢	$28	0x74f8f5…
10-28 12:47:46	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x4c6b08…
10-28 12:47:31	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8bb317…
10-28 12:47:04	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xbee054…
10-28 12:47:01	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xaaec31…
10-28 12:47:01	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x8a0b01…
10-28 12:46:49	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb91363…
10-28 12:46:32	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	130	14¢	$18	0xec817a…
10-28 12:46:32	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x6762f8…
10-28 12:46:32	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x0fd9ab…
10-28 12:46:26	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe05425…
10-28 12:46:22	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc0f367…
10-28 12:46:16	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xaf8a2b…
10-28 12:46:08	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xcbd6b1…
10-28 12:45:53	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	230	13¢	$30	0x8a9063…
10-28 12:45:53	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x86e930…
10-28 12:45:53	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x052f8b…
10-28 12:45:49	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x4bf45f…
10-28 12:45:44	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x85f66f…
10-28 12:45:35	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xf89ded…
10-28 12:45:35	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe52446…
10-28 12:45:25	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xbbc7ce…
10-28 12:45:25	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	170	13¢	$22	0x08f453…
10-28 12:45:16	Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 28, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	210	10¢	$21	0xed2028…
10-28 12:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,087	23¢	$250	0x1e1ba4…
10-28 12:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	781	32¢	$250	0x4ebfe3…
10-28 11:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,987	22¢	$432	0x2ac2d4…
10-28 11:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,190	22¢	$260	0xf03a38…
10-28 11:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,016	24¢	$240	0xabbb27…
10-28 11:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	286	14¢	$40	0x354e7e…
10-28 10:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,482	9¢	$135	0xcc9cf8…
10-28 10:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	149	10¢	$15	0x003de1…
10-28 10:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,497	26¢	$383	0x2f6665…
10-28 10:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	432	27¢	$117	0x152d06…
10-28 10:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,030	49¢	$500	0x961034…
10-28 10:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	829	71¢	$590	0x12296f…
10-28 10:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	276	74¢	$204	0x24ca07…
10-28 10:47:23	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	SELL	170	56¢	$95	0xe84000…
10-28 10:47:23	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x263505…
10-28 10:47:08	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	SELL	176	56¢	$98	0x0767fb…
10-28 10:46:29	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xc82e58…
10-28 10:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	374	68¢	$254	0x290386…
10-28 10:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa3a359…
10-28 10:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5b9667…
10-28 10:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3f4ef5…
10-28 10:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7c0488…
10-28 10:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb7cb2d…
10-28 10:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe9a186…
10-28 10:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd39d8f…
10-28 10:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x568d9f…
10-28 10:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	333	45¢	$150	0x5bf697…
10-28 10:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	1,105	45¢	$500	0x252a4e…
10-28 10:32:44	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcd0f06…
10-28 10:32:37	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x438479…
10-28 10:32:34	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdfe229…
10-28 10:32:29	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xecbc39…
10-28 10:32:26	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd40a52…
10-28 10:32:26	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4b6624…
10-28 10:32:25	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7f6f37…
10-28 10:32:22	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8cee38…
10-28 10:32:22	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5013d7…
10-28 10:32:22	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4c20cc…
10-28 10:32:19	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf9f8ca…
10-28 10:32:19	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9ab8ac…
10-28 10:32:17	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd9a714…
10-28 10:31:41	Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 28, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd0ebfd…
10-28 10:29:08	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc14162…
10-28 10:29:08	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x171c81…
10-28 10:29:04	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x9f15ed…
10-28 10:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,845	15¢	$282	0xf3cbb3…
10-28 10:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	396	18¢	$71	0x9f931a…
10-28 10:26:05	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xec98dd…
10-28 10:26:05	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x9e26b8…
10-28 10:26:05	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x86e62e…
10-28 10:26:05	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x782370…
10-28 10:26:05	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5a306c…
10-28 10:26:04	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf9e215…
10-28 10:26:04	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe02596…
10-28 10:26:04	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x689e40…
10-28 10:26:04	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x52a6d9…
10-28 10:26:04	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	150	42¢	$63	0x4f5e68…
10-28 10:26:04	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2b6f4c…
10-28 10:26:04	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x29e5fb…
10-28 10:26:04	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0x09e772…
10-28 10:26:04	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x05c5cd…
10-28 10:25:56	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdbb725…
10-28 10:25:52	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb749c3…
10-28 10:25:52	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x842ef8…
10-28 10:25:52	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x26ec5e…
10-28 10:25:49	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfca012…
10-28 10:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	593	24¢	$142	0x82f37e…
10-28 10:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	907	26¢	$236	0x314bb6…
10-28 10:25:47	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa8977b…
10-28 10:25:47	bitcoin above 81600 on october 28 2026 7am et	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x701a96…