Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$278

Unrealized P&L

+$32

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

178

Trades

322

lifetime

Volume

$2.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$102

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-31 04:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

56% 37% +$39

Crypto

28% 42% -$149

Politics

14% 25% -$123

Sports

2% 0% -$46

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+43	$20	90¢	$39	+$19	10-02 03:43
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Yes	+37	$10	60¢	$22	+$12	09-13 03:25
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+37	$10	45¢	$16	+$7	07-09 21:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+69	$20	20¢	$14	-$6	09-28 03:01
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+50	$10	20¢	$10	$0	07-29 13:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$97	57	57	+0	No	+$17	04-15 04:33
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	2	$72	59	59	+0	Under	+$12	06-19 20:21
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$70	95	0	+95	Spain	+$25	07-19 21:47
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	2	$67	52	52	+0	Over	+$37	06-14 19:07
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total home 2pt5	4	$66	117	117	+0	Under	-$16	06-21 19:54
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$65	237	0	+237	No	-$65	04-21 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	7	$59	33	33	+0	Down	+$7	10-31 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	8	$59	75	75	+0	Up	-$1	10-31 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	6	$57	32	32	+0	Up	+$7	10-31 04:09
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$57	0	57	-57	Yes	-$1	06-28 22:32
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$57	33	33	+0	Yes	+$7	04-13 00:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	5	$52	66	57	+9	Up	+$20	10-14 04:54
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	2	$52	42	42	+0	Yes	+$32	06-30 03:01
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	3	$49	66	66	+0	Under	-$21	06-21 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:10 UTC	4	$48	77	22	+56	Down	+$3	04-15 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:30 UTC	3	$47	83	0	+83	Down	-$47	04-15 04:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	6	$47	52	27	+25	Down	+$3	10-15 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	9	$46	44	44	+0	Down	+$10	10-31 03:48
Argentina leading at halftime?	4	$46	36	36	+0	Yes	+$16	06-17 01:29
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$42	32	32	+0	Yes	+$22	06-22 00:19
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	2	$40	86	0	+86	No	-$40	07-19 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	8	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	10-31 04:02
fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	2	$36	86	0	+86	Under	-$36	06-19 20:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:35 UTC	3	$35	79	0	+79	Up	-$35	10-15 05:36
msft up or down on april 13 2026	2	$34	24	24	+1	Up	+$14	04-13 18:24
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?	2	$33	24	24	+0	No	+$13	09-28 03:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$30	110	0	+110	No	-$30	08-10 00:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:15 UTC	2	$30	46	0	+46	Down	-$30	04-15 04:18
fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	3	$30	66	0	+66	Under	-$30	06-18 13:06
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	3	$30	47	0	+47	No	-$30	07-06 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9a7244…
10-31 04:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2f8693…
10-31 04:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6221f5…
10-31 04:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0x97833c…
10-31 04:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4e538d…
10-31 04:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9f4e30…
10-31 04:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x33bdc4…
10-31 04:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf553e9…
10-31 04:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0xf6eb85…
10-31 04:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd7f90f…
10-31 04:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xaec3b7…
10-31 04:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xcabeeb…
10-31 04:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x473ba5…
10-31 04:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6d21b4…
10-31 04:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xf60df6…
10-31 04:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x525d4f…
10-31 04:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4db224…
10-31 04:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5d5886…
10-31 04:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2faf0e…
10-31 04:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xffe2c4…
10-31 04:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfca996…
10-31 04:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1814e7…
10-31 04:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x321e4c…
10-31 04:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbf7d4a…
10-31 04:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x999abd…
10-31 04:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x710a60…
10-31 04:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3772f3…
10-31 04:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe40e33…
10-31 04:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf7a174…
10-31 03:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc8ce06…
10-31 03:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa55d15…
10-31 03:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xac8a97…
10-31 03:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	52	12¢	$6	0x17d472…
10-31 03:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc3bf71…
10-31 03:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x270aa9…
10-31 03:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xba7248…
10-31 03:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xdbe65f…
10-31 03:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x11dec8…
10-31 03:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8b9214…
10-31 03:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb21124…
10-31 03:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x883760…
10-31 03:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdffed4…
10-31 03:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8ffea8…
10-31 03:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0x868094…
10-31 03:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x216bd5…
10-31 03:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc192eb…
10-31 03:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0dc355…
10-31 03:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xeb2d17…
10-31 03:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	27	49¢	$13	0x5a6eda…
10-31 03:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x17cf67…
10-31 03:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc4defe…
10-31 03:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9fa586…
10-20 23:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2ce63b…
10-17 02:59:20	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8a5e8b…
10-15 05:36:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x559abc…
10-15 05:35:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2d0853…
10-15 05:35:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x92ced3…
10-15 05:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x92c3f8…
10-15 05:19:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xcaba75…
10-15 05:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0xe41ba1…
10-15 05:17:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb65116…
10-15 05:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9a2ccf…
10-15 05:16:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4ea250…
10-15 05:15:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x15c6b5…
10-14 05:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:05 UTC	Up	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x7447f0…
10-14 05:06:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc7bc5a…
10-14 05:05:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:05 UTC	Up	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0xbf6218…
10-14 05:05:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x035951…
10-14 05:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0x2596c3…
10-14 05:00:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xeaa56b…
10-14 04:57:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb630a4…
10-14 04:56:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa08d00…
10-14 04:54:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe945c3…
10-14 04:53:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	Up	SELL	57	64¢	$36	0x70ea5c…
10-14 04:53:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4fea70…
10-14 04:52:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7046bf…
10-14 04:52:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb0934a…
10-14 04:49:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf44bdf…
10-14 04:48:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x327cf0…
10-14 04:48:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9498f3…
10-14 04:33:08	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5d6472…
10-14 04:31:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x693194…
10-14 04:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x641675…
10-14 04:31:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe984dd…
10-14 04:27:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x6c1ffc…
10-10 23:20:30	Club Universitario de Deportes leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcb8991…
10-10 23:19:55	Club Universitario de Deportes leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x17d902…
10-02 03:43:17	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x9d592a…
09-28 03:04:51	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xdc141e…
09-28 03:01:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xdf5382…
09-13 04:20:46	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xd71a5e…
09-13 03:25:33	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x72e665…
09-13 03:24:52	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8251ef…
09-10 12:11:43	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7375eb…
08-10 00:22:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xcbe5d5…
08-10 00:21:52	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xcec360…
07-29 13:09:41	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc34c66…
07-19 21:47:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xac74aa…
07-19 21:34:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xcf885c…
07-19 21:33:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xf47b10…