Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

Trades

228

lifetime

Volume

$3.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-30

last 10-15 18:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

58% 67% +$122

Politics

42% 50% -$67

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
republican house odds dip to 7 by october 31	21	$378	648	443	+206	open	—	10-15 13:57
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	16	$359	392	348	+44	No	+$13	10-14 19:42
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	22	$307	385	345	+40	No	+$5	10-09 10:57
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	2	$237	450	0	+450	Natus Vincere	-$237	10-03 16:25
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	15	$230	317	169	+148	open	—	10-13 17:05
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?	5	$203	120	99	+21	Bolsonaro	+$14	10-04 23:06
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	8	$198	380	379	+1	open	—	10-13 11:48
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 2?	4	$185	210	0	+210	Yes	+$25	10-02 16:00
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	12	$166	320	48	+272	No	-$120	10-07 07:13
rubio flips vance for gop nomination by october 31	4	$156	80	80	+0	open	—	10-14 16:12
Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	10	$146	240	21	+219	open	—	10-15 15:51
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?	6	$110	214	58	+156	Yes	+$57	10-09 15:59
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	10	$107	316	236	+80	open	—	10-15 18:21
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?	8	$104	60	60	+0	No	+$1	10-15 16:34
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner	6	$104	400	0	+400	ShindeN	+$296	10-03 12:25
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	6	$93	155	50	+105	No change	+$36	10-15 17:52
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	19	$92	240	104	+136	No	-$36	10-05 15:03
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	6	$86	122	58	+64	open	—	10-14 22:46
senate control favorite on november 2	2	$78	80	0	+80	open	—	10-14 17:00
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?	3	$71	60	60	+0	Yes	+$13	10-15 16:15
Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	6	$60	227	184	+43	open	—	10-15 14:42
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	3	$52	52	52	+0	open	—	10-14 19:24
Marco Rubio Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	10-09 10:17
Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?	3	$23	52	16	+36	open	—	10-13 11:48
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?	6	$21	250	150	+100	open	—	10-12 12:08
House control favorite on November 2?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	10-04 20:00
Democratic Senate odds 58-60% on October 9?	6	$18	78	72	+6	No	-$9	10-09 15:49
Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?	5	$13	128	56	+72	open	—	10-15 16:58
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?	4	$8	42	42	+0	No	+$0	10-15 16:50
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?	4	$3	60	25	+35	No	-$1	10-14 23:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 18:21:52	Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x9284ee…
10-15 17:52:43	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xd79f5d…
10-15 16:59:59	Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf1ce5c…
10-15 16:58:58	Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0x468db6…
10-15 16:58:49	Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x5487f0…
10-15 16:58:49	Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x4c8baa…
10-15 16:58:49	Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x035d44…
10-15 16:50:52	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?	Yes	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0xe32c75…
10-15 16:34:43	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0xc7af61…
10-15 16:34:43	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?	No	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x4b8600…
10-15 16:30:02	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xefd69d…
10-15 16:30:02	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0xe03108…
10-15 16:30:02	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xb6ee7d…
10-15 16:30:02	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xaa7c6e…
10-15 16:28:16	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xa4e74f…
10-15 16:28:16	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x3f736a…
10-15 16:28:08	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x1e97e7…
10-15 16:16:56	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x3fd824…
10-15 16:15:07	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?	Yes	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0x5e5054…
10-15 15:51:05	Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xe1b9a9…
10-15 15:51:05	Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xadc717…
10-15 15:51:05	Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x14d52d…
10-15 15:26:17	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xfb4eb6…
10-15 14:42:17	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	SELL	184	15¢	$28	0x3bd591…
10-15 14:36:40	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x0dd037…
10-15 13:57:20	republican house odds dip to 7 by october 31	No	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0xbc7ec4…
10-14 23:31:52	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x62298e…
10-14 22:57:30	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x0fe4fc…
10-14 22:46:51	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	No	SELL	33	63¢	$21	0x026f3b…
10-14 19:42:45	lula flips bolsonaro for brazil president by october 15	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5cd59a…
10-14 19:26:10	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xd0d047…
10-14 19:25:07	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xaa12b2…
10-14 19:24:37	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	No	SELL	52	50¢	$26	0xa6b84d…
10-14 19:19:25	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xbcd4b9…
10-14 19:19:25	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x6bbf44…
10-14 19:19:25	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0x0f340e…
10-14 19:19:24	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	74	11¢	$8	0x2246f0…
10-14 19:10:36	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x3685a2…
10-14 19:10:27	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x8b372d…
10-14 18:32:42	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x88755a…
10-14 17:03:09	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x45bd96…
10-14 17:03:00	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x232f33…
10-14 17:00:12	senate control favorite on november 2	Democratic Party	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xaf45c0…
10-14 16:50:04	republican house odds hit 12 by october 31	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xb9fd10…
10-14 16:50:04	republican house odds hit 12 by october 31	Yes	BUY	21	21¢	$5	0x3eb49c…
10-14 16:43:22	no change or hike 25 bps favored on october 27	Hike 25 bps	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0xdc981f…
10-14 16:12:43	rubio flips vance for gop nomination by october 31	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xfd5aa1…
10-13 17:05:06	Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	No	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x0e8f46…
10-13 16:57:06	Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5316e6…
10-13 16:56:54	Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x518249…
10-13 16:56:48	Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	No	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x2146ee…
10-13 16:40:55	Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xd4ff86…
10-13 15:52:19	Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xd3fde6…
10-13 15:31:35	Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x54b9a5…
10-13 14:07:37	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x86b58a…
10-13 14:05:35	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xef3d5b…
10-13 14:05:35	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb7f5be…
10-13 14:05:35	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x2c7a86…
10-13 13:00:13	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x0393e6…
10-13 12:57:04	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x48dcc2…
10-13 12:57:02	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x15c5e5…
10-13 12:57:02	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x089b89…
10-13 11:51:38	Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0x8e4538…
10-13 11:48:11	Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	144	10¢	$14	0xb605fb…
10-13 11:48:11	Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x9df8a3…
10-12 12:08:57	Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x52e4f3…
10-09 15:59:18	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x1211d2…
10-09 15:58:43	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	150	64¢	$96	0x067ecb…
10-09 15:49:00	Democratic Senate odds 58-60% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xec2e1c…
10-09 12:58:01	Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xbef25d…
10-09 10:57:39	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x3b641c…
10-09 10:17:49	Marco Rubio Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xa23401…
10-09 09:55:22	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	118	70¢	$83	0x7a46b5…
10-09 09:12:19	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xa445a0…
10-08 18:11:47	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	58	10¢	$6	0x1d59b9…
10-08 15:39:33	Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x510e0a…
10-08 13:30:38	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x38f4a0…
10-08 13:30:21	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0xf9f46d…
10-08 11:59:09	Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	No	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0x7eef57…
10-08 09:29:18	Senate control favorite on November 2?	Democratic Party	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x74aa40…
10-08 09:06:05	Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xcf2173…
10-08 09:06:04	Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	59	58¢	$34	0x99e404…
10-08 09:06:04	Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5cd43c…
10-08 08:27:05	Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xbc5082…
10-08 08:20:58	Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0xffe5a9…
10-08 07:06:19	Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	No	SELL	45	49¢	$22	0x61a87d…
10-08 06:55:07	Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	No	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xd126db…
10-08 06:55:02	Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	No	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x6a6a65…
10-08 00:35:38	Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x10c1c2…
10-08 00:15:19	Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	No	BUY	80	44¢	$36	0xb72ddd…
10-07 19:46:26	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x659f0b…
10-07 18:57:31	Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0x7e0aad…
10-07 18:55:43	Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	230	20¢	$46	0x743146…
10-07 17:52:34	Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x6601d9…
10-07 17:42:01	Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x04fd1c…
10-07 17:26:50	Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0x137b9b…
10-07 14:23:38	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5caa00…
10-07 14:22:59	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	47	29¢	$14	0x0cde84…
10-07 14:22:58	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x6b3faf…
10-07 14:20:35	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x32a340…