Well-Lit-Spokesman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,937

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-05 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 83% $-15

Other

25% — —

Politics

19% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by jan 31	21	$355	200	200	+0	open	—	01-18 22:16
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	31	$272	204	204	+0	open	—	01-17 16:38
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	3	$272	100	200	-100	open	—	01-15 21:46
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	15	$260	139	139	+0	open	—	01-04 06:31
over 30m committed to the ranger public sale 951	17	$256	160	140	+20	open	—	01-09 21:48
will ole miss win the 2026 college football national championship	13	$249	140	140	+0	open	—	01-02 04:49
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	2	$180	100	100	+0	open	—	01-13 04:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$176	100	100	+0	open	—	02-04 00:42
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	5	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	02-09 12:31
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	5	$152	100	100	+0	open	—	01-03 12:18
Will the US strike Iran next?	9	$149	87	87	+0	open	—	01-31 23:16
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	8	$139	80	80	+0	open	—	01-22 00:03
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	8	$98	60	60	+0	open	—	02-10 23:14
will a contestant numbered 151 175 win beast games season 2	7	$87	54	54	+0	open	—	01-08 23:45
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	3	$83	50	50	+0	open	—	02-04 05:10
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 800k 271	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	01-08 13:29
will israel strike lebanon on january 15 2026	5	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	01-15 14:11
will iron lung opening weekend box office be less than 11m	3	$74	20	60	-40	open	—	01-28 15:45
us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	4	$73	60	20	+40	open	—	01-06 07:05
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	10	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	01-11 13:32
will trump and netanyahu not shake hands by february 13 2026	7	$66	40	40	+0	open	—	02-11 08:47
nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	3	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	01-13 23:25
will miami florida win the 2026 college football national championship	3	$55	35	35	+0	open	—	01-03 14:39
will trumps approval rating be less than 41pt0 on january 9 2026	2	$55	20	40	-20	open	—	01-03 23:51
Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	4	$52	30	30	+0	open	—	01-06 19:04
will israel strike gaza on january 26 2026	4	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	01-27 12:38
us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	4	$39	25	25	+0	open	—	02-04 21:32
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	01-03 20:24
will israel strike gaza on january 16 2026	3	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	01-17 02:51
curfew in minneapolis saint paul by friday	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	02-04 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 02:18:54	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd69c5c…
06-05 02:18:54	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xa014d5…
06-05 02:18:54	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x29dddb…
06-05 01:57:27	btc updown 5m 1780624500	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x7ff711…
06-05 01:57:04	btc updown 5m 1780624500	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xed642d…
06-05 01:47:18	btc updown 5m 1780623900	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x3ed2e7…
06-05 01:47:07	btc updown 5m 1780623900	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x93c7c6…
06-05 01:38:22	btc updown 5m 1780623300	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xf75340…
06-05 01:37:46	btc updown 5m 1780623300	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4cb7cb…
06-05 01:24:09	btc updown 5m 1780622400	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xeeb087…
06-05 01:22:09	btc updown 5m 1780622400	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8d80c3…
06-05 01:18:04	btc updown 5m 1780622100	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xfa06df…
06-05 01:18:04	btc updown 5m 1780622100	Down	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x8f3a1d…
06-05 01:18:04	btc updown 5m 1780622100	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x792d66…
06-05 01:12:57	btc updown 5m 1780621800	Down	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xb2f849…
06-05 01:12:57	btc updown 5m 1780621800	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x4aefd0…
06-05 01:07:16	btc updown 5m 1780621500	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xcd3ffb…
06-05 01:07:03	btc updown 5m 1780621500	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd2294e…
06-05 00:58:09	btc updown 5m 1780620900	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xfe121f…
06-05 00:57:57	btc updown 5m 1780620900	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe7b7af…
06-05 00:47:13	btc updown 5m 1780620300	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x1f92e8…
06-05 00:47:03	btc updown 5m 1780620300	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5cd7ac…
06-05 00:33:19	btc updown 5m 1780619400	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x1f84b3…
06-05 00:33:04	btc updown 5m 1780619400	Up	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xe7ff71…
06-05 00:33:03	btc updown 5m 1780619400	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xf9cfaf…
06-05 00:33:03	btc updown 5m 1780619400	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x5ec68e…
06-05 00:33:03	btc updown 5m 1780619400	Up	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x4cc2ee…
06-05 00:29:43	btc updown 5m 1780619100	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xa16a24…
06-05 00:29:36	btc updown 5m 1780619100	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xf24c00…
06-05 00:29:36	btc updown 5m 1780619100	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xc29888…
06-05 00:29:36	btc updown 5m 1780619100	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xb18dcc…
06-05 00:29:36	btc updown 5m 1780619100	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x613b6a…
06-05 00:29:36	btc updown 5m 1780619100	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x2a3820…
06-05 00:29:34	btc updown 5m 1780619100	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x130258…
06-05 00:19:45	btc updown 5m 1780618500	Down	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x2c7764…
06-05 00:19:36	btc updown 5m 1780618500	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x5022a0…
06-05 00:07:15	btc updown 5m 1780617900	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xd21ce1…
06-05 00:07:04	btc updown 5m 1780617900	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x78d207…
06-05 00:02:48	btc updown 5m 1780617600	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x012948…
06-05 00:02:36	btc updown 5m 1780617600	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x960d86…
06-04 23:58:10	btc updown 5m 1780617300	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xbd5456…
06-04 23:57:00	btc updown 5m 1780617300	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x876e22…
06-04 23:50:01	btc updown 5m 1780616700	Down	BUY	8	18¢	$2	0xc102bc…
06-04 23:50:00	btc updown 5m 1780616700	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x2f1bea…
06-04 23:22:36	btc updown 5m 1780615200	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x716fc3…
06-04 23:22:03	btc updown 5m 1780615200	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1048df…
06-04 21:27:04	btc updown 5m 1780608300	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7cb922…
06-04 21:27:04	btc updown 5m 1780608300	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3c62a5…
06-04 21:14:07	btc updown 5m 1780607400	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xb97e03…
06-04 21:12:04	btc updown 5m 1780607400	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x31176e…
06-04 21:03:16	btc updown 5m 1780606800	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe7d68f…
06-04 21:02:16	btc updown 5m 1780606800	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd3869f…
06-04 20:49:45	btc updown 5m 1780605900	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xf3b9dc…
06-04 20:49:01	btc updown 5m 1780605900	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xbfabe1…
05-28 01:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa20928…
05-24 14:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x913275…
05-24 14:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x75da28…
05-24 14:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1670e4…
05-24 14:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x8f8c2f…
05-24 14:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x584790…
05-24 14:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5da53f…
05-24 14:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x87b85e…
05-24 13:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x60ff8a…
05-24 13:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x031bda…
05-24 09:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x647225…
05-24 09:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf49e6a…
05-24 06:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7ef0d5…
05-24 06:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd52c82…
05-19 00:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x681483…
05-08 21:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0caca5…
05-08 21:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xf0f465…
05-08 21:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x5a9b37…
05-08 21:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7b7935…
05-08 14:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x52ddca…
05-08 14:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x96094b…
05-08 03:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xccc239…
05-08 00:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4ecff4…
05-08 00:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xc5fdef…
05-08 00:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1db944…
05-07 15:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa2f7b8…
05-07 15:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe7569e…
05-07 14:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2dcb35…
05-07 13:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7016cb…
05-07 13:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x29fe9d…
05-07 07:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0c3f0c…
05-07 02:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0fb698…
05-07 01:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x910007…
05-07 01:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd97444…
05-07 01:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3bd22a…
05-06 19:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd12ff7…
05-06 16:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc85328…
05-06 16:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0xbb7f91…
05-06 16:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x444f3f…
05-06 13:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x1a40ce…
05-06 13:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb1eb6c…
05-06 13:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf3717a…
05-06 13:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x92abb0…
05-06 12:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9f563b…
05-06 12:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x077729…
05-06 05:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbc9a34…