Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$113

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

275

Trades

413

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-27

last 10-21 09:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

95% 67% -$90

Politics

3% 0% -$1

Tech

2% 0% -$22

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	10-18 16:35
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 11?	2	$25	40	0	+40	Yes	-$25	10-09 20:13
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?	2	$24	40	0	+40	open	—	10-12 08:45
Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	2	$24	20	19	+1	open	—	10-18 18:08
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	10-18 16:35
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 20?	2	$22	40	0	+40	Yes	-$22	10-19 19:23
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	2	$22	40	0	+40	No	-$2	10-21 09:15
Will Garry Thind win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	2	$21	40	0	+40	Yes	-$1	10-13 02:10
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 10?	2	$19	36	0	+36	Yes	+$1	10-09 23:31
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 19?	2	$18	31	0	+31	Yes	-$18	10-19 02:27
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $20 by June 30, 2027?	2	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 00:42
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 11?	3	$15	32	0	+32	No	+$17	10-09 20:13
will riyadh airport reopen by october 20 2026	1	$13	20	0	+20	No	+$7	10-13 03:04
Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?	2	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	10-18 18:58
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 22?	1	$11	20	0	+20	No	+$9	10-21 07:47
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	1	$11	20	0	+20	Yes	+$9	10-12 13:09
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 11?	1	$11	20	0	+20	Yes	-$11	10-09 19:00
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	10-12 13:15
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 22?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	10-21 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on October 8?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	10-07 00:52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 2?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	-$10	10-02 17:18
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 2?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$3	10-01 17:56
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 8?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	-$10	10-08 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 28?	1	$10	34	0	+34	No	-$10	09-28 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 5?	2	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$3	10-03 19:10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$3	10-07 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 4?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	-$10	10-04 05:45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 8?	2	$10	13	0	+13	No	+$2	10-08 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 29?	5	$10	41	0	+41	Yes	+$31	09-29 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 6?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	-$10	10-06 05:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 09:22:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8c5e1d…
10-21 09:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xba946e…
10-21 08:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x627aa6…
10-21 07:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x891d03…
10-21 05:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x155fef…
10-21 04:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x9e15a2…
10-21 00:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x1bb530…
10-21 00:42:53	Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $20 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x8b50f1…
10-19 19:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 20?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x48e90d…
10-19 17:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x66ffb8…
10-19 17:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 20?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x1f8188…
10-19 02:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 19?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x76e058…
10-19 01:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xbd85fe…
10-19 01:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 19?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x55670c…
10-18 19:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xea6a93…
10-18 18:58:36	Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x336c2a…
10-18 18:08:50	Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0xba8775…
10-18 16:35:33	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x9aab47…
10-18 16:35:33	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x986531…
10-18 16:35:32	Google announces a full training pause in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x91529f…
10-18 16:35:32	Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x66d132…
10-13 03:04:14	will riyadh airport reopen by october 20 2026	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x4fd8d1…
10-13 02:17:35	ed davey out as liberal democrats leader by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x3326fb…
10-13 02:10:35	Will Garry Thind win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdafefc…
10-13 01:30:26	chatgpt outage by october 31 2026 20261009	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa93ea3…
10-13 00:53:50	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x63f74f…
10-12 13:52:15	Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xe4ab53…
10-12 13:19:11	Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb03917…
10-12 13:15:18	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xfa63fb…
10-12 13:09:14	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x50d543…
10-12 12:04:15	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x788939…
10-12 10:46:35	Google announces a full training pause in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x060060…
10-12 09:46:34	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x633d60…
10-12 08:45:39	Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x05b7b0…
10-12 07:25:50	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xfb25d2…
10-12 03:17:14	Will Garry Thind win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x1185a3…
10-12 02:25:23	Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x709078…
10-11 22:20:41	Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x0d1ffc…
10-11 21:46:35	Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $20 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x6d5470…
10-11 20:41:16	Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x685763…
10-11 20:33:10	Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x686133…
10-11 20:33:10	Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x46ca6b…
10-11 13:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x43d320…
10-11 13:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x2e9c5e…
10-11 12:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xf65b81…
10-11 11:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x5e1e16…
10-11 10:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x1e7338…
10-11 10:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf3c89e…
10-11 09:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x06ad31…
10-11 08:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfebea6…
10-11 08:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xed4694…
10-11 08:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x497410…
10-11 05:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x2cf3f2…
10-11 05:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x5bc79c…
10-11 05:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xb170d5…
10-11 05:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xf5f5bc…
10-10 23:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xe2f2e5…
10-10 23:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x867851…
10-10 21:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb711aa…
10-10 06:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x1e3e27…
10-10 06:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xfab59d…
10-10 06:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x2b5527…
10-10 06:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x1f0901…
10-10 05:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xe46501…
10-10 04:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x28a6dd…
10-10 04:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x5150d3…
10-10 04:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x7b7143…
10-10 03:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x266520…
10-10 03:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xccc3a2…
10-09 23:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb2b290…
10-09 23:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x3344b7…
10-09 22:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x54d2b2…
10-09 22:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x13d330…
10-09 22:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x662d7d…
10-09 22:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x0c1e57…
10-09 21:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x5cf0c2…
10-09 20:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 11?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa23fa3…
10-09 20:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 11?	No	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xcc37ce…
10-09 20:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 11?	No	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x020451…
10-09 20:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 11?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x971b6e…
10-09 19:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x9396d9…
10-09 19:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x8fe4d3…
10-09 19:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xe0c08c…
10-09 19:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 11?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$0	0x707177…
10-09 19:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xa89ae4…
10-09 19:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 11?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x5f51a7…
10-09 19:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x60cdeb…
10-09 19:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x1f1ef4…
10-09 19:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xae4686…
10-09 19:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 11?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x4d32a0…
10-09 18:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xaa183d…
10-09 18:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x1f9ce6…
10-09 18:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 10?	No	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x60beb1…
10-09 17:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xdaa4d1…
10-09 17:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 10?	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x5b35a2…
10-09 17:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 10?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x4a15dd…
10-09 17:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 9?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x611b6c…
10-09 15:28:52	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xafb86b…
10-09 13:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 9?	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x3f73e5…
10-09 13:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 9?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf6eca8…