Monthly-Swimming — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$598

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

17,723

Trades

28,489

lifetime

Volume

$52.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 11-01 00:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 212 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 13% +$656

Other

1% 25% -$88

Tech

0% 100% +$46

Politics

0% 38% -$15

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 383 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	—	+55	$19	7¢	$4	-$16	08-12 10:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	13	$80	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$46	08-07 14:57
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	2	$54	80	80	+0	No	+$9	08-20 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	9	$53	148	0	+148	Down	+$15	09-11 06:15
will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	8	$49	30	30	+0	No	+$9	08-08 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	5	$43	192	0	+192	Up	+$37	10-16 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	9	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	09-11 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	10-16 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$61	09-11 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	-$39	10-23 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:05 UTC	5	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	09-25 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	9	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-04 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	10-02 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:20 UTC	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-25 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	6	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	10-02 05:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	3	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	10-16 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-04 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-04 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-18 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:25 UTC	3	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	10-16 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:35 UTC	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-18 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:55 UTC	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-25 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	10-09 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-11 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	09-18 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-18 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	10-23 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:25 UTC	3	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	09-18 03:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:45 UTC	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-25 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 09:05 UTC	3	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	09-18 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	8	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	09-11 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 01:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x2090d2…
11-01 01:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xa29743…
11-01 01:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x9fc541…
11-01 01:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x116e7d…
11-01 00:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xfe231b…
11-01 00:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc80927…
11-01 00:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xafcc52…
11-01 00:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xef414f…
11-01 00:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xe0eabf…
11-01 00:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xb61dda…
11-01 00:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7f9562…
11-01 00:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x5ed725…
11-01 00:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x1cfe96…
11-01 00:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0xd27406…
11-01 00:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x8fc00b…
11-01 00:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x568e2d…
10-30 22:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc3376b…
10-30 22:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x6417ee…
10-30 22:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	36¢	$6	0x226655…
10-30 22:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	36¢	$14	0x1987ce…
10-30 22:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	80	36¢	$29	0x2c703d…
10-30 22:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xb0ac07…
10-30 22:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	68	36¢	$25	0x8a787c…
10-30 22:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x0da0f9…
10-30 21:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0xfc8d28…
10-30 21:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xd58fc3…
10-30 21:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xbcd3ca…
10-30 21:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9c6cd5…
10-30 21:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x8da9ff…
10-30 21:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x34603b…
10-30 21:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x0214fc…
10-30 21:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x8d39bc…
10-30 21:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x29e6a3…
10-30 21:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xd8097b…
10-30 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x1d5893…
10-30 21:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x1c557e…
10-30 21:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	36¢	$7	0xc5d768…
10-30 21:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0xe0072a…
10-30 21:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x21e610…
10-30 21:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xea67f2…
10-30 21:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xd7ce36…
10-30 21:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2e310d…
10-30 21:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x1da02e…
10-30 21:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0d744f…
10-30 21:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xec1d55…
10-30 21:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xd564b7…
10-30 21:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x65180c…
10-30 21:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x554f67…
10-30 20:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xb711b6…
10-30 20:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x891cfb…
10-30 20:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x83ba96…
10-30 20:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xcce85f…
10-30 20:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xa89ade…
10-30 20:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x5094b5…
10-30 20:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x313936…
10-30 20:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x11104d…
10-30 20:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x03d8b7…
10-30 20:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0x6c5b16…
10-30 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x5569ba…
10-30 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x269e7f…
10-30 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x24f8b7…
10-30 20:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	36¢	$21	0xc11963…
10-30 20:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0xb70779…
10-30 20:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xb19dbe…
10-30 20:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x3378c7…
10-30 19:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x6e6c0e…
10-30 19:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	36¢	$14	0xb464ae…
10-30 19:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x634b08…
10-30 19:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x49583d…
10-30 19:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xafabfc…
10-30 19:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x9306d2…
10-30 19:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x597956…
10-30 19:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x54e04f…
10-30 19:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x178d87…
10-30 19:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	10¢	$5	0xf1ead0…
10-30 19:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	10¢	$3	0x100692…
10-30 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb41b1e…
10-30 19:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd8c83f…
10-30 19:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x8c82a7…
10-30 19:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x37ea81…
10-30 19:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x32b7d1…
10-30 19:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x2339dd…
10-30 19:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xec3c4b…
10-30 19:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xe279ca…
10-30 19:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xc74a0b…
10-30 19:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x67f37c…
10-30 19:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x4be94a…
10-30 18:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xe31658…
10-30 18:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xe25ad7…
10-30 18:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x9ad7e4…
10-30 18:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0x87ac94…
10-30 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe5ab93…
10-30 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xdb7d0a…
10-30 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xca4fe8…
10-30 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb29845…
10-30 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xad5ade…
10-30 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xa00537…
10-30 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x6b53ca…
10-30 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x65ef6d…
10-30 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4b3294…