Any-Thaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

3,898

Trades

47,863

lifetime

Volume

$677.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-31 20:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 51% -$62,432

Other

4% 49% -$7,003

Politics

1% 33% -$658

Sports

0% 53% +$189

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 1405 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 10:30 UTC	318	$8.9K	14,550	1,773	+12,777	Up	-$5,628	03-28 10:39
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$7.1K	17,340	0	+17,340	Spain	-$7,112	07-18 13:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 18:45 UTC	196	$5.8K	6,000	5,000	+1,000	Down	+$4,780	03-25 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 09:45 UTC	462	$5.3K	13,415	0	+13,415	Up	-$5,279	03-21 09:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 10:45 UTC	308	$4.2K	15,705	0	+15,705	Up	-$4,161	03-28 10:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	21	$3.6K	5,969	5,969	+0	Yes	-$693	02-20 13:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 06:15 UTC	18	$3.5K	2,342	2,033	+309	Up	+$340	03-27 06:28
bitcoin up or down march 14 5pm et	137	$3.4K	7,695	4,365	+3,329	Down	+$1,637	03-14 21:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 10:00 UTC	325	$3.3K	13,538	0	+13,538	Up	-$3,309	03-28 10:05
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	11	$3.1K	2,900	2,175	+725	England	+$1,849	07-18 21:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 08:40 UTC	35	$3.0K	4,580	2,262	+2,318	Down	+$2,288	03-21 08:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 12:15 UTC	50	$3.0K	3,968	820	+3,149	Up	+$377	03-28 12:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 19:15 UTC	119	$2.9K	2,700	2,500	+200	Down	+$1,858	03-26 19:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 09:30 UTC	357	$2.7K	8,858	0	+8,858	Up	-$2,747	03-21 09:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 11:00 UTC	248	$2.6K	11,191	0	+11,191	Up	-$2,567	03-28 11:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 08:05 UTC	253	$2.5K	11,958	0	+11,958	Up	-$2,511	03-23 08:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 11:00 UTC	57	$2.5K	2,589	2,587	+2	Up	+$1,848	03-18 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 08:30 UTC	5	$2.3K	3,914	3,878	+35	Up	+$347	03-23 08:39
bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 5pm et	77	$2.3K	1,731	1,380	+352	Down	+$315	09-25 21:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 08:15 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,172	1,172	+0	Down	+$23	03-23 08:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 08:30 UTC	42	$2.2K	1,500	1,437	+63	Down	+$535	03-20 08:42
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	67	$2.2K	11,689	11,689	+0	No	-$1,813	03-23 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 04:50 UTC	108	$2.1K	3,200	0	+3,200	Up	+$1,056	06-18 04:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 08:00 UTC	246	$2.1K	10,000	0	+10,000	Up	-$2,100	03-23 08:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 20:30 UTC	4	$2.0K	4,567	0	+4,567	Down	-$2,000	04-02 20:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 10:30 UTC	178	$2.0K	7,100	0	+7,100	Up	-$1,988	03-21 10:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 09:15 UTC	344	$2.0K	9,931	0	+9,931	Down	-$1,983	03-21 09:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:35 UTC	119	$1.9K	1,800	1,687	+113	Up	+$970	09-25 21:38
bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 3pm et	40	$1.9K	2,958	1,400	+1,558	Up	+$83	09-25 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:15 UTC	59	$1.8K	1,979	0	+1,979	Down	+$137	06-18 10:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 20:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0xc3f9a2…
10-31 20:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0xab08b6…
10-31 20:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x825bf5…
10-31 20:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x3d4502…
10-31 20:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	33¢	$12	0xeab874…
10-31 02:24:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0xc0e989…
10-28 22:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$0	0x171344…
10-28 22:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x52882c…
10-28 22:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4e0f68…
10-28 22:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x088151…
10-28 22:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe128b7…
10-28 22:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x50d0b6…
10-28 20:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x7f61b8…
10-26 19:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xa69469…
10-26 19:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x818bbe…
10-26 19:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x07a548…
10-26 17:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xefa9cb…
10-26 17:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	99	46¢	$46	0xf820d8…
10-23 08:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	340	100¢	$340	0x9baad6…
10-23 08:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa8d916…
10-22 12:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	56	85¢	$48	0xc7eab8…
10-22 12:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xb38d84…
10-22 12:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0x54bbda…
10-16 14:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xdc0974…
10-16 13:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xee94bf…
10-16 13:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x175dc6…
10-16 12:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	700	2¢	$11	0xa13f29…
10-16 12:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	49	24¢	$12	0x47367a…
10-16 12:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xd545a4…
10-16 12:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xbb92e9…
10-15 18:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x142e4e…
10-15 18:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	99	88¢	$87	0xf0fc25…
10-15 15:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x10717f…
10-15 15:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xff2f79…
10-15 15:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xcbb5e0…
10-15 15:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xa5eec9…
10-15 15:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x88be06…
10-15 15:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x866355…
10-15 15:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x827435…
10-15 15:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x432e97…
10-15 15:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x17b41f…
10-13 22:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x3d232a…
10-13 22:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x0b8705…
10-13 22:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xd24bcf…
10-13 22:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x536b35…
10-13 22:02:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	400	40¢	$162	0xa7d151…
10-13 22:01:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x60fa23…
10-13 22:01:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x81919c…
10-13 22:01:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xb7f472…
10-13 21:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	700	99¢	$692	0x7f88e2…
10-13 21:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	76	63¢	$48	0xf97ce7…
10-13 21:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xeb4c59…
10-13 21:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xe99291…
10-13 21:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xc25c1f…
10-13 21:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x793105…
10-13 21:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x2fb47a…
10-13 21:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x2c967a…
10-13 21:25:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x3ed1c7…
10-13 20:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xf683e1…
10-11 08:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x5165ad…
10-11 08:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x864117…
10-11 07:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0xfaa31a…
10-11 07:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xad2c6d…
10-11 07:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xfad10e…
10-11 07:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb88a7d…
10-11 07:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x64ae00…
10-10 18:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xc62b45…
10-10 18:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xc5beef…
10-10 18:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0x691976…
10-09 22:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xe745e9…
10-09 22:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	90	25¢	$22	0x31effb…
10-09 22:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xb46cc9…
10-09 22:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x9ec035…
10-09 21:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	45	32¢	$14	0x2404b8…
10-09 21:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xfa7531…
10-09 21:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4b0fa0…
10-09 21:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x3695d2…
10-09 19:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	47	28¢	$13	0xc958db…
10-09 19:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5c6383…
10-09 19:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xec20be…
10-09 19:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xe611ba…
10-09 18:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x169374…
10-09 17:14:16	bitcoin up or down october 9 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x3a7f26…
10-09 15:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x27bba1…
10-09 07:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x6909f2…
10-08 21:47:05	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 9?	No	BUY	78	25¢	$19	0x5d7674…
10-08 21:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xb371a7…
10-08 20:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x1b4b8c…
10-07 20:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x9b0b9a…
10-07 19:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	47	55¢	$26	0x78ab0a…
10-07 19:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	53	58¢	$31	0xab8c7c…
10-07 19:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xb9a318…
10-07 19:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	45	57¢	$26	0x802f48…
10-07 19:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x7247c1…
10-07 19:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x405bfc…
10-07 19:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x37dbc4…
10-07 19:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x2527f4…
10-07 19:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	45	57¢	$26	0x10d9fa…
10-07 19:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xa28a7e…
10-07 19:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x16cb0c…