Dry-Progenitor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$160

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

141

Trades

211

lifetime

Volume

$3.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 08-28 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

37% 96% +$4

Sports

24% 88% +$21

Politics

21% 100% +$188

Crypto

19% 51% -$53

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$781	442	442	+0	No	+$1	04-21 08:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	1	$501	686	0	+686	No	+$185	04-22 05:47
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	12	$231	203	203	+0	Yes	-$1	03-11 20:05
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	2	$208	104	104	+0	No	$0	03-11 07:01
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$153	79	79	+0	No	+$3	02-01 00:48
will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	1	$124	124	0	+124	No	+$0	02-28 08:50
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	2	$85	411	411	+0	No	-$1	04-21 13:37
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$81	81	0	+81	No	+$0	01-31 09:33
will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$79	79	0	+79	Yes	+$0	01-31 09:32
ethereum above 2800 on january 31	1	$76	77	0	+77	No	+$1	01-31 09:35
will deepseek have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$61	61	0	+61	No	+$0	02-28 08:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:15 UTC	2	$49	100	0	+100	Down	-$49	02-22 07:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:00 UTC	3	$49	100	0	+100	Down	-$49	02-22 07:00
bitcoin up or down february 24 10pm et	4	$48	100	0	+100	Down	-$48	02-25 02:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 10:15 UTC	16	$48	100	0	+100	Down	-$48	02-26 10:15
nba sac sas 2026 02 21 spread home 18pt5	2	$31	40	0	+40	Kings	+$9	02-22 02:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 10:45 UTC	2	$24	50	0	+50	Up	+$26	02-22 10:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 10:15 UTC	5	$23	50	0	+50	Up	+$26	02-23 10:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 03:30 UTC	1	$20	55	0	+55	Up	+$35	02-22 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 1?	2	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	07-01 02:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 09:00 UTC	2	$16	20	20	+0	Down	-$3	02-24 09:02
nba mem mia 2026 02 21 spread home 11pt5	2	$16	25	0	+25	Heat	+$4	02-22 02:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 10:00 UTC	2	$15	20	20	+0	Down	-$4	02-24 10:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 04:00 UTC	4	$14	30	0	+30	Up	+$16	02-22 04:00
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-22 01:00 UTC	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	-$2	02-22 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 20?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-20 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 08:45 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	02-24 08:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 03:00 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	02-25 02:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 03:15 UTC	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	02-25 03:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 08:15 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	02-24 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 08:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C or below on August 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xa50452…
08-28 08:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x7debfa…
08-28 08:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2f851e…
07-27 07:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on July 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbb7ff8…
07-27 07:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or below on July 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x45bc74…
07-27 07:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or below on July 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xda3b79…
07-27 07:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd41b8c…
07-20 08:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc5ff1a…
07-20 08:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 20?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0fa271…
07-20 08:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb85f6…
07-20 08:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3b40f9…
07-20 08:09:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1233c9…
07-20 08:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00a726…
07-03 02:50:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x400c26…
07-03 02:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72c010…
07-03 02:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C or higher on July 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1e4eca…
07-03 02:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2940df…
07-03 02:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C or higher on July 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x117f76…
07-03 02:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xed2aa6…
07-01 07:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc11006…
07-01 07:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x027f38…
07-01 02:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a5060…
07-01 02:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x31c16c…
07-01 02:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf002a8…
07-01 02:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x827ce9…
07-01 02:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd3d8c7…
07-01 01:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x63fbf8…
06-29 09:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x851e97…
06-29 09:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x034118…
06-29 09:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xed6ce9…
06-24 03:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x46b2ee…
06-24 03:16:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8e0255…
06-24 03:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe0c1b3…
06-24 03:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x386ee4…
06-24 03:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9d0ebd…
06-24 03:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2c91df…
06-23 09:34:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x29218d…
06-23 09:33:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 42°C on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x64fd98…
06-23 03:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48b3c2…
06-23 03:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab8515…
06-23 03:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29aa4e…
06-23 03:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1aeba2…
06-23 03:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 23?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf8fd5e…
06-23 03:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2d64c4…
06-18 09:23:02	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x095490…
06-18 09:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6c558…
06-18 09:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x767759…
06-17 09:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5e6682…
06-17 09:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x39b219…
06-17 09:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x348f0d…
06-16 10:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x13c798…
06-16 10:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa0e613…
06-16 10:00:54	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on June 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf482b7…
06-16 09:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x097231…
06-16 09:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12c0eb…
06-16 09:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x62a36c…
06-12 10:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1a37f…
06-12 10:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xba5260…
06-12 09:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc4aabc…
05-19 11:00:24	Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x95eb89…
05-19 11:00:12	Will "Potential - sombr" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2440dc…
05-19 10:48:36	Will "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5fe77d…
05-19 10:42:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x665f8b…
04-27 07:55:14	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc12895…
04-27 07:53:24	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3b8fe3…
04-27 07:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 28?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcec6dd…
04-27 07:51:18	Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbd0e5f…
04-27 07:50:22	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9f64ea…
04-27 07:49:06	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0245b0…
04-27 07:48:04	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9663ff…
04-27 07:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5f1d86…
04-22 05:47:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	686	73¢	$501	0xe8f703…
04-21 13:37:22	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	411	10¢	$42	0xcd6057…
04-21 08:14:42	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	39	88¢	$35	0x8f1b15…
04-21 08:14:42	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	197	88¢	$174	0x705f17…
04-21 08:06:36	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	196	88¢	$173	0x42d092…
04-21 08:06:36	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$8	0x1722a3…
04-20 09:56:02	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	411	10¢	$43	0xf2db51…
04-20 09:28:22	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	442	88¢	$390	0x0b1da5…
03-11 20:05:05	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	144	56¢	$82	0xf75c1d…
03-11 20:00:59	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xe4e1a3…
03-11 19:56:31	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	28	56¢	$16	0x338ded…
03-11 19:44:09	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xf16e63…
03-11 19:43:57	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x293dd4…
03-11 19:43:51	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xb8dcce…
03-11 19:43:43	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x5ba07a…
03-11 19:43:37	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x13e46d…
03-11 19:43:29	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xc91302…
03-11 19:43:17	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x3c8c64…
03-11 19:43:05	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x834da5…
03-11 07:21:23	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	203	57¢	$116	0x1d6b13…
03-11 07:01:37	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xb0585a…
02-28 08:56:41	will deepseek have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xc2f6cd…
02-28 08:51:51	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xed7e4d…
02-28 08:50:47	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x33b112…
02-26 10:15:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xfb4993…
02-26 10:15:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbce885…
02-26 10:15:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb9d390…
02-26 10:15:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xb472db…
02-26 10:15:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xac21c8…