Miserly-Spume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

281

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 17:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	25	+25	No	-$24	05-15 04:41
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 04:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 08:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 09:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 07:41
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 23 2026 25c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:33
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:09
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 19corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 00:39
highest temperature in karachi on april 22 2026 33c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 15:57
highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 07:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 15:44
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 07:15
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 50 51f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 12:01
highest temperature in los angeles on april 19 2026 70 71f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 02:14
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:41
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 66forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 00:42
highest temperature in wuhan on april 18 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:15
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:32
highest temperature in manila on april 17 2026 36c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 10:31
highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 01:30
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 11:59
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x34fb27…
10-30 09:56:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8bf4f8…
10-29 08:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ba876…
10-28 07:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x936497…
10-27 08:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6c7c3…
10-26 09:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce5a84…
10-24 10:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc5c75…
10-22 10:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc35395…
10-20 04:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0c260…
10-19 08:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x640a0e…
10-18 08:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdb7bc…
10-17 09:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7dd3b6…
10-16 08:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c4c99…
10-15 09:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f01a7…
10-14 09:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6df3e…
10-13 08:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b884f…
10-12 08:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39ef4c…
10-11 08:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95c120…
10-08 08:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff0d58…
10-07 13:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79fd89…
10-06 07:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x362116…
10-04 10:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bfc44…
10-03 05:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a9b31…
10-02 07:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4030fe…
10-01 08:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x829b5f…
09-30 12:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5b581…
09-29 11:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe2352…
09-28 09:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb9f87…
09-27 08:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e44fc…
09-25 08:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8bccb…
09-24 08:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7dbac…
09-23 06:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x684c31…
09-22 07:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37f09a…
09-21 08:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fd411…
09-20 05:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23c4ba…
09-19 07:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9badb…
09-18 01:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16e013…
09-17 03:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72353a…
09-16 07:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x298e07…
09-15 08:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x065eae…
09-14 08:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a5772…
09-12 10:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc12a6b…
09-11 07:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55fd12…
09-10 02:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb42b33…
09-09 09:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1435cf…
09-09 01:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x577e81…
09-08 02:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x543827…
09-07 08:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe59b8…
09-06 17:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7eb769…
09-06 09:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33d2a7…
09-05 09:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4778c…
09-04 09:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66d8ca…
09-03 09:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6cd9ae…
09-02 06:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x824b5d…
08-30 08:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73ffaf…
08-29 07:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x898e67…
08-28 07:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80ac6e…
08-27 07:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e9dbf…
08-26 08:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a7ffd…
08-25 08:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18807e…
08-24 09:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab3a61…
08-23 14:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabfe63…
08-22 07:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc944f…
08-21 06:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc90c89…
08-20 08:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x492e01…
08-19 08:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f9ed8…
08-18 06:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bb8d7…
08-17 07:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc07bf9…
08-16 11:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32f958…
08-15 09:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d6481…
08-14 06:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3f8bd…
08-13 07:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1aea55…
08-12 07:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8607a6…
08-11 03:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8f872…
08-10 00:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec5f17…
08-09 01:14:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad22ed…
08-08 07:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08e09d…
08-07 00:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecc61f…
08-06 00:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e33f9…
08-05 07:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x111799…
08-04 07:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1db57c…
08-03 01:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabff5d…
08-02 01:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16d783…
08-01 06:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c676a…
07-31 07:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x341ed8…
07-30 06:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x540d4a…
07-29 06:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb919f4…
07-28 06:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51705c…
07-27 07:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x106f49…
07-26 06:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71084e…
07-25 01:04:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x774f1f…
07-24 09:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc453ca…
07-23 02:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d0dd4…
07-22 01:43:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68068b…
07-20 23:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a3631…
07-20 02:17:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd18a02…
07-18 22:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed60b6…
07-18 00:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9437a5…
07-17 06:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bbf57…
07-15 21:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4babff…