Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,038

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-18 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$3

Politics

29% 0% —

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	5	$845	540	540	+0	open	—	01-06 15:15
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	5	$518	313	500	-187	open	—	01-06 15:15
will the silicon data h100 index sdh100rt hit 2pt50 high by february 28 2026	2	$439	200	320	-120	open	—	02-04 11:03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	16	$419	550	550	+0	open	—	06-01 11:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	4	$407	250	250	+0	open	—	06-08 13:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$398	400	400	+0	open	—	06-25 01:43
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	5	$388	200	300	-100	open	—	02-21 07:31
will israel strike lebanon on january 14 2026	5	$369	243	297	-55	open	—	01-14 10:31
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$358	300	300	+0	open	—	01-12 12:05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	8	$353	290	270	+20	open	—	03-27 13:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	5	$340	300	300	+0	open	—	06-12 16:14
will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	2	$332	100	300	-200	open	—	01-27 15:26
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	5	$330	200	200	+0	open	—	01-12 12:03
usisrael strike yemen by march 3	2	$330	100	240	-140	open	—	03-04 16:01
will company k be accused of insider trading	5	$329	100	250	-150	open	—	02-25 07:24
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 420 439	1	$306	0	350	-350	open	—	01-01 22:53
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	20	$297	221	150	+71	open	—	03-07 12:59
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	3	$292	200	200	+0	open	—	01-12 12:09
will sinners win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	4	$291	150	150	+0	open	—	03-16 04:38
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	6	$270	250	250	+0	open	—	06-11 13:45
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	5	$267	200	200	+0	open	—	02-07 12:20
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	10	$257	303	300	+3	open	—	04-26 13:12
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	5	$233	350	100	+250	open	—	06-10 08:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	5	$232	250	250	+0	open	—	04-13 14:29
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	3	$230	100	300	-200	open	—	02-23 09:00
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	6	$229	200	250	-50	open	—	05-22 17:00
aapl close above 275 on february 12 2026	3	$224	200	200	+0	open	—	02-12 14:26
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	8	$223	300	210	+90	open	—	02-07 15:48
will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	15	$222	400	79	+321	open	—	02-16 14:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$219	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 09:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 14:52:27	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x71c13c…
06-30 00:01:38	will cap reach 0pt15 before 2027	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xf23ebc…
06-29 23:55:47	will cap reach 0pt15 before 2027	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x4c96fc…
06-29 23:55:47	will cap reach 0pt20 before 2027	No	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x44cec3…
06-29 15:28:38	will cap reach 0pt15 before 2027	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x20af23…
06-29 15:18:37	will cap reach 0pt15 before 2027	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xf60924…
06-29 11:59:04	will cap reach 0pt20 before 2027	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x0acb23…
06-29 11:35:52	will cap reach 0pt20 before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x2b0fd6…
06-29 11:19:43	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x8babe9…
06-29 08:49:31	will cap reach 0pt20 before 2027	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x407336…
06-29 08:48:59	will cap reach 0pt15 before 2027	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x393c46…
06-29 08:48:01	will cap reach 0pt15 before 2027	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x572ecf…
06-29 08:47:19	will cap reach 0pt15 before 2027	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x228594…
06-28 08:00:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	55	71¢	$39	0x045e6e…
06-28 07:05:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x7e4777…
06-28 06:52:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x0151b6…
06-28 06:44:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x8887ba…
06-28 06:09:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0x98b98e…
06-27 09:51:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	91	75¢	$68	0xe77b3e…
06-27 09:49:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x2c0856…
06-27 09:25:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x14f112…
06-25 07:32:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x29c844…
06-25 01:43:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0xe9e969…
06-25 01:40:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	162	5¢	$8	0x4d3733…
06-25 01:36:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$191	0xf280cf…
06-24 23:59:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x168866…
06-24 23:58:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x92c005…
06-24 23:45:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x89071a…
06-24 23:36:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfa20ba…
06-24 23:18:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x43fefd…
06-14 04:12:55	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	17	80¢	$14	0x6ae216…
06-13 11:48:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x11eea5…
06-13 11:44:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x604c12…
06-13 11:44:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xd1c667…
06-13 11:44:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x97a21f…
06-13 11:43:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x403b42…
06-13 11:41:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x95e0be…
06-13 11:41:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xc9c458…
06-13 11:37:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x14217a…
06-13 11:36:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x34add8…
06-13 11:36:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x61a128…
06-13 11:35:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	28	33¢	$9	0xa69901…
06-13 11:35:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xc734a8…
06-13 11:34:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x29170d…
06-13 11:32:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xd92939…
06-13 11:32:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x861d23…
06-13 11:31:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xbd1221…
06-13 11:30:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x469560…
06-13 11:29:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x0d4a61…
06-13 11:19:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0xc463ca…
06-13 08:14:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x62639b…
06-13 08:01:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x86087a…
06-13 08:00:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x7012f5…
06-13 08:00:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x271119…
06-13 07:58:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x67f018…
06-13 07:24:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4debb7…
06-12 16:14:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	300	57¢	$171	0x842f4a…
06-12 13:50:55	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf4afc5…
06-12 13:44:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x3558f2…
06-12 13:42:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x56b256…
06-12 13:41:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x4fec68…
06-12 13:00:34	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xb0ad4e…
06-12 12:51:25	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xbe1bcd…
06-11 13:51:18	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x367f10…
06-11 13:45:33	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	250	55¢	$138	0x4c95ad…
06-10 11:17:33	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xc504b2…
06-10 11:11:31	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x9e9b30…
06-10 10:51:12	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	48	55¢	$26	0x9e2177…
06-10 09:32:15	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4017d5…
06-10 08:56:00	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbf8dc9…
06-10 08:36:39	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x442fa5…
06-08 14:19:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x2f921a…
06-08 13:10:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	250	81¢	$202	0xc9a8eb…
06-08 12:27:25	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x44c5a4…
06-08 11:11:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xf6c6dc…
06-08 11:09:27	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x9d2ab7…
06-08 10:36:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x913876…
06-08 10:35:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x376153…
06-02 13:47:06	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xbf4e8d…
06-02 13:22:56	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xca13d7…
06-01 11:55:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	300	37¢	$111	0xbddd1c…
06-01 11:13:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x646661…
06-01 11:05:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	98	26¢	$25	0x23ace5…
06-01 11:02:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0x4823cc…
06-01 11:02:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	26¢	$5	0x10fae4…
06-01 11:01:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	65	26¢	$17	0x8ae373…
06-01 10:08:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x594d65…
06-01 08:31:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xcdd136…
06-01 08:09:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xe5c41c…
06-01 08:09:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	72¢	$69	0xbe3d31…
06-01 08:07:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x33d760…
06-01 08:06:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xf04c82…
06-01 08:03:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x937592…
05-31 07:37:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x6bbf82…
05-30 04:19:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	250	31¢	$79	0x93e9e0…
05-30 04:01:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xbd934b…
05-30 03:34:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x682278…
05-30 03:27:54	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x88f400…
05-30 03:23:07	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x772005…
05-30 03:22:52	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x612abc…