Super-Warmth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.26K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

1,227

Trades

2,442

lifetime

Volume

$141.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-14 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 57% -$4,491

Other

24% 27% +$530

Politics

4% 5% -$1,882

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$286

Sports

0% 0% -$80

Tech

0% 0% -$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC	2	$5.9K	2,984	2,984	+0	Down	+$27	03-14 20:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:15 UTC	6	$5.8K	3,001	2,998	+2	Down	+$111	03-14 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 21:10 UTC	3	$5.8K	3,478	3,435	+43	Down	+$1,154	03-14 21:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 10:45 UTC	2	$4.5K	2,286	2,286	+0	Up	+$23	03-14 10:51
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	3	$3.9K	2,731	2,731	+0	No	+$1,273	03-13 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:30 UTC	3	$3.4K	1,988	1,968	+20	Up	+$528	03-14 22:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:35 UTC	2	$2.4K	1,381	1,367	+14	Up	+$367	03-14 22:40
will trump say stupid during iowa speech 776 398	2	$1.8K	1,101	1,101	+0	No	-$22	01-27 21:36
will joo cotrim de figueiredo win between 14 and 16 of votes in the first round	6	$1.7K	2,900	2,900	+0	No	+$619	01-19 00:18
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	7	$1.6K	1,471	1,471	+0	Yes	+$599	03-13 21:59
will mrbeasts latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5	6	$1.6K	1,270	1,270	+0	Yes	+$468	04-09 16:15
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$1.5K	806	806	+0	Yes	-$2	01-19 00:34
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	7	$1.4K	1,137	1,137	+0	Silver	-$118	01-19 04:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:00 UTC	2	$1.4K	709	708	+1	Up	+$0	04-15 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:55 UTC	5	$1.3K	693	691	+1	Up	+$43	03-13 01:01
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	3	$1.3K	869	869	+0	Yes	+$475	01-20 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:00 UTC	4	$1.1K	613	611	+2	Down	+$57	03-14 16:05
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	10	$1.0K	4,299	3,249	+1,050	No	-$451	04-09 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$1.0K	544	544	+0	Up	+$38	05-24 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:45 UTC	4	$1.0K	543	542	+1	Up	+$62	03-14 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:10 UTC	1	$1000	1,793	0	+1,793	Down	-$1,000	03-14 22:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 21:55 UTC	4	$954	677	571	+107	Up	+$159	03-14 22:00
will mrbeasts latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6	5	$936	2,349	808	+1,541	Yes	+$242	04-10 14:33
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	4	$884	544	544	+0	Yes	+$203	01-21 21:29
will solana dip to 130 january 12 18	6	$866	15,766	0	+15,766	Yes	-$866	01-19 04:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 19:00 UTC	3	$841	512	508	+4	Up	+$169	02-06 19:15
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	28	$836	12,084	26	+12,058	No	-$806	02-02 22:11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	2	$827	625	625	+0	No	-$173	01-27 18:50
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	3	$797	467	467	+0	Yes	+$28	03-26 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:40 UTC	2	$710	419	414	+4	Down	+$114	03-14 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 14:48:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0xf66512…
10-14 14:36:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0x043474…
10-14 14:21:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x485e69…
10-13 13:07:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x86d3b1…
10-13 12:53:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xfe8f1c…
10-13 12:51:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x3dabbe…
10-13 12:36:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xeec337…
10-13 12:33:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa7d0d0…
10-13 12:33:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2dacb5…
10-13 12:33:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xeff38e…
10-13 12:32:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x92f9b5…
10-13 11:51:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8bb6f3…
10-13 10:09:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x5990a4…
10-13 10:08:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x9cc824…
10-05 13:27:11	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xfc5fd9…
09-14 15:18:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd6408e…
09-11 17:53:55	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x37f352…
09-11 17:23:28	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0xf26f6e…
09-11 17:16:42	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x1a4083…
09-11 17:06:37	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x895e94…
09-11 17:03:04	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb33972…
09-11 17:02:12	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x008dc3…
09-11 17:02:03	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4e60a9…
09-11 17:01:46	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xced35e…
09-11 16:57:01	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xffe6af…
09-11 16:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9b24e8…
09-11 16:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xca6951…
09-11 16:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xb8b6e3…
09-11 16:52:37	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x2450d4…
09-10 20:58:18	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa2adb2…
09-10 20:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7ed686…
09-10 20:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc34982…
09-10 20:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5e20b4…
09-10 20:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x7967e3…
09-10 20:12:24	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x7bfe0d…
09-09 19:23:42	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x4ade84…
09-09 19:23:39	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x7dd1ef…
09-09 15:12:43	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xa312e9…
09-09 13:42:55	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8af2d9…
09-09 13:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc88e37…
09-09 13:35:30	Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	239	1¢	$2	0x523ca3…
09-09 13:35:28	Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x96914c…
08-28 20:04:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x79ffb3…
08-28 20:00:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xee039f…
08-17 17:17:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0x73d4f9…
08-17 15:57:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	85	75¢	$64	0x660cb4…
08-17 15:56:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x0a1515…
08-17 11:15:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xc3070a…
08-17 11:08:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	210	76¢	$160	0xb06d79…
08-17 10:45:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x784541…
08-17 10:41:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	51	39¢	$20	0x441ad0…
08-17 10:41:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x163294…
08-17 10:27:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x7af791…
08-17 10:16:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x2a83ec…
08-17 10:16:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc3f6e8…
08-17 09:04:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0ff7f3…
08-17 08:49:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xdc0394…
08-17 08:42:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x0c1d76…
08-17 08:19:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xdaff78…
08-16 18:55:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xdc2378…
08-16 18:18:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x505e08…
08-16 18:18:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x7de615…
08-16 17:31:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x986eba…
08-16 17:31:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4cdfb4…
08-16 17:31:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x071223…
08-16 17:25:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xbcaf43…
08-16 17:01:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x312b80…
08-16 16:56:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xde6e25…
08-16 16:56:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfa5899…
08-16 16:56:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe4cdc8…
08-16 16:55:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf2c900…
08-16 16:55:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x142418…
08-16 16:20:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0x8b0d68…
08-16 16:20:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0xd201ed…
08-14 12:06:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	125	56¢	$70	0x78e368…
08-14 11:57:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1e1076…
08-14 11:57:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7cc19b…
08-14 11:56:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe69732…
08-14 11:37:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb5ac24…
08-14 11:36:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x92f200…
08-14 11:36:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xef1c0e…
08-14 11:28:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x91b802…
08-14 11:01:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x79de6c…
08-14 10:43:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x0a9131…
08-14 10:43:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0xdc7881…
08-14 10:42:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x66dbcd…
08-14 10:28:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x026515…
08-14 10:11:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xf3e51a…
08-14 10:10:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x2cad38…
08-14 10:09:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x637f4b…
08-14 10:08:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xfe6149…
08-14 10:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x33d212…
08-14 10:02:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x753255…
08-14 09:48:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x0fb417…
08-14 09:48:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0x245d2c…
08-14 09:48:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4c524b…
08-14 09:45:04	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x7460ea…
08-14 09:44:57	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x1ca375…
08-14 09:42:28	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x1c9bea…
08-14 09:06:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xe5e798…