Trained-Narrative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

Trades

828

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-09 03:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-7

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-04 14:52
btc updown 5m 1776913200	1	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	04-23 03:03
btc updown 5m 1776912600	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	04-23 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	05-20 01:18
btc updown 5m 1776915900	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 03:46
btc updown 5m 1776914400	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-23 03:22
eth updown 5m 1776911700	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-23 02:36
eth updown 5m 1776911100	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-23 02:27
btc updown 5m 1776914100	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-23 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 02:48
eth updown 5m 1780715100	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	06-06 03:09
btc updown 5m 1776914700	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-23 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 02:59
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	06-02 20:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-31 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 17:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 21:29
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 03:27
btc updown 5m 1776917400	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-30 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 03:19
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-23 02:54
sol updown 5m 1780617900	2	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	06-05 00:09
btc updown 5m 1776993000	2	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	04-24 01:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 03:56:04	eth updown 5m 1780977300	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5e1720…
06-09 03:26:04	sol updown 5m 1780975500	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe19e31…
06-09 00:36:13	btc updown 5m 1780965300	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1636cd…
06-09 00:31:07	btc updown 5m 1780965000	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xadf144…
06-07 21:06:10	sol updown 5m 1780866300	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7d04d0…
06-07 21:01:15	eth updown 5m 1780866000	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4ed3df…
06-06 03:09:31	eth updown 5m 1780715100	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x0bb4fb…
06-06 03:09:13	eth updown 5m 1780715100	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe9e973…
06-05 19:06:58	eth updown 5m 1780686300	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9cf7d6…
06-05 14:58:51	eth updown 5m 1780671300	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x9098ff…
06-05 05:07:07	eth updown 5m 1780635900	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x68ee52…
06-05 03:52:52	eth updown 5m 1780631400	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa16a31…
06-05 02:58:25	eth updown 5m 1780628100	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xb64c45…
06-05 02:54:21	btc updown 5m 1780627800	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x534541…
06-05 00:09:30	sol updown 5m 1780617900	Down	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x21ef4d…
06-05 00:09:01	sol updown 5m 1780617900	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x54b318…
06-04 23:08:21	sol updown 5m 1780614300	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x35633b…
06-04 21:38:21	sol updown 5m 1780608900	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x07a0c6…
06-03 23:48:57	btc updown 5m 1780530300	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x275b00…
06-03 16:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6340e1…
06-03 15:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa3dc60…
06-03 05:29:31	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x46e7bc…
06-03 05:29:15	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd5010f…
06-02 21:23:29	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x65b0c9…
06-02 20:56:54	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x19ffbb…
06-02 20:29:36	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x136007…
06-02 20:27:43	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4d4859…
06-02 15:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xf01401…
06-02 15:38:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8a9798…
06-02 14:17:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xea5cac…
06-02 01:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x85a954…
05-31 19:51:59	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x022821…
05-31 19:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x180f74…
05-31 19:26:55	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xbf007e…
05-31 19:22:49	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x1d3d40…
05-31 18:57:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x7b1926…
05-31 18:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4fefab…
05-31 18:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x7ff161…
05-31 18:46:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x40d842…
05-31 18:22:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x4e9eb2…
05-31 18:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x332d5a…
05-31 17:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xcb4268…
05-31 17:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd7f595…
05-31 17:08:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb84dbe…
05-31 16:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x25a490…
05-31 03:03:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xa51acc…
05-31 02:49:13	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xfa4e1e…
05-31 01:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x3bf7f7…
05-31 00:26:51	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7308b0…
05-30 23:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x49d465…
05-30 23:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x560fcc…
05-30 23:32:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd1b3d8…
05-30 23:23:01	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x6de487…
05-30 22:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbc5a53…
05-30 22:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0eef61…
05-30 22:34:30	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x2754df…
05-30 22:31:53	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc9d94b…
05-30 22:29:38	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x82ca58…
05-30 22:27:04	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa6c300…
05-30 22:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xc19668…
05-30 21:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x37d97d…
05-30 21:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xce00ed…
05-30 21:29:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x9e5149…
05-30 21:26:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3f212d…
05-30 18:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x670d7b…
05-30 18:04:29	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xe25af9…
05-30 18:01:57	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa58589…
05-30 17:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x335895…
05-30 17:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xfdbb67…
05-30 17:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0xc65b84…
05-30 17:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x41d236…
05-30 16:54:31	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xd40764…
05-30 16:52:39	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xfd5307…
05-27 02:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb1dbff…
05-27 02:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9b414c…
05-27 01:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc0e00f…
05-27 01:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2af749…
05-27 01:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x417272…
05-27 01:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1276f0…
05-27 01:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xab20be…
05-27 01:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x231ad3…
05-27 01:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa47358…
05-27 01:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa5fc95…
05-27 01:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x46da1c…
05-27 00:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5e13c2…
05-27 00:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9032c3…
05-27 00:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x070c10…
05-26 12:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0x65e9e8…
05-26 09:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x75a31c…
05-26 08:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x49832a…
05-26 08:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x02f043…
05-26 07:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x74c5ed…
05-26 07:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2a2ec0…
05-26 07:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa06c4b…
05-26 07:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x967454…
05-26 07:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x602cc1…
05-26 07:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa92176…
05-26 07:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xb6dcfc…
05-26 06:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x77dfb9…
05-26 06:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xa2bc79…