Monthly-Swimming — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$736

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

45.5%

Resolved

17,678

Trades

28,253

lifetime

Volume

$50.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-30 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 211 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 12% +$794

Other

1% 25% -$88

Tech

0% 100% +$46

Politics

0% 38% -$15

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 383 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	—	+55	$19	7¢	$4	-$16	08-12 10:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	13	$80	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$46	08-07 14:57
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	2	$54	80	80	+0	No	+$9	08-20 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	9	$53	148	0	+148	Down	+$15	09-11 06:15
will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	8	$49	30	30	+0	No	+$9	08-08 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	5	$43	192	0	+192	Up	+$37	10-16 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	9	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	09-11 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	10-16 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$61	09-11 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	-$39	10-23 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:05 UTC	5	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	09-25 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	9	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-04 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	10-02 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:20 UTC	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-25 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	6	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	10-02 05:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	3	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	10-16 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-04 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-04 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-18 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:25 UTC	3	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	10-16 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:35 UTC	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-18 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:55 UTC	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-25 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	10-09 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-11 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	09-18 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-18 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	10-23 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:25 UTC	3	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	09-18 03:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:45 UTC	2	$39	180	0	+180	Down	+$41	09-25 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 09:05 UTC	3	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	09-18 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	8	$39	180	0	+180	Up	+$41	09-11 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	80	36¢	$29	0x09c9c7…
10-30 09:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	80	36¢	$29	0xa4ed6d…
10-30 09:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	61	10¢	$6	0xf839bc…
10-30 09:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xe7574d…
10-30 09:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x2deff6…
10-30 09:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	80	36¢	$29	0xe7357d…
10-30 09:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	80	36¢	$29	0x3d1e96…
10-30 09:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0xd56fb7…
10-30 09:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xa4ac12…
10-30 09:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x95418a…
10-30 09:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x9408c1…
10-30 09:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x60f5f7…
10-30 08:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x589086…
10-30 08:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x8618e5…
10-30 08:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xe0a0ad…
10-30 08:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xa2d982…
10-30 08:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x54fd05…
10-30 08:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xb781c3…
10-30 08:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x69f0b8…
10-30 08:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xd9b9e2…
10-30 08:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xd66f8b…
10-30 08:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x717674…
10-30 08:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x3a705a…
10-30 08:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x159c64…
10-30 08:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xbf84fb…
10-30 08:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xbe4a15…
10-30 08:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x71bc5a…
10-30 08:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x5db8be…
10-30 08:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x45101c…
10-30 08:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x357aa1…
10-30 08:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x1ca81c…
10-30 08:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x07a023…
10-30 08:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0x899980…
10-30 08:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	43	36¢	$15	0x74139e…
10-30 08:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x398463…
10-30 08:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	79	36¢	$28	0xe1abe7…
10-30 08:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x3a5a56…
10-30 08:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x5230fc…
10-30 08:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xfc9eed…
10-30 08:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0xe56cb6…
10-30 08:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xdf6bd7…
10-30 08:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd39a6e…
10-30 08:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd10aae…
10-30 08:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4bc705…
10-30 08:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x9579b8…
10-30 08:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x84744c…
10-30 08:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	61	36¢	$22	0xef1d9d…
10-30 08:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x7774b4…
10-30 08:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x5effd8…
10-30 07:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x93a1ee…
10-30 07:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x224acc…
10-30 07:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x4e5b54…
10-30 07:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x76415e…
10-30 07:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x464210…
10-30 07:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3ce851…
10-30 07:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0f5954…
10-30 07:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xee6a06…
10-30 07:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xc62123…
10-30 05:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x8e657f…
10-30 05:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x18637d…
10-30 05:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0xfc2c9d…
10-30 05:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf61622…
10-30 05:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xcbfd4e…
10-30 05:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xaf1982…
10-30 05:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x23cb86…
10-30 05:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0x212276…
10-30 05:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb2c674…
10-30 05:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x8bd94c…
10-30 05:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x6418d1…
10-30 05:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xf03e1b…
10-30 05:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x56dd7a…
10-30 05:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x2bc274…
10-30 05:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf98e33…
10-30 05:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x8cf1f7…
10-30 05:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x3d70ad…
10-30 05:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0x1c5be5…
10-30 05:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x9914c7…
10-30 05:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	36¢	$12	0x38ae9f…
10-30 05:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x209da8…
10-30 05:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xe3ed11…
10-30 05:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x3ca3fb…
10-30 05:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	36¢	$12	0x3a1d5c…
10-30 04:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x43e0f6…
10-30 04:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xaf533f…
10-30 03:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0xfcf641…
10-30 03:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x801036…
10-30 03:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xb7fdd5…
10-30 03:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xe9c557…
10-30 03:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa9123a…
10-30 03:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x98372b…
10-30 03:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x039c5b…
10-30 01:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xd787d6…
10-30 01:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0x2d5f5a…
10-30 01:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x229588…
10-30 01:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x8b9b3e…
10-30 01:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x6a068c…
10-30 01:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x40ec5c…
10-30 01:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xeead04…
10-30 01:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$6	0xb172f0…
10-30 00:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	36¢	$29	0x6e8c82…