Trained-Narrative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

Trades

888

lifetime

Volume

$1.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-06 16:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-7

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-04 14:52
btc updown 5m 1776913200	1	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	04-23 03:03
btc updown 5m 1776912600	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	04-23 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	05-20 01:18
btc updown 5m 1776915900	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 03:46
btc updown 5m 1776914400	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-23 03:22
eth updown 5m 1776911700	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-23 02:36
eth updown 5m 1776911100	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-23 02:27
btc updown 5m 1776914100	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-23 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 02:48
eth updown 5m 1780715100	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	06-06 03:09
btc updown 5m 1776914700	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-23 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 02:59
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	06-02 20:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-31 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 17:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 21:29
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 03:27
btc updown 5m 1776917400	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-30 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 03:19
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 15:02
btc updown 5m 1782618900	2	$4	4	3	+0	open	—	06-28 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-23 02:54
sol updown 5m 1780617900	2	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	06-05 00:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 16:54:01	eth updown 5m 1783356600	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe60717…
07-06 15:38:25	eth updown 5m 1783352100	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x81f79b…
07-06 15:23:29	eth updown 5m 1783351200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcc6a98…
07-06 15:13:31	eth updown 5m 1783350600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x16c3b8…
07-06 07:28:25	eth updown 5m 1783322700	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xea8037…
07-06 06:28:37	eth updown 5m 1783319100	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3c253a…
07-06 04:20:02	eth updown 5m 1783311300	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe6843c…
07-06 04:18:41	eth updown 5m 1783311300	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6c225c…
07-06 01:53:41	eth updown 5m 1783302600	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xabf990…
07-06 00:18:23	eth updown 5m 1783296900	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x63eac1…
07-05 21:53:52	eth updown 5m 1783288200	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdf16d3…
07-05 18:48:37	eth updown 5m 1783277100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6d7c4c…
07-05 18:39:01	eth updown 5m 1783276500	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf8a9ed…
07-05 15:18:56	eth updown 5m 1783264500	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa6e321…
07-05 13:53:35	eth updown 5m 1783259400	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3ecc7d…
07-05 10:24:02	eth updown 5m 1783246800	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x40147d…
07-05 07:08:38	eth updown 5m 1783235100	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x74fab1…
07-05 06:43:23	eth updown 5m 1783233600	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x20ce91…
07-05 06:09:52	eth updown 5m 1783231500	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x18ceb9…
07-05 06:08:34	eth updown 5m 1783231500	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6b1ca9…
07-05 05:34:05	eth updown 5m 1783229400	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf215ce…
07-05 04:59:56	eth updown 5m 1783227300	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x0a1664…
07-05 04:58:31	eth updown 5m 1783227300	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x111f72…
07-05 04:03:50	eth updown 5m 1783224000	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x327c0f…
07-05 03:13:23	eth updown 5m 1783221000	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x232dd3…
07-05 02:24:38	eth updown 5m 1783218000	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xc25505…
07-05 02:23:50	eth updown 5m 1783218000	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5c2f32…
07-05 01:48:25	eth updown 5m 1783215900	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3cd5b8…
07-05 01:09:05	eth updown 5m 1783213500	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x596d6e…
06-28 06:28:41	btc updown 5m 1782627900	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2d1c4e…
06-28 06:03:43	eth updown 5m 1782626400	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x694e46…
06-28 03:59:46	btc updown 5m 1782618900	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xaa0e92…
06-28 03:59:02	btc updown 5m 1782618900	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xc23331…
06-28 01:33:52	eth updown 5m 1782610200	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0fc79c…
06-28 01:28:49	eth updown 5m 1782609900	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x857fd5…
06-25 03:24:08	eth updown 5m 1782357600	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe21dd8…
06-24 06:13:32	eth updown 5m 1782281400	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1c097a…
06-23 05:13:43	eth updown 5m 1782191400	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x992f9f…
06-23 04:49:35	eth updown 5m 1782189900	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x714dfe…
06-23 04:48:19	eth updown 5m 1782189900	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8a8b70…
06-23 04:43:26	eth updown 5m 1782189600	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe2af12…
06-22 08:13:43	eth updown 5m 1782115800	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb90be9…
06-22 07:49:34	eth updown 5m 1782114300	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x622a9e…
06-22 07:48:20	eth updown 5m 1782114300	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbef877…
06-22 04:38:28	eth updown 5m 1782102900	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf1c9dd…
06-21 21:48:43	eth updown 5m 1782078300	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdd576a…
06-21 21:28:28	eth updown 5m 1782077100	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd31ce9…
06-21 18:38:29	eth updown 5m 1782066900	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa2ef91…
06-20 06:59:01	eth updown 5m 1781938500	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc18341…
06-20 06:53:32	eth updown 5m 1781938200	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7d2423…
06-20 06:48:59	eth updown 5m 1781937900	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x435711…
06-19 04:48:22	sol updown 5m 1781844300	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x79eeb9…
06-18 04:43:37	sol updown 5m 1781757600	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x109a59…
06-18 04:39:07	sol updown 5m 1781757300	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x021b46…
06-18 04:28:20	eth updown 5m 1781756700	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x56ab17…
06-17 05:03:22	sol updown 5m 1781672400	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9da9ca…
06-17 03:23:48	sol updown 5m 1781666400	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x68a781…
06-17 01:54:07	btc updown 5m 1781661000	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0d2fb2…
06-16 19:08:34	eth updown 5m 1781636700	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf3d121…
06-16 13:48:59	eth updown 5m 1781617500	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb4aeec…
06-09 03:56:04	eth updown 5m 1780977300	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5e1720…
06-09 03:26:04	sol updown 5m 1780975500	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe19e31…
06-09 00:36:13	btc updown 5m 1780965300	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1636cd…
06-09 00:31:07	btc updown 5m 1780965000	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xadf144…
06-07 21:06:10	sol updown 5m 1780866300	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7d04d0…
06-07 21:01:15	eth updown 5m 1780866000	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4ed3df…
06-06 03:09:31	eth updown 5m 1780715100	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x0bb4fb…
06-06 03:09:13	eth updown 5m 1780715100	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe9e973…
06-05 19:06:58	eth updown 5m 1780686300	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9cf7d6…
06-05 14:58:51	eth updown 5m 1780671300	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x9098ff…
06-05 05:07:07	eth updown 5m 1780635900	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x68ee52…
06-05 03:52:52	eth updown 5m 1780631400	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa16a31…
06-05 02:58:25	eth updown 5m 1780628100	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xb64c45…
06-05 02:54:21	btc updown 5m 1780627800	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x534541…
06-05 00:09:30	sol updown 5m 1780617900	Down	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x21ef4d…
06-05 00:09:01	sol updown 5m 1780617900	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x54b318…
06-04 23:08:21	sol updown 5m 1780614300	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x35633b…
06-04 21:38:21	sol updown 5m 1780608900	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x07a0c6…
06-03 23:48:57	btc updown 5m 1780530300	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x275b00…
06-03 16:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6340e1…
06-03 15:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa3dc60…
06-03 05:29:31	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x46e7bc…
06-03 05:29:15	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd5010f…
06-02 21:23:29	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x65b0c9…
06-02 20:56:54	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x19ffbb…
06-02 20:29:36	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x136007…
06-02 20:27:43	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4d4859…
06-02 15:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xf01401…
06-02 15:38:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8a9798…
06-02 14:17:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xea5cac…
06-02 01:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x85a954…
05-31 19:51:59	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x022821…
05-31 19:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x180f74…
05-31 19:26:55	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xbf007e…
05-31 19:22:49	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x1d3d40…
05-31 18:57:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x7b1926…
05-31 18:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4fefab…
05-31 18:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x7ff161…
05-31 18:46:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x40d842…
05-31 18:22:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x4e9eb2…