Variable-Exhusband-Shoelace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

131

Trades

294

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$124

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-31 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

75% 30% -$43

Politics

22% 100% +$27

Crypto

4% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+88	$43	84¢	$74	+$32	10-31 16:32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	+100	$36	18¢	$18	-$17	10-08 12:30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+20	$17	91¢	$18	+$1	09-04 12:42
ukraine election called by december 31 2026	No	+10	$8	97¢	$10	+$1	08-22 08:21
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	+20	$4	16¢	$3	$0	10-08 09:42
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	+79	$33	0¢	$0	-$33	10-31 16:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	3	$123	80	80	+0	No	+$27	08-21 05:21
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$59	98	10	+88	open	—	10-31 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	5	$53	45	45	+0	Yes	+$37	06-03 07:31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	11	$36	100	0	+100	open	—	10-08 12:30
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	5	$33	79	0	+79	open	—	10-31 16:38
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?	3	$32	50	30	+20	open	—	09-04 19:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$2	06-04 07:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?	7	$24	41	41	+0	No	-$8	05-28 11:52
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 28?	2	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	+$6	05-28 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3?	3	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	+$7	06-03 17:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 11:00 UTC	6	$22	20	20	+0	Down	-$4	06-18 11:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?	2	$21	15	15	+0	Yes	+$8	06-04 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?	2	$19	15	15	+0	Yes	+$11	06-04 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	06-18 10:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	09-04 12:42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 3?	8	$17	45	45	+0	No	-$17	06-03 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 4?	2	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$3	06-04 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 18?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	-$3	07-18 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 3?	4	$15	45	45	+0	No	-$15	06-03 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 26?	1	$13	40	0	+40	No	-$13	06-25 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on June 3?	1	$12	15	0	+15	Yes	+$3	06-03 07:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 30?	3	$11	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-30 14:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?	2	$11	25	0	+25	No	-$11	05-21 12:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	7	$11	28	3	+25	Yes	+$16	05-21 12:09
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 4?	2	$10	25	0	+25	Yes	+$14	06-04 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 4?	3	$10	25	0	+25	No	-$10	06-04 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 26?	4	$10	20	20	+0	No	-$4	05-26 11:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 15?	4	$10	24	3	+21	No	-$7	05-15 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-14 01:57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 20:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:38:48	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x24f587…
10-31 16:33:19	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xc455bf…
10-31 16:32:51	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xa671fd…
10-31 16:26:21	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x96a3b6…
10-31 16:25:18	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xeb2996…
10-30 14:29:27	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x7198c6…
10-08 12:30:48	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xe4becc…
10-08 10:15:47	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xdfbe07…
10-08 09:42:42	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x251615…
10-03 14:10:21	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xb43121…
10-02 19:58:56	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x61506f…
09-21 15:30:20	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xab0be3…
09-21 10:03:17	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2bff22…
09-12 16:39:03	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xb80164…
09-04 19:42:24	Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x5e8a07…
09-04 19:41:58	Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x441c76…
09-04 19:41:48	Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xfe3fae…
09-04 12:42:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x303313…
09-03 19:43:54	will any aircraft land or take off at kyiv boryspil airport by september 30	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x1a2f49…
08-25 01:08:30	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x1ddebd…
08-23 15:15:24	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x4e0f03…
08-22 18:56:40	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x690aac…
08-22 08:21:57	ukraine election called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x0ebc84…
08-21 05:21:40	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0x3e3d6f…
08-21 05:04:06	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xfc53b4…
08-20 19:25:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	98	52¢	$51	0xee5c29…
08-20 15:52:40	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0x0355f6…
07-18 06:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 18?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x278009…
07-18 06:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xcf713e…
07-18 06:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x6ea17b…
07-18 06:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x735716…
07-18 06:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xfdac02…
07-17 00:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe4b49f…
07-17 00:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf82a3a…
07-17 00:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xcd9e3f…
07-17 00:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x6c640d…
07-17 00:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3b6e46…
07-16 22:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4c13a5…
07-16 20:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x376960…
07-16 19:50:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5e4c6b…
07-16 19:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf3d665…
07-16 19:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x6916c0…
07-16 19:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x7e86e6…
07-16 19:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xa5587a…
07-16 19:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x104e33…
07-16 19:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x15b5d3…
07-16 19:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on July 17?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9099b4…
07-16 19:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 18?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x04d4d2…
07-16 19:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 17?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe2da01…
07-14 01:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 15?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1c1ef9…
07-14 01:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xfc4f81…
07-13 20:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x7f5560…
07-13 20:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc98624…
07-13 20:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5fe7af…
07-13 12:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x3ac98b…
07-13 12:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x8c1607…
07-13 12:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6b3343…
07-13 12:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x5542b5…
07-12 16:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 13?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xad0ba6…
06-26 05:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x79620a…
06-26 05:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x6bcd0b…
06-26 00:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x205960…
06-25 20:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x564798…
06-25 20:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xb9b08b…
06-25 20:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xf632d9…
06-25 20:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x58393c…
06-25 16:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xf935c1…
06-25 12:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xaa3071…
06-25 11:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x183de1…
06-25 11:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x843719…
06-25 11:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2e6367…
06-25 09:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xa08807…
06-25 09:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x2d71be…
06-25 09:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x406c93…
06-25 09:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xbb7797…
06-25 08:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x619653…
06-25 08:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x32b842…
06-25 07:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x6aae3b…
06-25 07:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x73e384…
06-25 07:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xcbe5b2…
06-25 07:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xccd18d…
06-25 07:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2bd6c3…
06-25 07:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x45e0cd…
06-25 06:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$9	0x9668f0…
06-25 06:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0x0b7618…
06-25 06:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x8c3211…
06-24 16:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xac6529…
06-24 14:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x83fb35…
06-24 11:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xcd96f0…
06-24 11:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xaa775a…
06-24 11:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x404022…
06-24 11:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x222151…
06-23 19:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xe59858…
06-23 19:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x3c2958…
06-23 19:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xd0cf5c…
06-23 19:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x95bb98…
06-23 19:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x730463…
06-23 19:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x7417a9…
06-23 19:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x465b14…
06-23 19:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x864a29…