Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
434
lifetime
Volume
$50.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 03-02 04:39
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
52%
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—
Crypto
34%
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Other
10%
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Sports
4%
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Activity
No trades on file.
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| btc updown 5m 1771281000 | 134 | $8.8K | 8,921 | 0 | +8,921 | open | — | 02-16 22:36 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 2 | $5.8K | 7,500 | 0 | +7,500 | open | — | 01-14 21:51 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | 2 | $3.7K | 2,500 | 2,500 | +0 | open | — | 02-28 06:46 |
| iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334 | 10 | $3.2K | 8,423 | 3,622 | +4,800 | open | — | 03-01 05:22 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 2 | $2.9K | 1,800 | 1,800 | +0 | open | — | 02-01 23:28 |
| iran strike on israel by february 28 | 6 | $2.6K | 10,166 | 9,434 | +732 | open | — | 02-28 20:38 |
| btc updown 5m 1771280700 | 30 | $2.5K | 1,910 | 567 | +1,343 | open | — | 02-16 22:31 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 2 | $2.4K | 1,500 | 1,500 | +0 | open | — | 02-28 19:39 |
| nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 | 2 | $2.0K | 2,247 | 0 | +2,247 | open | — | 02-09 02:19 |
| will trump declare war on iran by february 28 2026 | 4 | $1.4K | 1,478 | 0 | +1,478 | open | — | 02-28 08:59 |
| btc updown 5m 1771282200 | 9 | $1.3K | 1,745 | 0 | +1,745 | open | — | 02-16 22:53 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 11 | $1.3K | 7,500 | 7,500 | +0 | open | — | 01-17 01:02 |
| nothing ever happens khamenei | 2 | $1.3K | 882 | 882 | +0 | open | — | 02-28 19:43 |
| us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991 | 1 | $1.2K | 2,500 | 0 | +2,500 | open | — | 01-14 20:18 |
| will a gulf state strike iran by march 7 | 4 | $1.1K | 1,672 | 0 | +1,672 | open | — | 03-02 04:39 |
| another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867 | 1 | $1.0K | 1,220 | 0 | +1,220 | open | — | 01-07 01:08 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 1 | $1.0K | 4,168 | 0 | +4,168 | open | — | 01-07 01:06 |
| btc updown 15m 1771555500 | 47 | $805 | 1,556 | 0 | +1,556 | open | — | 02-20 02:50 |
| bitcoin above 94k on january 7 | 1 | $600 | 800 | 0 | +800 | open | — | 01-07 01:12 |
| will uae strike iran by march 31 | 1 | $525 | 706 | 0 | +706 | open | — | 03-01 08:19 |
| btc updown 15m 1771708500 | 10 | $464 | 528 | 0 | +528 | open | — | 02-21 21:23 |
| btc updown 5m 1771965900 | 5 | $402 | 497 | 0 | +497 | open | — | 02-24 20:48 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | 23 | $318 | 16,430 | 0 | +16,430 | open | — | 03-01 22:14 |
| btc updown 15m 1771710300 | 1 | $275 | 449 | 0 | +449 | open | — | 02-21 21:45 |
| odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 50 by january 16 | 1 | $275 | 320 | 0 | +320 | open | — | 01-09 07:24 |
| us strikes iran by february 10 2026 | 3 | $270 | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | open | — | 02-10 02:04 |
| btc updown 5m 1771795200 | 10 | $259 | 461 | 0 | +461 | open | — | 02-22 21:23 |
| btc updown 5m 1771282800 | 5 | $225 | 300 | 0 | +300 | open | — | 02-16 23:03 |
| btc updown 5m 1771282500 | 1 | $225 | 371 | 0 | +371 | open | — | 02-16 22:56 |
| caroline ellison new boyfriend by january 31 | 2 | $188 | 207 | 0 | +207 | open | — | 01-23 00:38 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1979…7c9d | 31 | $143.3K | 4,394 | 02-25 04:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8 | 31 | $29.4K | 2,093 | 02-25 04:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d | 31 | $14.8K | 2,352 | 02-25 04:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76 | 31 | $9.28K | 2,076 | 02-25 04:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5487…a014 | 31 | $7.31K | 1,504 | 02-25 04:43 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | 30 | $2.67M | 3,194 | 03-03 21:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a | 30 | $105.5K | 5,596 | 02-25 04:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d00…0313 | 30 | $70.1K | 3,360 | 02-25 04:44 |