Firsthand-Ashram — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,664

lifetime

Volume

$33.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 08-11 18:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

84% 82% +$7

Crypto

8% 100% +$8

Sports

5% 100% +$1

Politics

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mlb ari phi 2026 04 11	3	$200	111	110	+1	open	—	04-11 19:14
bun hei uni 2026 04 11 hei	8	$197	107	107	+0	open	—	04-11 15:08
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 6?	2	$180	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	05-06 14:30
uel not por1 2026 04 16 por1	3	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	04-16 20:52
spx up or down on august 3 2026	3	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	08-03 17:12
por est por 2026 04 12 por	5	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	04-12 21:05
atp norrie jodar 2026 04 17	6	$157	80	80	+0	open	—	04-17 16:56
bun b04 wol 2026 04 04 b04	4	$155	103	73	+30	open	—	04-04 15:07
uel ast4 bol 2026 04 16 ast4	2	$154	80	80	+0	open	—	04-16 19:40
bun aug stu 2026 03 22 stu	4	$154	80	80	+0	open	—	03-22 20:13
spx up or down on august 4 2026	2	$154	80	80	+0	open	—	08-04 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	7	$153	83	83	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 12:40
sea cre bol 2026 04 05 bol	6	$151	100	60	+40	open	—	04-05 14:35
Parma: Susan Bandecchi vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	4	$149	80	80	+0	open	—	05-14 16:24
spx up or down on april 17 2026	2	$149	80	80	+0	open	—	04-17 14:01
World Championships: Sweden vs. Slovenia	4	$145	74	74	+0	open	—	05-20 19:42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jennifer Ruggeri	9	$136	70	70	+0	Zeynep Sonmez	+$1	05-05 16:49
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$134	50	92	-42	open	—	02-26 05:10
spx up or down on july 13 2026	5	$130	160	60	+100	open	—	07-13 18:23
spx up or down on july 27 2026	7	$122	80	80	+0	open	—	07-27 16:25
bl2 elv ksc 2026 04 17 ksc	5	$122	63	63	+0	open	—	04-17 17:44
epl ast sun 2026 04 19 sun	3	$122	63	63	+1	open	—	04-19 14:52
btc updown 15m 1784819700	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	07-23 15:29
sea pis cag 2026 03 15 pis	5	$119	80	50	+30	open	—	03-15 15:44
Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverry	2	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-24 16:16
spx up or down on june 29 2026	2	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	06-29 18:14
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 11?	3	$118	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 14:15
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 6?	4	$117	60	60	+0	No	+$2	05-06 19:44
spy up or down on june 18 2026	5	$117	110	110	+0	open	—	06-18 15:53
meta up or down on august 10 2026	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	08-10 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 18:30:01	msft up or down on august 11 2026	Down	SELL	52	95¢	$50	0xd6e47a…
08-11 16:04:52	msft up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x23c868…
08-10 19:55:06	meta up or down on august 10 2026	Up	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x03b389…
08-10 16:12:54	msft up or down on august 10 2026	Up	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x486d3b…
08-10 16:09:15	msft up or down on august 10 2026	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6e49d4…
08-10 14:23:06	meta up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xdb45d9…
08-10 14:21:07	msft up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xea968e…
08-07 19:33:36	msft up or down on august 7 2026	Up	SELL	56	90¢	$50	0x4c1d21…
08-07 19:32:04	msft up or down on august 7 2026	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xedfa79…
08-07 15:49:09	msft up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x55b5d1…
08-07 15:46:07	msft up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xb271a1…
08-07 15:45:45	msft up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xbfb017…
08-07 15:45:43	msft up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x05eef8…
08-07 15:37:39	amzn up or down on august 7 2026	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x627c9f…
08-07 14:32:18	amzn up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xc87a7c…
08-06 18:28:36	meta up or down on august 6 2026	Up	SELL	60	61¢	$37	0xd055f0…
08-06 17:30:53	msft up or down on august 6 2026	Up	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x2c11f0…
08-06 15:22:08	msft up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xded313…
08-06 15:08:14	meta up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0xeeef35…
08-05 17:57:39	pltr up or down on august 5 2026	Down	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0x8faad3…
08-05 17:44:11	pltr up or down on august 5 2026	Down	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x267fc7…
08-05 10:27:41	pltr up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x4ac59f…
08-04 14:48:11	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x0542c6…
08-04 13:56:12	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	80	94¢	$75	0xeef402…
08-03 19:21:09	atp fritz jodar 2026 08 02	Taylor Fritz	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x310c65…
08-03 19:07:20	atp fritz jodar 2026 08 02	Taylor Fritz	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x9bdad5…
08-03 17:12:53	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x2ed169…
08-03 17:11:18	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x5d38dc…
08-03 15:18:15	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x14f218…
08-03 14:53:51	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xad4de1…
08-03 14:53:50	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x68a67b…
08-03 13:46:00	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xcc6b73…
08-03 13:46:00	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb00a5e…
08-03 13:45:59	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xfd603c…
08-03 13:45:59	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xf8b129…
08-03 13:45:59	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x6b1106…
08-03 13:45:59	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x6ab970…
08-03 13:45:57	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0ef603…
08-03 13:42:12	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xd11235…
08-03 13:40:24	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x386a0c…
08-03 13:40:24	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x31b8d5…
08-03 13:20:15	btc updown 15m 1785762900	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc99088…
07-31 15:25:27	aapl up or down on july 31 2026	Down	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x709de6…
07-31 13:55:11	aapl up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x5990f7…
07-30 16:24:36	xauusd up or down on july 30 2026	Up	SELL	49	95¢	$46	0x39d05a…
07-30 15:54:32	xauusd up or down on july 30 2026	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xbdfbf6…
07-30 15:46:06	spx up or down on july 30 2026	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xcd32b3…
07-30 15:25:57	spx up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xa506fc…
07-30 15:06:36	xauusd up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x252118…
07-30 15:06:26	xauusd up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xd99880…
07-30 15:06:14	xauusd up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x936af9…
07-30 13:02:12	spy up or down on july 30 2026	Up	SELL	60	83¢	$50	0x5eb45c…
07-30 12:21:17	spy up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x08511a…
07-28 19:01:37	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x90c898…
07-28 17:00:37	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x2d223c…
07-28 17:00:37	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x06a75b…
07-28 10:40:43	spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	Down	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0xc196bb…
07-28 09:36:58	spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0xe1db2a…
07-27 16:25:13	spx up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0x9d0666…
07-27 14:51:31	spx up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x953503…
07-27 14:51:22	spx up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbf901c…
07-27 13:51:16	spx up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x064360…
07-27 13:47:09	spx up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x4b8901…
07-27 13:47:06	spx up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xf98b53…
07-27 13:45:54	spx up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x19076a…
07-23 15:29:24	btc updown 15m 1784819700	Up	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x6e1d4d…
07-23 15:28:18	btc updown 15m 1784819700	Up	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd9e916…
07-16 18:07:19	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xe3564d…
07-16 17:55:32	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xf2326f…
07-15 18:13:05	amzn up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb70a3d…
07-15 18:12:22	amzn up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf8a5c4…
07-15 17:58:35	amzn up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7e10ff…
07-15 14:55:01	amzn up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe53b7c…
07-15 12:42:28	aapl up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x0f946c…
07-15 11:44:31	googl up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xc9a34a…
07-15 11:36:29	aapl up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x21ebd6…
07-14 16:59:59	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	39	91¢	$35	0xd0358c…
07-14 16:53:37	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe63d88…
07-14 16:21:01	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x8298c3…
07-14 16:20:53	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x2b9264…
07-14 16:07:23	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xde765f…
07-14 16:05:41	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x5e8aef…
07-13 18:23:44	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xe324f2…
07-13 16:56:40	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5ba47…
07-13 16:56:37	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x11d615…
07-13 16:36:46	btc updown 15m 1783960200	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xea4527…
07-13 16:36:46	btc updown 15m 1783960200	Down	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x5a3085…
07-13 16:36:46	btc updown 15m 1783960200	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x429a30…
07-13 16:35:59	btc updown 15m 1783960200	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x7040a4…
07-13 16:34:04	btc updown 5m 1783960200	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xcaa196…
07-13 16:34:04	btc updown 5m 1783960200	Down	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0xc35548…
07-13 16:34:04	btc updown 5m 1783960200	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb80924…
07-13 16:34:04	btc updown 5m 1783960200	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x4646f2…
07-13 16:34:04	btc updown 5m 1783960200	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x38c4e0…
07-13 16:34:04	btc updown 5m 1783960200	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x1adaf9…
07-13 16:30:56	btc updown 5m 1783960200	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x6fcca3…
07-13 16:07:26	aapl close above 315 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0xc6ee03…
07-13 15:30:44	aapl close above 315 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x71c47e…
07-13 15:17:22	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	87	11¢	$10	0x80ad5f…
07-13 15:17:17	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xbacc04…