Harmful-Hybridisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

206

Trades

334

lifetime

Volume

$3.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-23 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

88% 28% -$19

Crypto

8% 46% -$27

Sports

3% 41% -$10

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	2	$523	333	333	+0	Yes	+$143	05-03 20:54
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	3	$216	393	393	+0	No	-$178	05-09 15:47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	4	$201	132	132	+0	Yes	+$43	05-02 20:53
Martina Trevisan vs. Talia Gibson: Total Sets O/U 2.5	2	$183	133	133	+0	Over 2.5	+$83	05-05 18:27
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	2	$151	143	143	+0	Yes	+$131	05-06 21:02
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 3 - 1 Burnley FC?	2	$135	125	125	+0	Yes	+$115	05-01 21:19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapova	2	$135	144	144	+0	Anastasia Potapova	-$65	05-06 18:34
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	9	$103	587	560	+27	No	+$9	04-27 09:48
Portugal leading at halftime?	2	$64	38	38	+0	Yes	+$12	06-23 17:57
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?	2	$64	35	35	+0	No	+$4	04-26 17:22
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?	5	$62	73	72	+2	Yes	+$20	04-27 17:59
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	2	$61	41	41	+0	Yes	+$21	04-30 20:10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	2	$60	42	41	+1	Yes	+$22	04-25 21:00
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?	2	$59	34	34	+0	Yes	+$5	04-26 16:11
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$59	39	39	+0	Yes	+$19	04-29 20:25
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?	2	$50	103	101	+2	No	-$18	04-26 20:35
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?	1	$50	238	0	+238	No	-$50	05-07 13:23
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$48	225	225	+0	No	+$38	05-03 05:08
Saint-Malo: Julie Belgraver vs Anna Blinkova	2	$46	30	30	+0	Anna Blinkova	+$7	04-28 13:35
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	2	$45	27	27	+0	Yes	+$8	06-22 19:07
Exact Score: CA Osasuna 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?	2	$43	38	38	+0	Yes	+$33	05-02 20:55
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5	2	$38	24	24	+0	Over	+$10	05-01 20:49
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5	2	$37	24	24	+0	Under	+$11	04-30 20:54
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?	2	$36	21	21	+0	Yes	+$6	05-01 21:18
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$5	04-26 20:43
England leading at halftime?	1	$36	55	0	+55	No	-$36	06-23 19:13
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$31	184	184	+0	open	—	05-10 09:13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	4	$31	98	98	+0	No	+$7	04-30 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$30	21	21	+1	Up	+$7	04-27 09:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?	2	$30	75	75	+0	No	$0	05-07 05:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 19:13:04	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	55	65¢	$36	0x29614e…
06-23 19:12:23	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb52cac…
06-23 19:08:22	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe2105e…
06-23 17:57:08	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x5169a6…
06-23 16:26:52	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0xf7db92…
06-22 19:07:52	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0xb62447…
06-22 11:20:40	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	27	68¢	$18	0xe0a69f…
06-21 12:34:56	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x413f07…
06-21 12:34:20	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x299fbe…
06-21 12:33:31	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x275909…
06-21 12:33:08	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x90ba99…
06-21 12:32:32	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb192ca…
06-21 12:32:02	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xea4263…
06-20 16:48:17	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xd18a22…
06-20 16:47:59	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	312	3¢	$10	0x6c8f7b…
06-20 16:40:40	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x5ca743…
06-20 16:36:04	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	125	3¢	$4	0x931246…
06-19 21:54:46	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xc8645c…
06-18 17:10:41	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x6edade…
06-17 11:53:10	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x183517…
05-12 07:00:08	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	39	43¢	$17	0xd6248f…
05-12 06:58:26	Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3ac5d8…
05-12 06:58:23	Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb3d24d…
05-12 06:58:21	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb850c8…
05-12 05:11:15	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x048a97…
05-11 10:41:01	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0xeefcca…
05-11 10:40:04	Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xf2e282…
05-11 10:39:50	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xeb73b5…
05-11 10:39:32	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x7a58ba…
05-10 14:22:26	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x3318af…
05-10 14:01:02	Exact Score: RCD Mallorca 1 - 1 Villarreal CF?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x03fe26…
05-10 09:22:14	RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	138	20¢	$28	0x0c3cb6…
05-10 09:17:20	Exact Score: RCD Mallorca 1 - 1 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa91dac…
05-10 09:17:07	Exact Score: RCD Mallorca 1 - 0 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x815bbe…
05-10 09:14:21	Exact Score: RCD Mallorca 0 - 0 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	132	7¢	$9	0x381c3e…
05-10 09:13:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	455	2¢	$8	0x16b6fc…
05-10 09:13:02	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	184	7¢	$13	0xc5ac60…
05-09 15:47:14	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	111	8¢	$9	0x54760b…
05-09 15:45:42	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	282	4¢	$10	0xd838c1…
05-09 08:56:24	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	393	50¢	$197	0x7265c1…
05-09 08:55:58	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	193	15¢	$29	0x7248bd…
05-09 08:55:24	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	238	8¢	$19	0x0baeec…
05-08 13:51:58	Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	BUY	303	7¢	$20	0xfbcefe…
05-07 19:04:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0xbb21b8…
05-07 15:16:39	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	10¢	$18	0x57a1d2…
05-07 13:23:13	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xd617c1…
05-07 13:19:59	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 3 Nottingham Forest FC?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x5c0c43…
05-07 13:18:26	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 0 Nottingham Forest FC?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x93d974…
05-07 13:17:30	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 3 - 3 Nottingham Forest FC?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x235665…
05-07 13:17:08	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest FC?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x772305…
05-07 13:16:54	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 0 - 2 Nottingham Forest FC?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xd5e65f…
05-07 11:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x87339b…
05-07 11:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa147aa…
05-07 05:26:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	75	19¢	$15	0xbe0ccd…
05-06 21:02:21	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	SELL	143	99¢	$141	0xdbd196…
05-06 18:48:27	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 5 - 4 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	1,022	2¢	$20	0x4d5a0b…
05-06 18:39:59	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 7 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	466	1¢	$4	0x5e30df…
05-06 18:36:57	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 6 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	683	1¢	$5	0xbaf150…
05-06 18:36:24	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x680426…
05-06 18:34:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapova	Dalma Galfi	SELL	144	24¢	$35	0x40de40…
05-06 18:31:00	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	82	11¢	$9	0xf25684…
05-06 18:30:41	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x7ec13b…
05-06 18:30:25	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0x240d85…
05-06 18:29:50	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	360	2¢	$9	0xea3da3…
05-06 18:26:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	126	23¢	$29	0x742f19…
05-06 18:22:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapova	Dalma Galfi	BUY	144	70¢	$100	0x25ec02…
05-06 03:04:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x841b1f…
05-06 03:03:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	162	8¢	$13	0x9f9711…
05-05 18:27:12	Martina Trevisan vs. Talia Gibson: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x055689…
05-05 16:03:24	Martina Trevisan vs. Talia Gibson: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0xd94622…
05-05 15:56:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska	Anastasia Zakharova	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0xc89082…
05-05 15:50:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jennifer Ruggeri	Jennifer Ruggeri	SELL	34	40¢	$14	0x3a379e…
05-05 15:50:04	Brazzaville: Reda Bennani vs Paulo Dos Santos	Paulo Dos Santos	SELL	71	26¢	$19	0xc8d769…
05-05 15:49:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzetti	Lucia Bronzetti	SELL	33	31¢	$10	0xbff56f…
05-05 15:45:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzetti	Lucia Bronzetti	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x06b8b5…
05-05 15:44:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jennifer Ruggeri	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x31e49f…
05-05 15:40:32	Brazzaville: Reda Bennani vs Paulo Dos Santos	Paulo Dos Santos	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xd58940…
05-05 15:39:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Andrea Pellegrino	Martin Landaluce	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xe43479…
05-05 15:38:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martina Trevisan vs Talia Gibson	Martina Trevisan	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf57f66…
05-05 15:36:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska	Anastasia Zakharova	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xfbb6da…
05-05 04:57:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x082545…
05-04 14:49:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3b82e2…
05-04 11:29:12	Istanbul: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Alice Tubello	Sarah Rakotomanga	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x37fd6f…
05-04 11:17:04	Istanbul: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Alice Tubello	Sarah Rakotomanga	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x3bf732…
05-04 10:51:18	Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Renta Tokuda	Renta Tokuda	SELL	43	12¢	$5	0x995673…
05-04 10:42:12	Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Renta Tokuda	Renta Tokuda	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x855771…
05-03 20:54:12	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	333	100¢	$333	0x37ad0f…
05-03 17:24:10	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xcb6446…
05-03 17:21:16	Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x9620cb…
05-03 17:01:08	IK Start vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x99cbd1…
05-03 11:25:14	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xa9b89f…
05-03 11:25:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x8768ed…
05-03 09:32:02	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	333	57¢	$190	0xf45ef2…
05-03 09:17:40	Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x0e831f…
05-03 09:16:32	IK Start vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xaa99eb…
05-03 09:15:38	Vålerenga Fotball vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8d134f…
05-03 09:15:22	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xbb0554…
05-03 05:08:08	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	35¢	$17	0x0909cc…
05-03 05:08:00	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	225	19¢	$43	0xec4096…
05-02 20:55:20	Exact Score: CA Osasuna 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x553960…