Quick-Witted-Toffee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

135

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$36.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$187

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 96% +$137

Other

7% 88% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$593	298	298	+0	No	+$2	10-17 00:30
bitcoin above 72k on august 22 2026	2	$569	286	286	+0	Yes	-$1	08-22 09:23
bitcoin above 68k on august 5 2026	2	$541	272	272	+0	No	+$1	08-05 03:29
will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	2	$537	274	274	+0	No	-$3	07-27 10:57
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$524	312	312	+0	No	-$70	10-21 06:40
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	2	$515	261	261	+0	No	-$1	06-24 10:49
bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	2	$507	255	255	+0	No	+$1	06-07 03:36
will bitcoin reach 80k june 1 7 2026	2	$504	254	254	+0	No	+$2	06-05 15:39
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	7	$461	231	231	+0	No	+$1	05-21 07:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	2	$459	230	230	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 14:31
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on april 17	2	$444	222	222	+0	No	+$0	04-17 14:23
bitcoin above 74k on march 20	2	$403	205	205	+0	No	+$0	03-20 05:42
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	10	$396	199	199	-0	No	+$2	03-11 07:19
bitcoin above 82k on march 12	2	$395	198	198	+0	No	+$0	03-11 04:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	3	$391	197	197	-0	No	$0	03-03 10:50
bitcoin above 76k on february 25	2	$388	194	194	+0	No	+$0	02-24 06:33
bitcoin above 76k on february 14	2	$377	189	189	+0	No	+$0	02-13 18:42
bitcoin above 74k on february 6	2	$370	188	188	+0	No	+$4	02-06 04:05
bitcoin above 94k on february 4	2	$365	183	183	+0	No	+$0	02-04 04:24
bitcoin above 90k on january 30	2	$358	179	179	+0	No	+$0	01-30 06:00
bitcoin above 100k on january 30	2	$358	179	179	+0	No	+$0	01-30 00:48
bitcoin above 96k on january 23	2	$349	176	176	+0	No	+$1	01-23 02:59
bitcoin above 94k on january 15	2	$339	172	172	+0	Yes	+$0	01-15 13:03
bitcoin above 100k on january 15	2	$336	172	172	+0	No	+$2	01-15 06:28
bitcoin above 98k on january 14	3	$335	170	170	+0	No	+$0	01-14 13:15
bitcoin above 94k on january 8	3	$331	172	172	+0	No	+$1	01-08 02:21
bitcoin above 96k on january 5	2	$328	166	166	+0	No	+$2	01-05 15:59
bitcoin above 86k on january 2	2	$315	160	160	+0	Yes	+$2	01-02 07:17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$305	154	154	+0	No	+$1	10-25 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$304	153	153	+0	No	+$2	10-24 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 16:41:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x294e3c…
10-25 16:38:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	129	96¢	$124	0x225bcc…
10-25 15:42:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$153	0x32c251…
10-24 14:42:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0xd9db66…
10-24 14:25:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x2a4a35…
10-23 05:23:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0x9c1352…
10-22 23:36:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xf2f702…
10-21 06:40:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	312	73¢	$227	0x9831db…
10-17 00:33:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	312	95¢	$297	0x4badb1…
10-17 00:30:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	298	100¢	$298	0xdea01b…
10-15 12:30:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	298	99¢	$296	0x73dd3a…
10-14 06:41:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$88	0x0e1e28…
10-14 05:28:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	207	99¢	$204	0xe156a2…
10-13 05:43:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$291	0xdfa0c7…
10-07 01:33:17	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 5-11?	No	BUY	292	99¢	$290	0x4269e8…
10-02 04:37:41	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$289	0x8d8635…
09-25 00:08:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0x937894…
09-22 00:04:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0xc5afa0…
09-20 00:50:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 14-20?	No	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0xce0186…
09-17 23:54:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0xb99b63…
09-14 11:14:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	286	100¢	$286	0xbb42c0…
09-11 23:55:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	287	100¢	$286	0x3f5c68…
09-08 00:02:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0xf2c8f0…
09-06 00:58:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0x60ca33…
09-04 00:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 5?	Yes	BUY	285	100¢	$284	0x88a0ae…
09-01 01:41:22	bitcoin above 68k on september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	284	100¢	$284	0x92cd8a…
08-22 09:23:48	bitcoin above 72k on august 22 2026	Yes	SELL	286	99¢	$284	0xf6b143…
08-22 03:40:12	bitcoin above 72k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0xdf39d2…
08-21 00:17:04	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	284	99¢	$283	0xa86e3a…
08-20 08:58:24	ethereum above 2100 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	283	99¢	$279	0xd9414f…
08-17 23:54:55	ethereum above 1800 on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	279	100¢	$278	0xfee257…
08-17 07:14:19	ethereum above 1700 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	278	100¢	$278	0x7dae83…
08-14 01:52:49	will bitcoin reach 70k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	278	99¢	$276	0x47e0a2…
08-13 04:03:27	ethereum above 2000 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	276	100¢	$275	0x88056e…
08-11 23:49:16	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0xab07ed…
08-11 10:00:42	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0x96b363…
08-07 00:04:39	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	275	99¢	$272	0x032bc5…
08-06 06:34:03	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0xf05995…
08-05 05:57:27	ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0x7e1680…
08-05 03:29:08	bitcoin above 68k on august 5 2026	No	SELL	272	100¢	$271	0xc7d04e…
08-03 13:42:44	bitcoin above 68k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	272	99¢	$270	0x7efa78…
08-02 00:05:17	will ethereum reach 2100 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0xe4b684…
08-01 04:45:02	ethereum above 1700 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	270	99¢	$268	0xdac57b…
07-30 00:28:20	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	268	100¢	$267	0xb99949…
07-28 03:08:07	ethereum above 2100 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x7f9240…
07-27 10:57:55	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	SELL	274	98¢	$267	0xbf9a53…
07-26 02:05:21	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	274	99¢	$270	0x602a58…
07-25 01:37:48	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0xa0d8e5…
07-23 07:58:40	ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0x1620a5…
07-23 07:35:21	ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x408f5d…
07-23 05:28:19	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x95fe84…
07-22 01:52:25	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	268	100¢	$267	0x7a6396…
07-21 06:06:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	268	100¢	$267	0x12a7fb…
07-20 05:27:43	ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	268	99¢	$266	0x03568a…
07-18 05:22:00	will ethereum reach 2200 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	266	100¢	$265	0x13d66a…
07-17 05:39:01	ethereum above 2000 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	266	100¢	$265	0x140fa8…
07-15 00:30:28	ethereum above 1700 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	265	99¢	$263	0xe395a7…
07-14 01:53:35	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 13	No	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0x90e559…
07-13 00:16:16	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0x5f1df7…
07-12 03:26:22	ethereum above 1700 on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	262	99¢	$259	0x498c55…
07-11 04:46:32	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 11?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0x7aa5b0…
07-10 04:57:01	ethereum above 1600 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	259	100¢	$258	0x628888…
07-08 05:45:56	ethereum above 2000 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0x403d5a…
07-02 10:52:49	will bitcoin dip to 46k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0x31d248…
06-24 10:49:43	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	258	100¢	$257	0x03e411…
06-24 10:49:02	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	261	99¢	$257	0x4be8b6…
06-22 12:01:19	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	261	99¢	$258	0xa82469…
06-17 04:46:52	will bitcoin dip to 52k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	258	100¢	$257	0xefba2c…
06-12 04:45:37	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	257	100¢	$256	0xebdf38…
06-09 02:17:37	bitcoin above 70k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	257	100¢	$256	0xb57a34…
06-07 06:58:28	bitcoin above 58k on june 7 2026 356 993	Yes	BUY	256	99¢	$254	0x53e8fe…
06-07 03:36:06	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0xdf199b…
06-06 12:14:54	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	255	99¢	$253	0xc55db7…
06-05 15:39:49	will bitcoin reach 80k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	254	100¢	$253	0x956dc0…
06-02 05:46:21	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	254	99¢	$251	0x550d2f…
05-25 13:12:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	252	99¢	$250	0xa4c5e7…
05-23 01:11:10	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x39dab4…
05-22 00:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xe3bf67…
05-22 00:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xbd2e7a…
05-22 00:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$39	0xb5d3db…
05-21 12:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xcff5ad…
05-21 12:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x333a20…
05-21 12:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x515197…
05-21 07:31:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x77962c…
05-21 06:58:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x245f50…
05-21 06:58:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x06c1e4…
05-21 06:58:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2df3c7…
05-21 06:43:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd200ec…
05-21 06:33:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x6d3e3f…
05-20 00:22:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	231	99¢	$230	0x7dfc1f…
05-16 00:40:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0xb70697…
05-11 14:31:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x9c14ef…
05-11 11:50:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0x0474d9…
05-09 00:13:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	228	99¢	$227	0x8df3fc…
05-07 02:20:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	227	99¢	$225	0x7805a8…
05-01 13:21:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	226	99¢	$225	0x83fcf2…
04-22 06:27:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	225	99¢	$222	0x99774d…
04-20 04:24:28	bitcoin above 66k on april 21	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x7af66f…
04-18 14:34:38	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 13 19	No	SELL	123	100¢	$122	0x872b7d…
04-18 01:34:00	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 13 19	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x4ef418…