Calculating-Messenger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

310

Trades

589

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-01 02:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% -$25

Other

0% 67% +$0

Politics

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:00 UTC	2	$63	32	32	+0	Down	+$0	03-30 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$58	55	55	+0	Down	+$6	05-31 06:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 14:30 UTC	4	$29	19	19	+0	Down	-$1	02-04 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 20:05 UTC	3	$27	18	13	+5	Down	-$2	03-09 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$26	17	15	+2	Up	-$2	08-05 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 20:20 UTC	4	$25	19	18	+0	Down	+$1	03-09 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 20:10 UTC	3	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	03-09 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:40 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	04-01 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$19	12	12	+0	Up	+$3	10-20 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 13:05 UTC	8	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	08-05 13:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 20:15 UTC	4	$16	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 14:30 UTC	2	$16	16	16	+0	Up	+$6	08-08 14:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 13:10 UTC	2	$16	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	03-22 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 14:35 UTC	4	$15	16	15	+1	Up	$0	04-01 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 13:00 UTC	5	$15	10	8	+2	Down	-$1	08-05 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:10 UTC	4	$15	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	03-30 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:55 UTC	5	$14	9	7	+2	Down	+$0	03-08 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:10 UTC	4	$14	14	13	+0	Down	$0	03-30 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$14	13	13	+1	Down	+$4	04-26 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:55 UTC	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$5	03-30 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 17:35 UTC	3	$13	14	7	+7	Up	$0	03-30 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 03:35 UTC	3	$12	8	6	+1	Up	+$0	03-04 03:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 17:50 UTC	4	$12	19	2	+17	Up	-$1	03-26 17:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 14:30 UTC	2	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	02-05 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$12	16	8	+8	Up	-$4	05-31 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:30 UTC	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	03-31 11:35
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$11	9	9	+0	Yes	-$1	03-11 15:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 07:10 UTC	2	$11	10	9	+0	Down	+$5	04-01 07:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 07:05 UTC	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	03-04 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:40 UTC	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	03-30 11:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x8b04d7…
11-01 02:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x89fc0c…
11-01 01:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xd9f01a…
11-01 01:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4846cd…
11-01 01:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x0a84ca…
11-01 01:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x890e13…
10-29 20:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x2a3363…
10-29 20:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf31419…
10-29 20:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdb0b31…
10-29 20:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x2d264e…
10-29 20:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa39b0d…
10-29 20:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6b1866…
10-29 20:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xc9492f…
10-29 20:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbfa04e…
10-29 16:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x6ba396…
10-29 16:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x30fb32…
10-29 11:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x96fbfc…
10-29 11:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8f3aa2…
10-28 23:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5aaf69…
10-28 09:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x66221c…
10-28 09:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbddb11…
10-28 08:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x3fdf11…
10-28 08:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3eb854…
10-28 08:18:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x728750…
10-28 08:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x07cba0…
10-28 08:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaa0a30…
10-28 08:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x692e7f…
10-28 08:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa1c563…
10-28 08:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x60d697…
10-28 07:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x01feab…
10-28 07:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb0553a…
10-28 07:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe0f75d…
10-28 06:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x78fc90…
10-28 06:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9a5598…
10-21 17:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xe289c8…
10-21 17:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8b0980…
10-21 17:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa74c0f…
10-21 17:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x3c4161…
10-21 17:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5ec808…
10-21 08:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x669ff5…
10-21 08:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf0364f…
10-21 08:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x60e3fb…
10-21 08:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe05d23…
10-21 03:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x46a20b…
10-21 03:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x738fe8…
10-21 03:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x71a47c…
10-21 03:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xce00b6…
10-21 03:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x75c735…
10-20 18:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xef8759…
10-20 18:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb66009…
10-20 18:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6ca791…
10-20 18:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x47ebc0…
10-20 18:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2cf04d…
10-20 18:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcbff2f…
10-20 07:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x57e786…
10-20 07:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xc8e822…
10-20 07:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x508a9b…
10-20 07:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc9a928…
10-20 07:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x4238cc…
10-20 07:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x000a64…
09-20 21:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xcf2fdd…
09-20 21:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x78ae17…
09-20 20:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x080e86…
09-20 18:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa40492…
09-20 16:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xac65e7…
09-20 15:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0773c1…
09-18 13:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeacaa2…
09-16 10:07:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb942cf…
09-16 08:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x9d7fed…
09-16 08:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xffbd05…
09-13 09:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x627cb1…
09-13 09:00:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x816fd6…
09-13 08:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x704f38…
09-13 08:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x125eb4…
08-15 13:13:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xd49f16…
08-15 13:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfeec07…
08-15 12:47:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xdd26f6…
08-15 12:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xb7023f…
08-15 12:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xac4705…
08-15 12:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd07de6…
08-15 12:31:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xd61062…
08-15 12:31:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x39286d…
08-15 12:31:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x841f4c…
08-15 12:30:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x98033f…
08-13 15:26:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc6f95b…
08-13 15:23:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 15:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x37ad6d…
08-13 15:21:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0e3488…
08-13 14:52:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x5429b3…
08-13 14:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa96f03…
08-13 13:51:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x3fd513…
08-13 13:50:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5ab4ce…
08-13 13:49:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc3d6d7…
08-12 16:13:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x35bd98…
08-12 16:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe125ea…
08-12 13:51:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x821a70…
08-12 13:50:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x35cdd7…
08-11 07:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x90b7fd…
08-11 07:06:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x53ea62…
08-10 18:45:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x14eeab…
08-10 18:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x634fb0…