Big-Hearted-Going — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

Trades

944

lifetime

Volume

$4.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 06-28 19:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

38% 67% +$9

Crypto

35% 40% $-5

Politics

19% 33% +$60

Sports

6% 0% $-4

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		-10	$-1	10¢	$-1	$-0	06-22 16:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774656000	6	$231	329	325	+3	open	—	03-28 00:06
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	8	$229	138	138	+0	open	—	03-05 18:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$189	600	300	+300	open	—	05-27 08:38
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	12	$147	120	120	+0	open	—	06-24 18:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	7	$115	170	90	+80	open	—	05-29 19:37
btc updown 5m 1774654800	2	$112	60	60	+0	open	—	03-27 23:44
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	3	$103	89	89	+0	open	—	03-06 04:11
btc updown 5m 1774653900	7	$101	71	64	+7	open	—	03-27 23:29
f1 australian grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 07	6	$73	660	660	+0	open	—	03-08 05:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	2	$72	41	41	+0	open	—	06-25 05:49
will iran strike cyprus in march	6	$70	211	211	+0	open	—	03-05 16:18
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$68	42	42	+0	open	—	03-05 05:01
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$68	42	42	+0	open	—	03-08 20:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	6	$66	68	68	+0	open	—	06-25 16:51
btc updown 5m 1774653000	4	$66	37	37	+0	open	—	03-27 23:14
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$60	230	240	-10	open	—	06-24 02:21
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$60	233	233	+0	open	—	03-05 20:32
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$58	1,957	36	+1,921	open	—	04-29 19:56
fif che ger 2026 03 27 ger	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	03-27 21:38
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	4	$56	600	200	+400	open	—	02-02 14:40
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tech signing event on wednesday	3	$53	144	144	+0	open	—	03-04 18:57
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	7	$51	50	50	+0	open	—	06-16 08:29
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	3	$48	29	29	+0	open	—	06-07 15:09
f1 australian grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 07	7	$43	190	81	+109	open	—	03-08 05:04
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	3	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	06-15 05:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$39	60	0	+60	open	—	05-12 06:03
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	3	$38	28	28	+0	open	—	03-05 14:56
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$37	26	26	+0	open	—	03-09 12:53
col cry zri 2026 02 26 draw	4	$36	382	382	+0	open	—	02-26 21:24
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	5	$36	120	120	+0	open	—	06-16 05:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 19:46:10	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$4	0xa19dc2…
06-28 07:39:56	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	89	2¢	$2	0xdc2ab6…
06-27 22:12:34	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x8960db…
06-27 22:12:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x5510ce…
06-27 20:53:25	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	9¢	$13	0x8aa4f6…
06-27 20:49:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	8¢	$8	0xde367b…
06-27 02:04:07	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	184	1¢	$2	0x37af8b…
06-25 16:51:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0xe2d3ad…
06-25 16:48:58	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x885909…
06-25 05:49:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	41	87¢	$36	0x93a120…
06-25 02:59:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	41	87¢	$36	0x512541…
06-25 02:53:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x58de36…
06-24 18:28:56	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	25	79¢	$20	0x9e7423…
06-24 18:02:35	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x5e53ec…
06-24 17:59:10	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	25	79¢	$20	0xd816cc…
06-24 17:53:02	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xc121e8…
06-24 15:41:44	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x49ef11…
06-24 13:59:56	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	56	70¢	$39	0x6f6d48…
06-24 10:31:08	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x23a062…
06-24 08:47:14	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xd2da40…
06-24 02:23:07	will trump speak to xi jinping in june	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x128c49…
06-24 02:21:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xeee2e9…
06-24 02:21:05	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x81ee01…
06-23 22:29:19	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x8a06a0…
06-23 14:23:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x23f385…
06-23 14:05:49	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x30be1a…
06-23 06:08:13	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x90f79b…
06-22 19:24:23	will trump speak to xi jinping in june	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xb259c2…
06-22 16:03:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	9¢	$4	0x61b114…
06-22 13:16:07	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7d3122…
06-22 13:12:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xa51ead…
06-22 13:11:58	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x0adbb5…
06-22 10:34:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x04ecf5…
06-22 10:31:55	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x842aa2…
06-22 10:31:28	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x075702…
06-22 07:58:59	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x578e5f…
06-22 07:57:58	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x86c4aa…
06-22 04:05:35	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x1e34cf…
06-22 04:04:02	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xa97bad…
06-21 20:11:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6b425f…
06-21 15:52:47	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	14¢	$4	0x83dd25…
06-21 14:10:01	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0xcfd59d…
06-21 13:22:46	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xa62780…
06-21 12:59:22	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xf9da65…
06-20 17:04:16	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7d42b4…
06-20 16:12:50	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x213c73…
06-20 16:12:50	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x065904…
06-20 16:12:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe52971…
06-20 16:12:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9cd0a9…
06-20 16:11:20	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0xcaafac…
06-20 16:07:41	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9cbe3e…
06-20 16:07:40	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb28101…
06-20 16:07:38	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8f7d48…
06-20 16:07:38	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2a64a6…
06-20 16:00:53	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0xd7e754…
06-19 18:31:29	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x73ee01…
06-19 15:01:37	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xfdfd73…
06-19 10:57:47	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xa2f837…
06-19 10:57:46	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x318fb0…
06-19 10:55:50	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0x5fac46…
06-19 09:07:05	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x493a02…
06-19 03:25:01	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xec56f6…
06-17 19:37:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xf16795…
06-17 19:35:29	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xc1664b…
06-17 19:05:43	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x9ca497…
06-17 08:29:52	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xf5d414…
06-17 07:11:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x110810…
06-17 07:11:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x6729df…
06-17 07:09:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xe09f6c…
06-16 14:57:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x5405b6…
06-16 13:49:17	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x206fcd…
06-16 13:32:37	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x49c853…
06-16 08:33:12	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x64beb2…
06-16 08:32:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x278e30…
06-16 08:29:48	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x0c9e71…
06-16 06:57:42	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xfe4110…
06-16 06:57:09	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x9ab88d…
06-16 05:05:27	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x0eb895…
06-16 05:04:48	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	60	17¢	$10	0x694c70…
06-16 05:01:25	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Something	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x05f64e…
06-16 04:59:10	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x5c822f…
06-16 00:56:16	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x644bc1…
06-15 20:41:39	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x69b06d…
06-15 20:39:31	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x5d586e…
06-15 16:44:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x420c04…
06-15 16:34:07	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x2a2e59…
06-15 15:45:48	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xd316a0…
06-15 15:38:15	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf0f494…
06-15 15:38:04	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xe85849…
06-15 12:01:34	f1 catalunya grand prix safety car 2026 06 14	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0xad4187…
06-15 11:51:46	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x74ea62…
06-15 08:06:52	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x5e3583…
06-15 07:44:06	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0xfad461…
06-15 07:42:46	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	11¢	$13	0x6967bc…
06-15 06:01:03	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x658438…
06-15 05:32:15	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xa8d13c…
06-15 05:06:57	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc5ab16…
06-15 05:05:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x8e0503…
06-15 05:03:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x29632f…
06-15 05:02:16	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xa9199d…