Amused-Dud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

187

Trades

1,808

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 06-12 01:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

28% 80% +$19

Sports

28% — —

Politics

23% — —

Other

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	22	$746	610	610	+0	open	—	03-30 17:19
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	28	$712	900	559	+341	open	—	03-31 17:41
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	4	$488	403	100	+303	open	—	02-28 07:05
nba nop uta 2026 02 28 spread away 6pt5	6	$465	300	200	+100	open	—	03-01 04:52
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$440	300	300	+0	open	—	03-07 00:33
nba den okc 2026 02 27	25	$417	25	775	-750	open	—	02-28 05:25
nba sas phi 2026 03 03 spread away 5pt5	1	$394	402	0	+402	open	—	03-04 02:41
will john cornyn win the first round of the republican senate primary election in texas	4	$392	198	198	+0	open	—	03-07 10:04
cbb duke mich 2026 02 21	17	$388	800	0	+800	open	—	02-22 01:09
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	7	$387	200	200	+0	open	—	03-26 01:42
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	5	$371	300	300	+0	open	—	02-28 06:55
nba nop phx 2026 03 06 total 224pt5	1	$277	300	0	+300	open	—	03-07 04:21
nba tor min 2026 03 05 spread home 4pt5	6	$270	296	0	+296	open	—	03-06 03:29
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$250	400	400	+0	open	—	03-01 09:39
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	23	$248	500	337	+163	open	—	03-30 23:35
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$242	200	200	+0	open	—	02-28 06:23
nba okc dal 2026 03 01 spread away 16pt5	2	$208	196	189	+8	open	—	03-02 02:48
nba lal phx 2026 02 26	7	$206	0	400	-400	open	—	02-27 03:09
nba lac lal 2026 02 20	2	$200	240	0	+240	open	—	02-21 04:49
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	1	$197	200	0	+200	open	—	02-28 07:12
nba sas phi 2026 03 03 total 234pt5	1	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	03-04 03:17
will iran strike uae in march	4	$195	198	0	+198	open	—	03-02 23:21
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	4	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	03-03 09:02
nba nyk den 2026 03 06 total 229pt5	1	$191	200	0	+200	open	—	03-07 04:11
will iran strike bahrain in march	4	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	03-08 05:15
nba sac sas 2026 02 21	4	$190	212	0	+212	open	—	02-22 02:40
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?	2	$188	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 06:54
nba hou nyk 2026 02 21	5	$184	200	100	+100	open	—	02-22 03:36
nba orl min 2026 03 07 total 221pt5	6	$174	250	0	+250	open	—	03-07 22:18
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	2	$170	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 01:07:48	btc updown 15m 1781226000	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x77dc8b…
06-12 01:07:46	btc updown 15m 1781226000	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x572294…
06-12 01:03:15	btc updown 15m 1781226000	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x322373…
06-12 00:22:19	btc updown 15m 1781223300	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x58279b…
06-12 00:21:58	btc updown 15m 1781223300	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xf37a93…
06-12 00:16:43	btc updown 15m 1781223300	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x4a5bae…
06-12 00:07:48	btc updown 15m 1781222400	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x129993…
06-11 23:53:06	btc updown 15m 1781221500	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x1d02f5…
06-11 23:52:07	btc updown 15m 1781221500	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x071ed9…
06-11 23:31:58	btc updown 15m 1781220600	Down	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xc4f84b…
06-11 23:03:31	btc updown 15m 1781218800	Up	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x52b812…
06-11 23:03:31	btc updown 15m 1781218800	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x50173c…
06-11 23:03:31	btc updown 15m 1781218800	Up	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x3a003b…
06-11 22:39:01	btc updown 15m 1781217000	Up	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xf96653…
06-11 21:04:09	btc updown 15m 1781211600	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x87a1ac…
06-11 21:04:07	btc updown 15m 1781211600	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xf93363…
06-11 21:04:07	btc updown 15m 1781211600	Down	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xd92e97…
06-11 12:22:25	btc updown 15m 1781180100	Up	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x75a9d3…
06-11 12:22:25	btc updown 15m 1781180100	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x11ff3e…
06-11 12:21:31	btc updown 15m 1781180100	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc5fbee…
06-11 12:20:37	btc updown 15m 1781180100	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xcebf77…
06-11 12:07:12	btc updown 15m 1781179200	Up	BUY	3	19¢	$0	0xe92c3d…
06-11 11:51:39	btc updown 15m 1781178300	Down	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x82a2ae…
06-11 10:51:31	btc updown 15m 1781174700	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xe7c305…
06-11 10:36:34	btc updown 15m 1781173800	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x613f06…
06-11 10:22:54	btc updown 15m 1781172900	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x706130…
06-11 10:20:22	btc updown 15m 1781172900	Up	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x4b31bb…
06-11 10:19:06	btc updown 15m 1781172900	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xffa24b…
06-11 10:19:06	btc updown 15m 1781172900	Up	BUY	24	23¢	$6	0x84b671…
06-11 10:19:06	btc updown 15m 1781172900	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0676c8…
06-11 10:18:57	btc updown 15m 1781172900	Up	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x64833d…
06-11 10:17:42	btc updown 15m 1781172900	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x425cf4…
06-11 09:09:42	btc updown 15m 1781168400	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xe5cc93…
06-11 09:09:09	btc updown 15m 1781168400	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x9d9739…
06-11 09:08:31	btc updown 15m 1781168400	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa1c4e5…
06-11 09:08:00	btc updown 15m 1781168400	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xefbe8f…
06-11 08:49:01	btc updown 15m 1781167500	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2c7670…
06-11 08:48:04	btc updown 15m 1781167500	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xce7bc5…
06-11 08:48:04	btc updown 15m 1781167500	Down	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x903999…
06-11 08:48:04	btc updown 15m 1781167500	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x26e725…
06-11 08:24:54	btc updown 15m 1781165700	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x67bc2e…
06-11 08:09:12	btc updown 15m 1781164800	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xf8e57e…
06-11 07:38:36	btc updown 15m 1781163000	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xb7afd8…
06-11 07:24:46	btc updown 15m 1781162100	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2b82db…
06-11 07:06:52	btc updown 15m 1781161200	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xa5e884…
06-11 05:06:39	btc updown 15m 1781154000	Up	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x4a3d26…
06-11 04:51:09	btc updown 15m 1781153100	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x7c0619…
06-10 07:01:10	btc updown 15m 1781073900	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xda2ce5…
06-10 07:01:03	btc updown 15m 1781073900	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x332553…
06-10 06:46:40	btc updown 15m 1781073000	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xf762be…
06-10 06:46:09	btc updown 15m 1781073000	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x4328e5…
06-10 06:46:03	btc updown 15m 1781073000	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x7ddbfe…
06-10 06:36:57	btc updown 15m 1781073000	Up	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x0d961d…
06-10 06:35:24	btc updown 15m 1781073000	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x18cd84…
06-10 06:33:15	btc updown 15m 1781073000	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xf0269e…
06-10 06:32:37	btc updown 15m 1781073000	Up	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x2db270…
06-10 06:32:36	btc updown 15m 1781073000	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x489454…
06-10 06:01:06	btc updown 15m 1781070300	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xcb280b…
06-10 06:01:03	btc updown 15m 1781070300	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xccda42…
06-10 05:51:18	btc updown 15m 1781070300	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x7af92a…
06-10 05:48:06	btc updown 15m 1781070300	Up	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xcd9af2…
06-09 17:11:09	btc updown 5m 1781025000	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xefbcc8…
06-09 17:10:33	btc updown 5m 1781025000	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x6616de…
06-09 17:08:28	btc updown 5m 1781024700	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x659f74…
06-09 08:14:22	btc updown 5m 1780992600	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x606da0…
06-09 08:14:12	btc updown 5m 1780992600	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xe68617…
06-09 08:14:12	btc updown 5m 1780992600	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x103067…
06-08 05:37:09	btc updown 15m 1780896600	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x67af0b…
06-08 05:36:49	btc updown 15m 1780896600	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x1e08b0…
06-06 01:21:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x6ce471…
06-06 01:14:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x5187d5…
06-01 16:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xede333…
06-01 16:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x2b21ad…
06-01 16:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xb1863a…
06-01 16:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x3b26b7…
06-01 16:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x2b4954…
06-01 16:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0xf8c047…
06-01 16:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x714a0f…
06-01 16:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x94535d…
06-01 16:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe84216…
06-01 16:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7b08be…
06-01 04:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x7c2061…
05-31 05:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xbcdcbc…
05-31 05:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf383a4…
05-31 05:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x7bafce…
05-31 05:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x8d82dc…
05-31 04:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcc37a7…
05-31 04:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x51e1ed…
05-31 04:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x0ce71b…
05-31 04:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc70b33…
05-31 04:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9834ce…
05-31 03:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x9b0582…
05-30 04:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x90c2ff…
05-30 04:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x303a3f…
05-30 04:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$0	0x3d306a…
05-30 04:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x595324…
05-30 04:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0fb7b4…
05-30 04:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xb20829…
05-30 04:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x5447dc…
05-29 18:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x47f2fb…