Perfect-Cascade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

Trades

634

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-28 18:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 63% $-9

Sports

6% 43% $-3

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	10	$38	27	27	+0	open	—	05-01 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	8	$36	29	25	+4	Down	$-0	05-11 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$32	20	16	+4	Down	+$0	05-11 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$25	112	112	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	8	$22	26	26	+0	open	—	05-03 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$21	17	10	+7	open	—	05-01 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	9	$19	18	16	+2	open	—	05-01 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	9	$18	15	14	+2	open	—	05-01 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	8	$17	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	05-03 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	5	$14	20	9	+11	open	—	05-01 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$14	12	9	+3	open	—	04-30 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	5	$14	16	10	+6	open	—	05-01 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$14	16	4	+12	open	—	05-01 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-01 14:45
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	9	$13	11	11	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$1	05-09 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$13	8	7	+0	open	—	04-27 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	6	$12	18	9	+9	open	—	05-03 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$12	9	9	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	10	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-01 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$12	9	7	+2	open	—	05-01 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	5	$11	12	4	+8	open	—	04-28 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	10	$11	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$10	8	5	+3	Up	$-0	05-10 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	6	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$9	13	5	+8	open	—	05-01 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$9	58	8	+50	open	—	05-03 21:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 18:31:52	mlb tex tor 2026 06 28 spread home 1pt5	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	7	23¢	$1	0xe81ef8…
06-24 15:55:28	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 goals haris tabakovic gte1	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf6dae1…
06-22 19:32:20	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe26a11…
06-02 21:13:11	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb5e61f…
05-30 19:09:19	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4bf2e1…
05-25 11:52:04	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	New York Yankees	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0385cd…
05-13 00:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x36bf51…
05-11 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb61698…
05-11 15:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa79425…
05-11 15:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe44292…
05-11 15:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb3d5ec…
05-11 15:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbdebb1…
05-11 15:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5f7d83…
05-11 15:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x59e8c4…
05-11 12:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x4da126…
05-11 12:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9eb022…
05-11 12:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8ef418…
05-11 12:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xee90b6…
05-11 12:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd7ef77…
05-11 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x35bc84…
05-11 12:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xba5f57…
05-11 12:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb6e1f6…
05-11 12:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xdef49c…
05-11 12:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xa4963f…
05-11 12:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbd1267…
05-11 12:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x88a230…
05-11 12:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4ed698…
05-11 12:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x126aa2…
05-11 12:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xba9564…
05-11 12:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x43d174…
05-11 12:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x7ce5c6…
05-11 12:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x3f85a4…
05-11 12:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xc1ecb1…
05-11 12:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3cf2e8…
05-11 12:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x233829…
05-11 12:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7b5ba0…
05-11 11:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x999728…
05-11 11:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x2559a0…
05-11 11:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2e9a72…
05-11 11:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x477946…
05-11 11:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x186e75…
05-11 11:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x09cc4d…
05-11 11:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x85e640…
05-11 11:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc5cb40…
05-11 11:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x036962…
05-11 11:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x756f4b…
05-11 11:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xbfa0b1…
05-11 11:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x155f57…
05-11 11:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x11761d…
05-11 11:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2b1525…
05-11 11:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x61034d…
05-11 11:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1f458c…
05-11 10:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf9bedc…
05-11 10:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6693fb…
05-11 10:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5f0e6b…
05-11 10:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xddf058…
05-11 10:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc91901…
05-11 10:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x92817f…
05-11 09:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x00bac3…
05-11 09:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xae5c74…
05-11 09:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xae9dfd…
05-11 09:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x222fb1…
05-11 09:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcc8b05…
05-11 09:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe3352b…
05-11 09:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd50aaa…
05-11 09:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2d044b…
05-11 09:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xdfe259…
05-11 09:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xad8748…
05-11 09:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x045478…
05-11 09:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x95ef71…
05-11 09:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x93450f…
05-11 09:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0b6c48…
05-11 09:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc0e3aa…
05-11 09:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x92bb9f…
05-11 09:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf33dd8…
05-11 09:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5aef31…
05-11 09:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x76a693…
05-11 09:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe31612…
05-11 09:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbe05a4…
05-11 09:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x533f13…
05-11 09:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfc146c…
05-10 15:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6ce288…
05-10 15:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x05429c…
05-10 15:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x09c9dd…
05-10 15:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbe520b…
05-10 14:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xadc536…
05-10 14:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2416d9…
05-10 14:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa4fd4b…
05-10 14:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3554ed…
05-10 14:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x84cf23…
05-10 13:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9184e6…
05-10 13:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1e394b…
05-10 13:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98d1e4…
05-10 13:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd83300…
05-10 13:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xa1961d…
05-10 13:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5923be…
05-10 12:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd0700a…
05-10 12:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x562b67…
05-10 12:37:05	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x63c3cb…
05-10 12:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x06c156…