Grouchy-Hall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$193

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

138

Trades

228

lifetime

Volume

$26.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 07-18 10:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 97% -$6

Other

29% 96% -$189

Politics

4% 100% +$1

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp above 1pt1 on march 3	8	$1.0K	520	520	+0	Yes	+$1	03-03 04:12
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	2	$1.0K	522	522	+0	No	-$24	03-04 09:13
xrp above 1pt1 on march 23	6	$695	348	348	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 01:26
will xrp dip to 1 in february 2026	4	$636	319	319	+0	No	+$2	02-28 23:02
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$632	317	317	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 07:12
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	14	$616	312	312	+0	No	-$1	03-26 12:01
will xrp dip to 0pt8 march 2 8	18	$595	298	298	+0	No	+$0	03-07 14:56
highest temperature in san francisco on march 25 2026 54 55f	2	$558	280	280	+0	No	+$1	03-25 07:58
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	1	$520	521	0	+521	No	+$1	03-03 09:57
will the price of solana be between 140 150 on february 10	1	$510	511	0	+511	No	+$1	02-09 07:52
will xrp reach 2 february 2 8	1	$510	510	0	+510	No	+$1	02-08 05:38
bitcoin above 84k on february 7	1	$509	510	0	+510	No	+$1	02-07 04:16
solana above 140 on february 13	1	$501	501	0	+501	No	+$1	02-11 06:32
nba phi den 2026 03 17	1	$500	501	0	+501	Nuggets	+$1	03-18 03:51
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt00 on march 17	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	03-15 03:09
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on march 14	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$0	03-13 07:36
will xrp dip to 0pt9 march 2 8	1	$498	498	0	+498	No	+$0	03-08 03:38
xrp above 1 on march 12	1	$496	497	0	+497	Yes	+$0	03-12 08:02
bitcoin above 84k on march 11	1	$496	496	0	+496	No	+$0	03-10 04:43
highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 24c	2	$467	235	235	+0	No	+$2	04-10 05:06
solana above 40 on february 25	4	$448	225	225	+0	Yes	+$0	02-23 22:46
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on march 24	1	$416	417	0	+417	No	+$1	03-23 03:35
highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	13	$384	197	189	+7	No	+$2	03-25 21:34
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 25 2026 24c	19	$379	225	156	+69	No	+$2	03-25 13:55
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$332	333	0	+333	No	+$0	04-01 15:40
will xrp dip to 0pt8 in march 2026	1	$331	331	0	+331	No	+$0	03-30 07:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$316	317	0	+317	Yes	+$1	02-28 07:43
bitcoin above 74k on february 27	1	$316	316	0	+316	No	+$0	02-27 06:01
will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on april 3	2	$305	153	153	+0	No	+$0	04-02 10:17
xrp above 0pt9 on february 15	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	02-14 03:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 10:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xfd883f…
07-16 03:23:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 17?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xd78267…
07-10 11:41:20	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on July 11?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7c2378…
07-10 11:39:29	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 11?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xcb64e0…
07-07 02:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on July 8?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xc0348d…
07-05 07:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on July 6?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x479713…
07-03 01:44:31	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on July 4?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x9c7332…
07-01 02:49:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x7e3d0b…
06-29 02:17:50	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on June 29?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x9189b6…
06-29 02:17:05	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x812256…
06-27 04:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 28?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xf261d4…
06-25 12:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x56e268…
06-21 03:11:55	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C or below on June 22?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xe5e92c…
06-19 03:08:29	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C or below on June 20?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xb8ae97…
06-17 03:36:01	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x2f85eb…
06-15 03:19:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 15?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0x77370c…
06-13 05:40:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x1b31ae…
06-11 12:45:58	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on June 12?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x8239c0…
06-09 03:49:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on June 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xfa3a22…
06-09 03:45:52	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on June 9?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x3da1e9…
06-07 09:26:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on June 8?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xd2ba4e…
06-05 08:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x9f229c…
06-02 08:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 2?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x4076af…
05-31 03:47:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on May 31?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe0e2e2…
05-30 09:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 30?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xfc9e86…
05-28 02:58:41	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or below on May 29?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x8bb3e4…
05-27 10:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x53a65c…
05-24 11:01:57	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 26?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd6b2fa…
05-23 06:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1ed7c6…
05-16 09:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0fd922…
05-14 10:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 24°C on May 16?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x61e0d3…
05-01 08:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x9a3317…
04-29 08:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 29?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xfd6073…
04-28 10:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x365539…
04-26 08:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 27?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x4438ca…
04-26 03:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xf37d59…
04-25 10:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x6a814e…
04-22 08:24:20	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 23 2026 25c	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xf72de0…
04-21 09:07:32	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 28c	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x432745…
04-18 09:49:30	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 19 2026 28c	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xe73319…
04-16 05:57:32	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 17 2026 27c	No	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x0ff64e…
04-15 04:05:30	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 16 2026 28c	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x98bc44…
04-14 07:17:07	highest temperature in taipei on april 15 2026 28c	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x51f21b…
04-13 03:08:23	highest temperature in taipei on april 14 2026 27c	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xe1ee4c…
04-11 07:30:53	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 12 2026 25c	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb32a4d…
04-11 06:19:45	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 27c	No	SELL	49	30¢	$15	0x30e134…
04-11 06:19:29	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 27c	No	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x748645…
04-10 09:20:05	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 28c	No	BUY	174	98¢	$170	0xc109f5…
04-10 09:19:49	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 27c	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x6c0781…
04-10 05:06:59	highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 24c	No	SELL	235	100¢	$235	0xd7fc98…
04-09 04:02:29	highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 24c	No	BUY	235	99¢	$233	0x0f207d…
04-07 02:58:33	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on april 8	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xdcbf13…
04-07 02:58:19	solana above 30 on april 8	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x8b8792…
04-06 02:22:37	will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on april 6	No	BUY	233	100¢	$232	0x11d9ba…
04-05 03:32:03	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 23c	No	BUY	232	100¢	$231	0x767965…
04-03 03:49:21	highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 6c	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x39f60a…
04-02 10:17:39	will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on april 3	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x79d80b…
04-02 01:54:15	will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on april 3	No	BUY	153	100¢	$152	0x3cf900…
04-01 19:59:37	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd0d45a…
04-01 15:40:59	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xb1d607…
04-01 15:40:49	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x39e152…
04-01 03:49:21	xrp above 1 on april 2	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xb78112…
03-31 02:07:29	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x011572…
03-30 07:52:32	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	331	100¢	$331	0xfe52e8…
03-29 03:58:56	solana above 50 on march 30	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x4b0133…
03-26 14:35:03	will xrp reach 2 march 23 29	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0xbb5491…
03-26 14:34:53	will xrp dip to 0pt8 march 23 29	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x55de60…
03-26 12:01:37	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xcbff95…
03-26 11:20:07	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 31c	No	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x7d45e3…
03-26 10:29:05	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xceae9e…
03-26 10:18:57	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xbafd27…
03-26 10:05:23	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xbcd6ee…
03-26 10:05:23	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3324b7…
03-26 10:05:23	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2fbcc5…
03-26 09:48:45	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaaaa44…
03-26 09:12:09	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	SELL	120	99¢	$118	0xab46c7…
03-26 08:58:09	xrp above 0pt9 on march 28	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xfcc54f…
03-26 08:28:47	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe6855f…
03-26 08:28:05	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3e5e70…
03-26 08:15:29	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2a8c5d…
03-26 08:10:43	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x75792c…
03-26 08:10:29	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf40c07…
03-26 06:23:29	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 31c	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9d8060…
03-26 02:46:29	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	No	BUY	312	99¢	$308	0xf1784e…
03-26 02:46:09	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 31c	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xd57f34…
03-25 21:34:45	highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfaac42…
03-25 21:34:45	highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xf6ea38…
03-25 21:34:45	highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x26ba07…
03-25 19:53:51	highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6e341a…
03-25 19:46:11	highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcd4af9…
03-25 19:45:53	highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xec697d…
03-25 19:45:53	highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x95545b…
03-25 19:45:53	highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x8a3147…
03-25 19:45:53	highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x736798…
03-25 19:45:53	highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x658543…
03-25 19:31:05	highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x637524…
03-25 19:30:57	highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbcae80…
03-25 13:55:23	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 25 2026 24c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x75dafe…
03-25 13:48:33	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 25 2026 24c	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xfa214d…
03-25 13:35:01	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 25 2026 24c	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5800a2…