Realized P&L
+$1.71K
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
10,817
Trades
117,909
lifetime
Volume
$337.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$67
8 positions
First seen
2026-08-30
last 10-27 01:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Crypto
97% 45% +$1,259
Politics
2% 29% +$497
Other
1% 9% -$37
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 10407 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +40 $37 66¢ $27 -$10 09-03 16:47
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +40 $11 34¢ $14 +$3 09-04 19:10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$2 09-03 23:59
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +12 $10 82¢ $10 +$0 09-06 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down — +5 $1 100¢ $5 +$4 10-27 01:51
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No +12 $4 18¢ $2 -$2 09-06 15:38
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +10 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 09-03 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up — +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-27 01:50