Big-Hearted-Going — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

Trades

836

lifetime

Volume

$3.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 06-09 20:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 40% $-5

Other

32% 67% +$9

Politics

19% 33% +$60

Sports

6% 0% $-4

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+230	$34	8¢	$20	$-14	06-06 02:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774656000	6	$231	329	325	+3	open	—	03-28 00:06
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	8	$229	138	138	+0	open	—	03-05 18:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$189	600	300	+300	open	—	05-27 08:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	7	$115	170	90	+80	open	—	05-29 19:37
btc updown 5m 1774654800	2	$112	60	60	+0	open	—	03-27 23:44
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	3	$103	89	89	+0	open	—	03-06 04:11
btc updown 5m 1774653900	7	$101	71	64	+7	open	—	03-27 23:29
f1 australian grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 07	6	$73	660	660	+0	open	—	03-08 05:07
will iran strike cyprus in march	6	$70	211	211	+0	open	—	03-05 16:18
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$68	42	42	+0	open	—	03-05 05:01
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$68	42	42	+0	open	—	03-08 20:49
btc updown 5m 1774653000	4	$66	37	37	+0	open	—	03-27 23:14
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$60	233	233	+0	open	—	03-05 20:32
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$58	1,957	36	+1,921	open	—	04-29 19:56
fif che ger 2026 03 27 ger	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	03-27 21:38
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	4	$56	600	200	+400	open	—	02-02 14:40
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tech signing event on wednesday	3	$53	144	144	+0	open	—	03-04 18:57
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	3	$48	29	29	+0	open	—	06-07 15:09
f1 australian grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 07	7	$43	190	81	+109	open	—	03-08 05:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$39	60	0	+60	open	—	05-12 06:03
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	3	$38	28	28	+0	open	—	03-05 14:56
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$37	26	26	+0	open	—	03-09 12:53
col cry zri 2026 02 26 draw	4	$36	382	382	+0	open	—	02-26 21:24
will karoline leavitt be between 15 and 20 minutes late to the next press briefing 732	5	$35	59	59	+0	open	—	03-30 17:18
will wti dip to 90 by april 6 2026	2	$34	100	100	+0	open	—	04-10 04:52
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$34	230	0	+230	open	—	06-06 02:47
btc updown 15m 1774658700	7	$33	46	46	+0	open	—	03-28 00:57
btc updown 5m 1774657500	3	$32	29	28	+2	open	—	03-28 00:29
f1 australian grand prix winner hamilton 2026 03 07	7	$29	290	290	+0	open	—	03-08 04:52
will anthropic be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 895	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	03-27 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:46:40	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137136	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xe2d918…
06-09 20:39:58	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x4cc7d5…
06-09 20:34:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x6fa7bf…
06-09 20:34:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x7859ed…
06-09 12:40:16	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	SELL	111	3¢	$3	0xb8d543…
06-09 11:53:16	will tesla be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x5bbb14…
06-09 08:12:18	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xb5da39…
06-09 02:03:21	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x1be412…
06-09 00:55:36	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0xecc9dd…
06-09 00:55:04	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x9df26e…
06-08 17:34:04	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x594692…
06-08 17:33:19	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x89fa88…
06-08 17:30:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xaff22a…
06-08 17:24:42	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x1801d9…
06-08 17:23:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xbe0597…
06-08 17:22:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0xf1e484…
06-08 15:39:12	will trump be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2a5d5d…
06-08 15:33:34	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xea7da5…
06-08 14:11:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x17fe8a…
06-08 14:11:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$3	0xbe188e…
06-08 14:09:27	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0xa8e849…
06-08 12:53:15	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x3054e3…
06-08 12:39:13	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x57769e…
06-08 12:35:13	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3a098b…
06-08 12:28:27	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xfb78ef…
06-08 12:25:04	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0xbd4e8b…
06-08 12:24:46	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0xfddec9…
06-08 12:15:30	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xd9eb86…
06-08 12:10:12	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x75531f…
06-08 12:09:12	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xaf323c…
06-08 12:01:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x8b47e4…
06-07 15:09:52	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x393d69…
06-07 14:58:34	Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x38c989…
06-07 14:20:19	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x07801c…
06-07 02:09:30	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0xc9c33f…
06-06 13:20:55	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4d28d3…
06-06 02:47:37	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x657721…
06-06 02:10:22	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x39b06e…
06-05 20:11:54	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x15844d…
06-05 20:11:48	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x126dd3…
06-04 21:35:45	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Something	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xeea8fc…
06-04 05:49:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb09719…
06-04 05:48:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xe98639…
06-03 05:47:29	Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xdb8072…
06-02 17:44:00	Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xeeda83…
06-02 17:00:15	Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xed3b05…
05-31 13:56:26	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0xaafb83…
05-31 03:27:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xd6fdc6…
05-30 19:08:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x624e24…
05-30 19:05:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xeaf89a…
05-30 04:27:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x076eea…
05-30 00:17:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7ff78a…
05-29 19:37:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0xe6a6c9…
05-29 04:28:58	Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7e0474…
05-29 04:22:10	Will Trump say "CIA" this week?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x016b46…
05-29 04:20:23	Will "European Union" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x8cb14f…
05-29 04:18:58	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	15¢	$32	0xc7a960…
05-27 08:38:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	300	11¢	$33	0x76e879…
05-26 20:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x3fe78b…
05-26 20:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x18ae99…
05-26 20:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xdaae90…
05-26 20:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1d9088…
05-26 20:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc274d1…
05-26 20:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1469a4…
05-26 20:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x4723b6…
05-26 20:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9794d3…
05-26 20:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa2a73c…
05-26 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x118a70…
05-26 20:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xa19113…
05-26 20:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xef2906…
05-26 20:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xbc4329…
05-25 12:11:11	Will "Mickey Mouse" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xda588f…
05-25 12:10:58	Will "Hegemony" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x7ecf9b…
05-25 12:10:06	Will "Hantavirus" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x654afb…
05-25 11:36:14	Will "Mickey Mouse" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe796f9…
05-25 04:11:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x0a6458…
05-24 08:53:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	400	26¢	$104	0x9bc7a3…
05-24 08:43:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x8b65ee…
05-24 08:42:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x847343…
05-23 03:44:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x1e66a4…
05-23 03:44:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x4ed8d5…
05-15 18:35:26	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5dcbe6…
05-12 22:12:05	Will "Mickey Mouse" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xd0b2bb…
05-12 22:06:48	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6f6771…
05-12 22:03:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x6baef1…
05-12 06:03:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xdb8ea3…
05-12 06:02:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x021b59…
05-11 03:39:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xe432c0…
05-09 00:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3d2095…
05-09 00:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe4734b…
05-09 00:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xce70d9…
05-09 00:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xc4788e…
05-09 00:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x103ff7…
05-09 00:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6b6e24…
05-09 00:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xe567c8…
05-09 00:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1cb86f…
05-09 00:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc450eb…
05-09 00:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x67c993…
05-09 00:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x694a4d…
05-09 00:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x776d76…