Smoggy-Planet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.76K

Unrealized P&L

+$31

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

747

Trades

7,008

lifetime

Volume

$535.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$664

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 11-04 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Other

95% 64% +$25

Politics

2% 61% -$916

Crypto

1% 69% -$931

Sports

1% 25% -$34

Tech

0% 50% +$94

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No		+582	$560	98¢	$568	+$8	11-04 14:19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes		+316	$73	30¢	$96	+$24	11-04 13:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on May 29?	32	$12.3K	6,278	6,278	+0	No	+$271	05-30 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	27	$7.0K	3,657	3,656	+1	Yes	+$276	05-27 16:19
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	10	$6.4K	3,665	3,665	+0	Knicks	-$29	06-11 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6?	22	$6.1K	3,148	3,148	+0	No	+$150	09-06 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	70	$5.8K	3,028	3,028	+0	No	+$67	08-12 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7?	20	$5.2K	2,595	2,595	+0	No	+$12	08-07 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 21?	40	$4.6K	2,363	2,363	-0	No	+$124	09-21 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5?	55	$4.6K	2,284	2,284	+0	No	+$4	08-05 03:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	23	$4.5K	2,323	2,323	+0	Yes	+$103	09-14 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7?	39	$4.5K	3,475	3,059	+416	No	+$24	08-07 10:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?	41	$4.2K	2,416	1,892	+524	Yes	+$47	09-15 20:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3?	11	$4.1K	4,144	0	+4,144	No	+$4	09-03 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?	16	$4.1K	2,047	2,047	-0	Yes	+$37	07-01 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	23	$3.9K	2,011	2,011	+0	No	+$52	06-05 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	1	$3.8K	3,800	0	+3,800	No	+$4	08-11 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 28?	32	$3.8K	1,993	2,054	-62	No	+$25	07-28 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?	11	$3.7K	1,919	1,919	+0	No	+$154	05-30 07:24
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 6?	49	$3.6K	2,817	970	+1,847	No	+$122	09-06 10:39
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	8	$3.5K	2,436	1,098	+1,337	No	+$11	11-03 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 9?	19	$3.5K	1,747	1,747	+0	No	+$0	08-09 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 15?	6	$3.4K	1,724	1,724	+0	No	+$1	07-15 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 23?	9	$3.4K	1,703	1,703	-0	No	+$2	07-23 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 9?	18	$3.4K	1,747	1,747	+0	No	+$13	08-09 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	1	$3.4K	3,400	0	+3,400	Yes	+$3	07-31 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?	19	$3.4K	3,454	211	+3,243	Yes	+$18	05-30 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?	10	$3.4K	3,364	0	+3,364	No	+$4	09-30 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?	16	$3.2K	3,263	164	+3,099	Yes	+$7	08-10 00:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?	26	$3.2K	3,329	217	+3,112	Yes	+$165	08-06 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 28?	33	$3.0K	2,700	1,020	+1,680	No	+$12	05-28 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 10?	1	$3.0K	2,989	0	+2,989	No	+$3	06-10 07:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:24:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	79	10¢	$8	0x3aad08…
11-04 14:54:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x999087…
11-04 14:39:19	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x86a532…
11-04 14:38:00	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x1fc848…
11-04 14:24:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	246	98¢	$242	0x5da7b0…
11-04 14:24:27	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x64e48d…
11-04 14:24:21	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6a5df2…
11-04 14:19:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	119	95¢	$113	0xc0a086…
11-04 14:17:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	148	97¢	$144	0x82af5e…
11-04 14:17:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$145	0xa341a8…
11-04 14:04:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0x11f763…
11-04 13:48:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	98	10¢	$10	0x440900…
11-04 13:47:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	316	23¢	$73	0x92bac5…
11-04 12:33:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0xe81b3f…
11-04 11:11:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	116	14¢	$16	0x0368b5…
11-04 11:11:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3f407f…
11-04 09:42:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$289	0x487f32…
11-04 09:41:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	165	17¢	$28	0xeb6dc8…
11-04 09:40:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	340	100¢	$340	0x1a8607…
11-04 07:17:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	119	96¢	$114	0x38c049…
11-04 07:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	106	98¢	$104	0x897ee5…
11-04 06:30:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$24	0xea5660…
11-04 06:29:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x11af0c…
11-04 06:29:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	254	97¢	$247	0x8e180c…
11-04 06:28:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xf90219…
11-04 06:28:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x68a834…
11-04 06:10:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x781ef7…
11-04 06:08:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	477	100¢	$476	0xfbcb04…
11-04 05:41:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	115	94¢	$108	0x777119…
11-04 05:41:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	205	93¢	$192	0x01247b…
11-04 04:46:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xdd2bd7…
11-04 04:43:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xfd1355…
11-04 04:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xe942af…
11-04 04:37:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x2762ca…
11-04 04:37:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x26d178…
11-04 03:22:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	462	93¢	$428	0x5b10be…
11-04 03:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	519	99¢	$513	0xef8794…
11-03 17:51:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x15e7f1…
11-03 17:45:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xdae8e4…
11-03 17:45:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x59d92b…
11-03 17:40:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x17514b…
11-03 17:40:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xdb6cf5…
11-03 17:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xfdb018…
11-03 17:37:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x6181eb…
11-03 16:58:10	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1,425	100¢	$1,422	0x505e98…
11-03 16:54:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	247	91¢	$225	0x1107b7…
11-03 16:40:10	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	91¢	$128	0x5b5419…
11-03 16:39:31	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	90¢	$42	0xe0bfa2…
11-03 16:38:57	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	92¢	$173	0xcff160…
11-03 16:31:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	97¢	$70	0x271c81…
11-03 16:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xfa5cad…
11-03 16:30:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0x863db7…
11-03 16:30:01	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x0491cd…
11-03 16:29:49	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	96¢	$98	0x121690…
11-03 16:29:42	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0xda1d8a…
11-03 16:26:00	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	4¢	$3	0x6ecc43…
11-03 16:23:46	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x3dd983…
11-03 16:23:16	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x469521…
11-03 16:23:10	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x2b051e…
11-03 16:13:13	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	20¢	$25	0x28b3d0…
11-03 15:25:51	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x497743…
11-03 15:25:42	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x5ddaa0…
11-03 15:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x92ce4d…
11-03 15:25:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x0e26b3…
11-03 15:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0xef7da3…
11-03 15:12:51	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	750	99¢	$742	0x9ef44c…
11-03 14:42:31	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	29¢	$11	0x8cc500…
11-03 14:42:27	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x08b8d9…
11-03 14:26:49	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x461350…
11-03 13:15:46	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfdf1f3…
11-03 13:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	340	99¢	$336	0x8beb12…
11-03 13:04:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	802	100¢	$799	0x6d113a…
11-03 13:03:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x96f858…
11-03 13:01:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xa40125…
11-03 13:00:40	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	32	90¢	$29	0x94326b…
11-03 13:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x396968…
11-03 13:00:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0xf496b1…
11-03 13:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x2cf83b…
11-03 11:14:00	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,337	100¢	$1,335	0xab23df…
11-03 08:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 3?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x27743e…
11-03 08:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 3?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xbd0bb3…
11-03 08:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 3?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfaa3c0…
11-03 08:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 3?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x864edf…
11-03 08:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	25	57¢	$15	0xf6b3dd…
11-03 08:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x6a3155…
11-03 08:24:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x4cb175…
11-03 08:07:54	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	787	100¢	$785	0x4481eb…
11-03 08:06:06	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xc1b0d0…
11-03 07:57:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xea9258…
11-03 07:56:04	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x6a74e1…
11-03 07:55:43	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7e90c3…
11-03 07:44:21	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xed2aff…
11-03 07:44:10	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3fa2bf…
11-03 06:34:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	107	70¢	$75	0x0afa4a…
11-03 06:11:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	128	76¢	$98	0x417722…
11-03 06:11:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0x602cb3…
11-03 06:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	979	100¢	$975	0x06ceaf…
11-03 05:52:55	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xaae0a6…
11-03 05:52:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x73f1f3…
11-03 05:46:31	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$118	0xc9311a…