Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

Trades

960

lifetime

Volume

$22.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$3

Politics

29% 0% —

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	5	$845	540	540	+0	open	—	01-06 15:15
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	5	$518	313	500	-187	open	—	01-06 15:15
will the silicon data h100 index sdh100rt hit 2pt50 high by february 28 2026	2	$439	200	320	-120	open	—	02-04 11:03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	16	$419	550	550	+0	open	—	06-01 11:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	4	$407	250	250	+0	open	—	06-08 13:10
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	5	$388	200	300	-100	open	—	02-21 07:31
will israel strike lebanon on january 14 2026	5	$369	243	297	-55	open	—	01-14 10:31
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$358	300	300	+0	open	—	01-12 12:05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	8	$353	290	270	+20	open	—	03-27 13:34
will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	2	$332	100	300	-200	open	—	01-27 15:26
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	5	$330	200	200	+0	open	—	01-12 12:03
usisrael strike yemen by march 3	2	$330	100	240	-140	open	—	03-04 16:01
will company k be accused of insider trading	5	$329	100	250	-150	open	—	02-25 07:24
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 420 439	1	$306	0	350	-350	open	—	01-01 22:53
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	20	$297	221	150	+71	open	—	03-07 12:59
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	3	$292	200	200	+0	open	—	01-12 12:09
will sinners win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	4	$291	150	150	+0	open	—	03-16 04:38
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	5	$267	200	200	+0	open	—	02-07 12:20
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	10	$257	303	300	+3	open	—	04-26 13:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	5	$232	250	250	+0	open	—	04-13 14:29
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	3	$230	100	300	-200	open	—	02-23 09:00
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	6	$229	200	250	-50	open	—	05-22 17:00
aapl close above 275 on february 12 2026	3	$224	200	200	+0	open	—	02-12 14:26
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	8	$223	300	210	+90	open	—	02-07 15:48
will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	15	$222	400	79	+321	open	—	02-16 14:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$219	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 09:01
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 460 479	7	$218	106	140	-33	open	—	01-02 04:00
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in April?	5	$215	100	120	-20	open	—	04-03 16:03
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	7	$203	150	117	+33	open	—	03-04 14:46
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$198	200	149	+51	open	—	02-08 23:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 14:19:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x2f921a…
06-08 13:10:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	250	81¢	$202	0xc9a8eb…
06-08 12:27:25	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x44c5a4…
06-08 11:11:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xf6c6dc…
06-08 11:09:27	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x9d2ab7…
06-08 10:36:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x913876…
06-08 10:35:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x376153…
06-02 13:47:06	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xbf4e8d…
06-02 13:22:56	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xca13d7…
06-01 11:55:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	300	37¢	$111	0xbddd1c…
06-01 11:13:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x646661…
06-01 11:05:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	98	26¢	$25	0x23ace5…
06-01 11:02:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0x4823cc…
06-01 11:02:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	26¢	$5	0x10fae4…
06-01 11:01:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	65	26¢	$17	0x8ae373…
06-01 10:08:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x594d65…
06-01 08:31:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xcdd136…
06-01 08:09:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xe5c41c…
06-01 08:09:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	72¢	$69	0xbe3d31…
06-01 08:07:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x33d760…
06-01 08:06:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xf04c82…
06-01 08:03:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x937592…
05-31 07:37:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x6bbf82…
05-30 04:19:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	250	31¢	$79	0x93e9e0…
05-30 04:01:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xbd934b…
05-30 03:34:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x682278…
05-30 03:27:54	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x88f400…
05-30 03:23:07	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x772005…
05-30 03:22:52	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x612abc…
05-30 03:11:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x1204f3…
05-30 03:07:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xf8e170…
05-30 03:01:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xbd2c47…
05-30 02:50:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x4b2017…
05-30 02:50:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	36¢	$14	0x478591…
05-30 02:50:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x2228bd…
05-30 02:50:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	36¢	$12	0x1d0f8e…
05-30 02:50:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xb730ef…
05-30 02:50:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x0bfa1b…
05-29 17:08:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x742e94…
05-29 09:19:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x339b14…
05-29 09:16:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	95	44¢	$42	0xb16f9e…
05-29 09:01:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0xcd45df…
05-29 08:49:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	5¢	$15	0x438bb4…
05-29 08:05:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x1c67ad…
05-29 07:47:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x833af5…
05-29 07:32:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x987ac4…
05-29 07:26:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x84c253…
05-29 07:21:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x85ab2d…
05-29 07:21:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xe71331…
05-29 07:20:35	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$11	0x8a6a40…
05-29 07:09:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x4ebfc4…
05-29 06:56:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x189841…
05-26 08:50:21	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	SELL	10	53¢	$6	0x86d4f1…
05-24 07:25:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x611142…
05-24 04:12:11	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xc2906b…
05-24 03:52:05	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xab3965…
05-24 03:20:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xd9350a…
05-24 03:11:36	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xbd2fd9…
05-23 16:30:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x396261…
05-23 08:53:39	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x108efe…
05-22 17:00:56	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	210	49¢	$103	0xec3394…
05-22 14:30:06	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0xfbb70b…
05-22 13:03:11	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	40	49¢	$20	0xb8393a…
05-22 12:45:22	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	99	21¢	$21	0x34911a…
05-22 12:43:58	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	51	21¢	$11	0x0ffcdf…
05-22 10:22:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0xd852ad…
05-22 09:57:24	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x56437e…
05-22 09:51:57	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xffd8a1…
05-22 09:49:14	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	84	52¢	$44	0x42bedc…
05-22 09:41:00	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x23e8a4…
05-22 09:40:06	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x4d30c9…
05-22 09:34:13	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xf26991…
05-22 09:26:46	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xfd06c0…
05-22 09:19:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x70591b…
05-22 09:03:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x9b022a…
05-22 09:00:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4492aa…
05-22 08:57:40	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x4b241a…
05-11 16:47:07	Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	Yes	SELL	101	69¢	$70	0xbcecc8…
05-08 16:08:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0xce82a6…
05-08 15:45:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x14e35d…
05-08 09:14:20	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x210e39…
05-08 08:59:36	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xdc54db…
05-08 08:53:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x3a420d…
05-08 08:48:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x9d4d78…
05-08 08:35:11	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbcf820…
05-08 08:33:11	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x1849b3…
04-26 13:12:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	273	41¢	$112	0x2ecd0b…
04-26 13:12:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0xc6c9b6…
04-26 12:06:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	17	43¢	$8	0x0a8f06…
04-26 12:04:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	83	43¢	$35	0xccbde9…
04-26 11:22:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x68a2ff…
04-26 11:21:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x54b121…
04-26 11:11:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xa2ad2a…
04-26 10:55:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x8fd41f…
04-26 10:53:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xd19c33…
04-26 10:51:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xcab681…
04-26 10:50:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	46	46¢	$21	0xf5663f…
04-26 10:34:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0xaddaec…
04-26 10:33:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xb3035c…
04-26 10:33:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x899ce4…