Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

338

Trades

677

lifetime

Volume

$878

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 09-19 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 75% -$19

Other

22% 18% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$10	0¢	$2	-$8	08-31 14:59
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+360	$5	0¢	$1	-$4	09-01 15:06
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+437	$4	0¢	$1	-$3	08-31 14:59
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+250	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-24 14:03
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+45	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-31 14:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$37	2,997	2,637	+360	open	—	09-01 15:06
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$22	4,000	3,000	+1,000	open	—	08-31 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:00 UTC	2	$14	14	14	+0	Up	+$12	03-11 11:05
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$14	2,913	2,476	+437	open	—	08-31 14:59
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	5	$13	15	15	+0	No	+$3	03-12 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$11	37	37	+0	Up	+$7	09-13 08:44
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$11	195	150	+45	open	—	08-31 14:58
Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	4	$10	12	12	+0	Yes	+$8	09-12 15:58
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	4	$10	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 00:20
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$10	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 00:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$9	14	14	+0	Yes	-$1	03-12 00:11
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	3	$7	524	0	+524	Yes	-$7	03-10 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:25 UTC	4	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	09-13 09:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:15 UTC	5	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	09-13 09:19
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	06-29 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:20 UTC	5	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	09-13 09:24
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by march 13 213 135 835	4	$6	633	0	+633	Yes	-$6	03-11 02:11
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-12?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	09-12 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 00:15 UTC	4	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	03-12 00:24
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	4	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	03-12 15:13
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	3	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	03-12 00:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:40 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	09-13 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	09-13 10:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 01:10 UTC	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	03-14 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 11:15 UTC	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	03-13 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	09-13 10:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:55 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	09-13 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:05 UTC	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	09-13 09:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 09:45 UTC	4	$4	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	03-13 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	09-13 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 13:31:20	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x248b15…
09-19 13:27:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x416499…
09-19 13:22:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x05d67f…
09-19 13:20:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x773e3f…
09-19 13:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb47525…
09-19 13:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1aae19…
09-19 13:15:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xeaf30f…
09-19 13:12:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd36761…
09-19 13:08:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x81c86d…
09-19 13:06:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc56c1e…
09-19 13:01:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd4814a…
09-19 12:52:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3931e1…
09-19 12:51:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe587e9…
09-19 12:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe34ef7…
09-19 12:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x85ec8f…
09-19 12:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3acc9f…
09-19 12:42:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x73a83e…
09-19 10:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x167e78…
09-19 10:41:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe6184c…
09-19 10:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x075232…
09-19 10:36:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x009e1e…
09-19 10:34:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0376f7…
09-19 10:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6c2bda…
09-19 10:24:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe1fcfd…
09-19 10:20:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa106bc…
09-19 10:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x246ad3…
09-19 10:16:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf40ebb…
09-19 10:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x36da44…
09-19 10:11:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x207364…
09-19 10:11:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe83fb9…
09-19 10:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x61b1f0…
09-19 02:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd5323d…
09-19 02:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x28aac2…
09-19 02:24:54	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xc1eac5…
09-16 05:02:43	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe84757…
09-16 05:02:33	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xec7164…
09-16 05:01:43	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf677ac…
09-16 05:01:27	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x872b3d…
09-16 05:01:07	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa7ac18…
09-16 05:00:48	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb5fe92…
09-15 15:08:52	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x12dce3…
09-15 15:08:33	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1a9376…
09-15 15:08:13	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4b24c7…
09-14 07:14:19	Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)	Newcastle United FC	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbdef40…
09-14 02:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa76fab…
09-14 01:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0fc045…
09-14 01:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe333f5…
09-13 15:20:37	RB Leipzig vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x1aea4f…
09-13 15:03:19	Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1e9967…
09-13 15:03:12	Will PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x78dcdd…
09-13 12:30:34	Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)	Málaga CF	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x09db2d…
09-13 12:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x47fafe…
09-13 11:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5542f8…
09-13 11:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3ba242…
09-13 11:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4896a1…
09-13 11:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdd21c1…
09-13 11:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x48515d…
09-13 11:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd89b92…
09-13 11:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x769435…
09-13 11:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6d249a…
09-13 11:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x92d87c…
09-13 11:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa3e408…
09-13 11:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xabc98a…
09-13 11:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x80edd9…
09-13 11:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa331e0…
09-13 11:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8475ea…
09-13 11:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xad7dab…
09-13 11:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x60bb46…
09-13 11:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf7d9e6…
09-13 11:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x34282f…
09-13 11:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0bbb8b…
09-13 10:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x91d8e5…
09-13 10:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xae7593…
09-13 10:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc808c0…
09-13 10:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x513a4c…
09-13 10:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb9da5d…
09-13 10:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6137a3…
09-13 10:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf13747…
09-13 10:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x212c31…
09-13 10:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf2c568…
09-13 10:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xec82b1…
09-13 10:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf6e1de…
09-13 10:17:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd10468…
09-13 09:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x4bc42e…
09-13 09:56:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x95d079…
09-13 09:46:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb62ba3…
09-13 09:45:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x16a059…
09-13 09:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x9ba08f…
09-13 09:40:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa1d650…
09-13 09:36:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd23faf…
09-13 09:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x064f07…
09-13 09:33:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf35ac9…
09-13 09:31:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf7cb71…
09-13 09:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x03ccf7…
09-13 09:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa98f37…
09-13 09:25:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0a5743…
09-13 09:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x717367…
09-13 09:24:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf4dd26…
09-13 09:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6cbf43…
09-13 09:22:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x6c4eb9…