Deadly-Inclusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$774

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-14 18:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 84% -$32

Politics

9% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:35 UTC	4	$63	32	32	+0	Down	+$0	03-29 19:39
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	03-17 14:35
bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 9am et	5	$61	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	04-05 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:45 UTC	2	$60	33	33	+0	Up	+$3	03-04 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:00 UTC	2	$55	29	29	+0	Up	+$2	03-04 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$54	55	0	+55	Up	+$1	05-14 18:39
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	02-09 07:24
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-28 19:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 13:30 UTC	1	$32	32	0	+32	Up	+$0	04-05 13:41
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	03-29 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$32	32	0	+32	Down	+$0	04-28 19:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:30 UTC	1	$29	29	0	+29	Up	+$0	03-04 17:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:15 UTC	1	$29	29	0	+29	Down	+$0	03-04 17:29
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	02-25 18:24
ethereum up or down february 11 2pm et	5	$26	26	0	+26	Up	+$0	02-11 20:05
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	1	$24	26	0	+26	No	+$2	01-13 15:31
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	1	$23	24	0	+24	No	+$1	01-12 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$22	24	0	+24	Up	-$22	05-05 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$22	22	0	+22	Down	+$0	05-05 19:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 18:00 UTC	1	$18	19	0	+19	Up	+$0	01-12 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$10	33	0	+33	Down	-$10	05-05 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$9	50	50	+0	Down	-$8	05-14 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 18:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0xa4fd02…
05-14 18:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa76c68…
05-14 18:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xf199c3…
05-14 18:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xd5274e…
05-05 19:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x15eb77…
05-05 19:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x100a85…
05-05 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x5aee7d…
04-28 19:52:04	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x7cc9f4…
04-28 19:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x990fc8…
04-05 13:56:25	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x84703d…
04-05 13:55:53	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x02ee71…
04-05 13:55:51	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xbbdd10…
04-05 13:55:07	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf95480…
04-05 13:52:53	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x964097…
04-05 13:41:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x7cba1d…
03-29 19:41:04	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x554fe1…
03-29 19:39:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:35 UTC	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xc2614b…
03-29 19:39:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:35 UTC	Down	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xac0e25…
03-29 19:39:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2f5a59…
03-29 19:39:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x54698c…
03-17 14:35:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$31	0x1770f5…
03-04 18:01:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x317178…
03-04 17:58:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x44f379…
03-04 17:56:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0x4d52ea…
03-04 17:44:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xbe8598…
03-04 17:29:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0e2c1c…
03-04 17:15:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb519cb…
03-04 17:11:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	92¢	$26	0xd9aea0…
02-25 18:24:36	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe2260d…
02-11 20:05:03	ethereum up or down february 11 2pm et	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8203f3…
02-11 20:04:49	ethereum up or down february 11 2pm et	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9635e2…
02-11 20:03:39	ethereum up or down february 11 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x97382d…
02-11 20:02:33	ethereum up or down february 11 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42149b…
02-11 20:01:59	ethereum up or down february 11 2pm et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2d409e…
02-09 07:24:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x10c312…
02-04 20:02:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x47012c…
01-13 15:31:57	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	No	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0xe3ad6a…
01-12 18:27:09	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x03f41b…
01-12 18:13:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x7336e2…