Deficient-Resident — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.8%

Resolved

Trades

360

lifetime

Volume

$2.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-22 03:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 17% $-14

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776520500	3	$51	46	24	+22	open	—	04-18 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$47	51	51	+0	open	—	05-01 23:43
btc updown 5m 1776521400	3	$40	34	18	+15	open	—	04-18 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$35	61	61	+0	open	—	05-01 23:48
btc updown 5m 1775397600	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	04-05 14:05
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	6	$31	39	37	+1	open	—	04-25 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	4	$30	38	38	+0	open	—	05-21 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$29	26	24	+1	open	—	04-26 00:15
eth updown 5m 1776522000	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	04-18 14:25
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	5	$24	33	32	+1	open	—	04-25 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$24	32	32	+0	open	—	05-01 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$24	22	22	+0	open	—	05-01 23:23
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$23	30	28	+1	open	—	04-25 22:03
btc updown 5m 1775751300	1	$22	24	0	+24	open	—	04-09 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$22	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 05:29
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$22	29	28	+1	open	—	04-25 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$22	30	30	+0	open	—	05-01 04:28
btc updown 5m 1776520800	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-18 14:04
btc updown 5m 1775750700	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	04-09 16:08
btc updown 5m 1775398800	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	04-05 14:23
btc updown 5m 1775750100	1	$19	22	0	+22	open	—	04-09 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	2	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	05-21 10:06
btc updown 5m 1775778600	3	$19	18	14	+4	open	—	04-09 23:54
btc updown 5m 1775749800	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-09 15:53
btc updown 5m 1776544500	1	$17	22	0	+22	open	—	04-18 20:39
btc updown 5m 1775398500	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	05-17 02:42
btc updown 5m 1775398200	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-05 14:13
btc updown 5m 1776544200	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	04-18 20:34
btc updown 5m 1775397900	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	04-05 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 03:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x67968f…
05-22 02:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x048309…
05-21 11:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x90f918…
05-21 11:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x8135b3…
05-21 11:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0xa83c2c…
05-21 11:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x384ae4…
05-21 11:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x86c784…
05-21 10:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x8c69dc…
05-21 10:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xcef4ac…
05-21 10:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0xf3d135…
05-21 10:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xde2664…
05-21 10:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4e344a…
05-21 09:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xb83855…
05-19 13:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x640c57…
05-19 11:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdeb6a7…
05-18 14:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xfa17d7…
05-18 14:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xca5476…
05-18 14:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x41bb9e…
05-18 14:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x802db5…
05-18 14:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x94b223…
05-18 14:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x791772…
05-18 14:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9f24c6…
05-18 14:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xa48c51…
05-18 14:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x326265…
05-18 13:46:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb90c7e…
05-18 13:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x0fe6b0…
05-18 13:36:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xc9790e…
05-18 13:34:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8430b0…
05-18 13:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xe7d69d…
05-18 13:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xaf565e…
05-17 06:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xae6291…
05-17 06:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xfb79b9…
05-17 06:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe3645e…
05-17 06:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x782949…
05-17 06:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x547e0a…
05-17 03:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x1b73d7…
05-17 03:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd08afb…
05-17 02:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x52272e…
05-17 02:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x96c4de…
05-13 07:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd9764d…
05-13 07:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x30fcae…
05-13 07:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1a6399…
05-10 13:52:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x21df53…
05-10 13:51:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x0e42a8…
05-10 13:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb22c96…
05-10 13:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd30b9e…
05-10 13:07:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xacea3d…
05-10 13:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xea61a9…
05-04 06:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb6a5b0…
05-04 06:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xea111c…
05-04 06:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x42dd68…
05-04 06:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x5e8423…
05-04 06:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x3c48d8…
05-04 06:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x47ac8c…
05-04 06:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x9eac10…
05-04 05:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3529b4…
05-04 05:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x950e4f…
05-04 05:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x007e3f…
05-04 05:48:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x729d86…
05-02 05:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x05ab5e…
05-02 05:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd0592b…
05-02 05:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x33f303…
05-02 05:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9c3f2d…
05-02 05:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x443616…
05-02 05:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3f3627…
05-02 05:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0x27c95b…
05-02 05:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x86b03b…
05-02 05:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x3b6d54…
05-02 05:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x980a51…
05-02 00:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0xaf4593…
05-02 00:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xab29e1…
05-02 00:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x78590a…
05-02 00:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd88524…
05-02 00:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xca4b96…
05-02 00:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x92b8e0…
05-02 00:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf79dbc…
05-01 23:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x31e49a…
05-01 23:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x51c75d…
05-01 23:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$7	0x3cae32…
05-01 23:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4cc707…
05-01 23:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x2d6b59…
05-01 23:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x47ca25…
05-01 23:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x4ff709…
05-01 23:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf17221…
05-01 23:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x99e967…
05-01 23:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xcc28c1…
05-01 23:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0x5ff322…
05-01 23:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x1f5167…
05-01 23:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	23	59¢	$13	0xc62876…
05-01 23:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x847fa7…
05-01 23:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	32	44¢	$14	0x1033cb…
05-01 23:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x6c31cf…
05-01 23:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0x5e86ba…
05-01 23:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xd22403…
05-01 23:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x79c97e…
05-01 23:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0xd827c3…
05-01 23:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x929f96…
05-01 23:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x847fb6…
05-01 23:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcbf9c4…
05-01 23:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x8fa9a2…