Firsthand-Ashram — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,528

lifetime

Volume

$29.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-29 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

84% 82% +$7

Crypto

7% 100% +$8

Sports

6% 100% +$1

Politics

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mlb ari phi 2026 04 11	3	$200	111	110	+1	open	—	04-11 19:14
bun hei uni 2026 04 11 hei	8	$197	107	107	+0	open	—	04-11 15:08
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 6?	2	$180	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	05-06 14:30
uel not por1 2026 04 16 por1	3	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	04-16 20:52
por est por 2026 04 12 por	5	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	04-12 21:05
atp norrie jodar 2026 04 17	6	$157	80	80	+0	open	—	04-17 16:56
bun b04 wol 2026 04 04 b04	4	$155	103	73	+30	open	—	04-04 15:07
uel ast4 bol 2026 04 16 ast4	2	$154	80	80	+0	open	—	04-16 19:40
bun aug stu 2026 03 22 stu	4	$154	80	80	+0	open	—	03-22 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	7	$153	83	83	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 12:40
sea cre bol 2026 04 05 bol	6	$151	100	60	+40	open	—	04-05 14:35
Parma: Susan Bandecchi vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	4	$149	80	80	+0	open	—	05-14 16:24
spx up or down on april 17 2026	2	$149	80	80	+0	open	—	04-17 14:01
World Championships: Sweden vs. Slovenia	4	$145	74	74	+0	open	—	05-20 19:42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jennifer Ruggeri	9	$136	70	70	+0	Zeynep Sonmez	+$1	05-05 16:49
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$134	50	92	-42	open	—	02-26 05:10
bl2 elv ksc 2026 04 17 ksc	5	$122	63	63	+0	open	—	04-17 17:44
epl ast sun 2026 04 19 sun	3	$122	63	63	+1	open	—	04-19 14:52
sea pis cag 2026 03 15 pis	5	$119	80	50	+30	open	—	03-15 15:44
Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverry	2	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-24 16:16
spx up or down on june 29 2026	2	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	06-29 18:14
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 11?	3	$118	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 14:15
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 6?	4	$117	60	60	+0	No	+$2	05-06 19:44
spy up or down on june 18 2026	5	$117	110	110	+0	open	—	06-18 15:53
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 16c	4	$113	59	59	+0	open	—	04-23 23:00
es2 alb gra 2026 04 19 alb	4	$112	60	60	+0	open	—	04-19 18:04
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-26?	5	$111	64	64	+0	open	—	04-26 12:10
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	2	$109	80	80	+0	open	—	05-14 10:04
atp prizmic harris 2026 04 08	5	$107	150	147	+3	open	—	04-09 12:08
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky Hijikata	2	$107	54	54	+0	open	—	05-18 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 13:35:32	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x46fb16…
06-29 18:14:38	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x741088…
06-29 16:54:22	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x4cc206…
06-26 19:50:07	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xb7c41d…
06-26 17:10:17	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xb54c23…
06-25 13:14:08	btc updown 15m 1782392400	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xe14a78…
06-24 15:03:22	msft up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xcdd621…
06-24 13:30:04	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x08a618…
06-24 12:57:53	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa04774…
06-24 12:56:41	btc updown 15m 1782305100	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe402d2…
06-22 19:42:19	msft close above 380 on june 22 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x81d447…
06-22 14:55:14	msft up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x6dcd7c…
06-22 14:52:02	msft close above 380 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7a2996…
06-22 14:49:19	msft up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x46015a…
06-22 13:30:04	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x361838…
06-22 13:25:29	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x9d7e2e…
06-22 13:24:23	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Up	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x6ff8f5…
06-22 13:08:49	btc updown 15m 1782133200	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xe3e7d1…
06-22 13:08:46	btc updown 15m 1782133200	Down	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0x6d8c48…
06-22 13:08:46	btc updown 15m 1782133200	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x34d609…
06-22 13:07:22	btc updown 15m 1782133200	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xdfec12…
06-22 13:06:26	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x890422…
06-22 12:20:50	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x032149…
06-18 15:53:52	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x7a2213…
06-18 15:45:26	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0x748765…
06-18 15:44:43	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xf8a8dd…
06-18 15:19:28	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Down	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x2fbdfe…
06-18 15:01:04	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x871777…
06-18 10:55:19	msft close above 400 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x538842…
06-18 10:26:01	btc updown 15m 1781777700	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x9a23a5…
06-17 18:49:41	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 shots bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x0abf08…
06-17 16:07:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 shots bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x889960…
06-17 11:19:31	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xe648dc…
06-17 10:09:25	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x6b6fdf…
06-16 16:43:28	btc updown 15m 1781627400	Up	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xc529e0…
06-16 16:43:28	btc updown 15m 1781627400	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x30910b…
06-16 16:43:28	btc updown 15m 1781627400	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x022eb0…
06-16 16:43:26	btc updown 15m 1781627400	Up	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0x07f808…
06-16 16:42:26	btc updown 15m 1781627400	Up	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x83c31f…
06-12 19:36:52	googl close above 355 on june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x87b5a2…
06-12 16:44:15	googl close above 355 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xb533d7…
06-12 16:39:07	googl close above 355 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x179573…
06-12 16:09:57	btc updown 15m 1781280000	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x064ea4…
06-12 16:09:55	btc updown 15m 1781280000	Up	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x7d979f…
06-12 16:06:54	btc updown 15m 1781280000	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x4d348e…
06-12 10:44:18	btc updown 15m 1781260200	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x8e057b…
06-12 10:39:04	btc updown 15m 1781260200	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x37e788…
06-08 14:26:04	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf6cae8…
06-08 14:26:04	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Down	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0xc3fca4…
06-08 14:26:04	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xaa72fe…
06-08 14:26:04	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x9bc148…
06-08 14:26:04	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x3b3128…
06-08 14:26:04	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x2c5573…
06-08 14:26:04	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x0b5e56…
06-08 14:23:03	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xe98994…
06-08 14:23:03	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xdff4b6…
06-08 14:23:03	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0xdb21eb…
06-08 14:23:03	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb6a75b…
06-08 14:23:03	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$3	0x9c1b27…
06-08 14:23:03	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x2f816e…
05-27 13:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xee6386…
05-27 13:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xdead59…
05-27 13:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0x6b028d…
05-27 13:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xecff14…
05-26 16:26:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x441721…
05-26 15:52:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x7b6eb4…
05-26 15:52:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x681177…
05-26 15:51:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x964803…
05-26 14:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x48ccdd…
05-26 14:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x27ee9b…
05-26 13:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2fb7ed…
05-25 21:54:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0x25dbe0…
05-25 16:11:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x1f517c…
05-25 16:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0xfe5832…
05-25 16:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x779efa…
05-21 16:13:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xebed9b…
05-21 13:17:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3c9926…
05-20 19:42:01	World Championships: Sweden vs. Slovenia	Sweden	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc03258…
05-20 19:30:54	World Championships: Sweden vs. Slovenia	Sweden	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x21810a…
05-20 18:03:08	World Championships: Sweden vs. Slovenia	Sweden	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe59fac…
05-20 18:02:00	World Championships: Sweden vs. Slovenia	Sweden	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x1e7b37…
05-18 16:49:50	Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky Hijikata	Daniel Altmaier	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x59b745…
05-18 16:28:55	Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky Hijikata	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x8fb616…
05-16 12:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x5d17cc…
05-16 12:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf2e70f…
05-16 08:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xb3bfac…
05-16 08:03:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	120	11¢	$13	0x424609…
05-16 07:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x6d7163…
05-16 07:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xcb08f8…
05-15 13:22:05	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 15?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x350f2c…
05-14 21:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xcefd0f…
05-14 21:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xbff397…
05-14 21:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xad5498…
05-14 21:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9804a9…
05-14 21:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x498f50…
05-14 21:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x3019e1…
05-14 21:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x50a128…
05-14 20:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x758405…
05-14 20:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x579b29…
05-14 20:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x1831d5…