Alarmed-Conifer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

Trades

833

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-31 00:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

50% — —

Crypto

44% 22% +$19

Sports

6% 0% $-30

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	4	$2.1K	1,260	1,272	-12	open	—	03-22 13:36
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	3	$1.6K	904	1,681	-777	open	—	04-02 18:05
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	2	$1.5K	774	774	+0	open	—	03-31 18:57
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	2	$1.3K	902	888	+14	open	—	04-22 17:10
atp alcaraz korda 2026 03 22	1	$998	1,559	0	+1,559	open	—	03-22 19:50
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	3	$868	1,108	0	+1,108	open	—	04-02 18:12
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	1	$500	588	0	+588	open	—	03-25 14:47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$490	614	0	+614	open	—	04-23 19:26
btc updown 5m 1776312600	15	$448	561	533	+27	open	—	04-16 04:13
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	9	$365	907	897	+11	open	—	03-16 19:24
btc updown 5m 1776042300	2	$356	259	251	+9	open	—	04-13 01:08
btc updown 5m 1776019200	2	$355	208	204	+4	open	—	04-12 18:45
btc updown 5m 1773174300	4	$290	408	405	+2	open	—	03-10 20:30
btc updown 5m 1776312300	20	$273	271	259	+13	open	—	04-16 04:06
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	1	$269	316	0	+316	open	—	03-17 19:44
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	7	$256	217	254	-37	open	—	03-17 15:17
btc updown 5m 1776041700	2	$244	149	145	+3	open	—	04-13 01:00
btc updown 5m 1773179400	3	$242	217	132	+85	open	—	03-10 21:55
atp alcaraz sinner 2026 04 12	4	$240	339	292	+47	open	—	04-12 15:14
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	2	$237	158	157	+1	open	—	04-14 15:26
btc updown 5m 1773179100	3	$229	198	120	+78	open	—	03-10 21:50
btc updown 5m 1773179700	3	$212	326	133	+193	open	—	03-10 22:00
btc updown 5m 1773174600	4	$209	283	171	+112	open	—	03-10 20:35
btc updown 5m 1773176100	2	$198	428	424	+3	open	—	03-10 20:59
nba por den 2026 03 22	2	$167	93	93	+0	open	—	03-22 23:18
btc updown 5m 1773177300	3	$166	168	107	+61	open	—	03-10 21:20
btc updown 5m 1773180300	3	$162	208	82	+126	open	—	03-10 22:10
btc updown 5m 1773180000	4	$159	382	244	+138	open	—	03-10 22:04
btc updown 5m 1773175500	3	$159	256	99	+157	open	—	03-10 20:49
btc updown 5m 1773180600	4	$153	177	74	+103	open	—	03-10 22:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 00:55:18	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe23c74…
05-28 22:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd3c29f…
05-20 15:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5be035…
05-20 15:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe4ba51…
05-20 15:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf85b8f…
05-20 15:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x365b89…
05-20 15:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb9cc2f…
05-20 13:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x7e52f2…
05-18 16:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x19f3d7…
05-18 16:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc8ebf2…
05-18 15:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3879c5…
05-18 15:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4289a0…
05-18 15:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3b5e94…
05-18 15:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x922abf…
05-18 15:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x333666…
05-18 15:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3c3d28…
05-18 15:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd17c50…
05-12 18:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x653e2a…
05-12 18:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x9ac354…
05-12 17:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x6e0b01…
05-12 17:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0xe4fbfc…
05-12 17:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x9d4522…
05-12 17:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x34a4f9…
05-12 17:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xce3531…
05-12 17:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcb4bc0…
05-12 17:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x10abbc…
05-12 17:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xcd5a97…
05-12 17:22:05	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x16af4f…
05-10 13:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6e76be…
05-10 13:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x65f8fd…
05-10 13:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x34a412…
05-10 13:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa2f1dd…
05-10 13:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6939e4…
05-10 10:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xb8464c…
05-09 23:00:41	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x1e265b…
05-06 11:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0xb3461a…
05-06 11:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x30f781…
05-06 11:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x018f3e…
05-05 16:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x3ba774…
05-05 11:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4ef209…
05-05 11:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xec79b2…
05-05 11:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xeadd2c…
05-05 10:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6f663c…
05-05 10:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x04a3e4…
05-04 22:12:38	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x06412e…
05-04 22:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xcb1b85…
05-04 22:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x569516…
05-04 21:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x73c119…
05-04 21:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x5a3c8a…
05-04 21:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	24	93¢	$22	0x6ad21e…
05-04 21:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xfb40ac…
05-04 20:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc7a8cf…
05-04 19:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x6d6446…
05-04 16:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x803d6b…
05-04 16:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x463c7f…
05-04 16:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x0d8d1b…
05-04 16:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x74c6c1…
05-04 16:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5d3c65…
05-04 16:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xbae0ca…
05-04 16:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xd11c85…
05-04 16:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x7195c5…
05-04 16:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x24c3dd…
05-04 16:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x1db59b…
05-04 16:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x4195f1…
05-04 15:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2be7ad…
05-04 15:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x29a16c…
05-04 15:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x749745…
05-04 15:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x142d53…
05-04 15:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0xb182e6…
05-04 15:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x43570e…
05-04 15:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xef2753…
05-04 15:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x28fe45…
05-04 15:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8a8435…
05-04 15:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x704d61…
05-04 15:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x13163a…
05-04 15:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9ca0b5…
05-04 15:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xacaea4…
05-04 15:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0xcdc222…
05-04 15:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x25bd7f…
05-04 15:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x4f08d6…
05-04 15:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	71	5¢	$3	0x8aeb3d…
05-04 15:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x239131…
05-04 15:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	158	3¢	$5	0x8a9e88…
05-04 15:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x0eadcb…
05-04 14:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x11671f…
05-04 14:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x7898e0…
05-04 14:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	62	94¢	$59	0x32d367…
05-04 14:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xec761e…
05-04 13:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf19574…
05-04 13:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x316d6c…
05-04 13:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4c5f3c…
05-04 13:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7326cb…
05-04 13:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc14bf3…
05-04 13:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xcda344…
05-04 12:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x533195…
05-04 12:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x7b1d17…
05-04 12:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd95df0…
05-04 12:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x51cb98…
05-04 12:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x93fb62…
05-03 21:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8ef1fa…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	301	$39.7K	7,727	05-28 22:58
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	282	$13.7K	3,232	05-12 18:09
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	280	$244.0K	2,441	05-31 03:04
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	272	$7.94K	1,644	05-28 22:55
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	269	$97.7K	13,262	05-28 22:58
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	265	$157.6K	5,791	05-31 03:05
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	260	$562	1,246	05-28 22:58
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	259	$99.9K	15,965	05-30 23:50