Shy-Rivulet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

279

Trades

280

lifetime

Volume

$3.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 17:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$4

Politics

3% 83% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 14:33
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-13 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on May 12?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-12 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-11 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-10 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-09 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-08 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 17:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:54
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:35
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-08 10:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 07:07
highest temperature in singapore on april 5 2026 35corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:28
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:31
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:39
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:32
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 66 67f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 03:41
highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:24
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:54
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:50
highest temperature in wellington on march 30 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 09:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12588f…
10-31 09:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4a1ce…
10-30 10:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x404d28…
10-29 08:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53eaf0…
10-28 07:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x600f36…
10-27 08:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x387f13…
10-26 09:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec4c47…
10-22 10:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64d086…
10-20 07:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7abdcc…
10-19 08:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x083db0…
10-18 09:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf94ef0…
10-17 11:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7afe62…
10-16 08:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4280bb…
10-15 09:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca52e7…
10-14 09:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57370c…
10-13 08:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6c207…
10-12 08:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e2133…
10-11 08:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ee51c…
10-08 08:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0758f0…
10-07 14:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2945dc…
10-06 07:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ff5c0…
10-04 14:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f64ae…
10-03 05:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x205c72…
10-02 07:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbee90…
10-01 08:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5af208…
09-30 07:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20ff1c…
09-29 14:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x493aaa…
09-28 09:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x129d0d…
09-27 08:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc991ed…
09-25 10:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3153c…
09-24 08:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6acd77…
09-23 06:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf1513…
09-22 07:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81875e…
09-21 09:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x061f71…
09-20 05:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88c79c…
09-19 08:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b80ad…
09-18 06:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b00c8…
09-17 03:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8350f4…
09-16 08:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x274718…
09-15 09:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x148e3c…
09-14 08:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb19c94…
09-12 16:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe1419…
09-11 07:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x460ed4…
09-10 04:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99301c…
09-09 09:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f4f12…
09-09 01:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf98a4d…
09-08 02:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0be8e6…
09-07 08:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x653976…
09-06 17:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x686879…
09-06 09:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc25c87…
09-05 09:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x448edc…
09-04 17:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x322e97…
09-03 09:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x777d2b…
09-02 07:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a04fa…
08-30 08:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf17000…
08-29 07:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ca7f1…
08-28 07:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f3953…
08-27 07:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd05314…
08-26 07:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf63df8…
08-25 08:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf08513…
08-24 09:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3ddc4…
08-23 14:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c1225…
08-22 08:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x142c82…
08-21 06:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24e580…
08-20 08:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09e8db…
08-19 10:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dcd61…
08-18 08:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f5090…
08-17 07:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0499a3…
08-16 11:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7dc52…
08-15 09:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ca617…
08-14 06:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5b6a8…
08-13 07:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x349153…
08-12 07:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ce0ae…
08-11 06:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e6c3f…
08-10 06:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89ff77…
08-09 01:18:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x712c9d…
08-08 07:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb040e2…
08-07 01:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93d3c6…
08-06 01:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04860a…
08-05 07:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc772d…
08-04 08:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a7630…
08-03 07:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x951344…
08-02 01:31:47	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13e463…
08-01 06:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd27b88…
07-31 08:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x274594…
07-30 06:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd47d0e…
07-29 06:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60ca0e…
07-28 06:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fcedf…
07-27 08:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0bfc26…
07-26 06:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45a45f…
07-25 07:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26a405…
07-24 09:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x072d70…
07-23 02:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe302b4…
07-22 01:48:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f826f…
07-20 23:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x851b6c…
07-20 03:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fcb41…
07-18 22:43:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25eb0b…
07-18 00:12:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa0cdf…
07-17 06:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c4dbf…
07-15 21:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae2148…