Realized P&L
+$987
Unrealized P&L
-$2.60K
Hit rate
44.1%
Resolved
2,565
Trades
8,656
lifetime
Volume
$487.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$9.97K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-30 10:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 239 days
Categories
Other
70% 50% +$1,339
Sports
17% 46% +$44
Politics
10% 49% -$364
Tech
4% 50% +$2
Crypto
1% 67% -$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -5,000 -$4,935 99¢ $-4952 -$18 10-29 17:29
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No -4,000 -$3,480 92¢ $-3660 -$180 10-29 17:29
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +400 $390 100¢ $399 +$10 10-13 09:05
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +343 $335 100¢ $342 +$7 10-13 06:24
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes -4,000 -$298 8¢ $-340 -$42 10-29 17:30
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +100 $93 99¢ $99 +$6 10-11 18:31
anthropic lab leak by june 30 2027 No +100 $84 92¢ $92 +$8 09-19 09:43
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,000 -$48 1¢ $-48 +$0 10-29 17:53
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 06-10 17:32
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? Yes +100 $10 8¢ $8 -$2 09-22 01:12
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 09-16 06:05
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 $0 09-20 20:58
saudi airspace closed by december 31 2026 No +3 $4 86¢ $3 -$2 09-20 16:01
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +100 $7 1¢ $1 -$6 10-11 18:20
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +5 $0 12¢ $1 +$0 09-20 16:27
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +400 $12 0¢ $1 -$11 10-13 18:14
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +343 $9 0¢ $1 -$8 10-13 06:22
saudi airspace closed by december 31 2026 Yes +3 $2 14¢ $0 -$1 09-20 10:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +5 $2,358 3¢ $0 -$2,358 09-01 20:08