Deficient-Kiss — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$469

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

2,064

Trades

2,721

lifetime

Volume

$26.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$148

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-07 07:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Sports

49% 61% +$703

Crypto

26% 41% -$658

Other

18% 60% +$309

Politics

7% 71% +$115

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+110	$100	98¢	$108	+$8	10-27 09:44
Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-11-07?	Yes		+18	$16	93¢	$17	+$1	11-07 06:25
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+14	$10	98¢	$14	+$4	11-03 10:22
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki	Yosuke Watanuki		+9	$5	94¢	$9	+$4	11-07 07:16
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere		+9	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	11-07 07:15
Wonju DB Promy vs. Seoul Thunders	Seoul Thunders	—	+20	$15	1¢	$0	-$15	11-07 06:21
Yokohama B-Corsairs vs. Kobe Storks	Yokohama B-Corsairs		+7	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	11-07 07:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$1.2K	656	656	+0	No	+$99	04-23 02:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 14:25 UTC	3	$608	657	40	+617	Down	-$527	04-23 14:30
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$532	308	308	+0	Yes	+$82	10-27 01:40
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$494	269	269	+0	No	+$44	10-27 01:40
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	1	$250	385	0	+385	Yes	+$135	04-15 14:58
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	2	$235	135	135	+0	No	+$35	10-31 14:16
Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 253.5	2	$148	82	82	+0	Under	+$16	11-03 03:15
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 240.5	2	$146	81	81	+0	Under	+$14	11-03 03:06
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 235.5	2	$129	72	72	+0	Under	+$15	11-05 03:07
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 252.5	2	$115	141	0	+141	Under	+$26	11-05 04:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:05 UTC	2	$110	121	0	+121	Down	+$11	04-23 10:05
nba sac det 2026 01 25	1	$107	124	0	+124	Pistons	+$17	01-25 05:24
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 ags harry kane	1	$100	178	0	+178	Yes	+$78	04-15 14:59
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 251.5	1	$100	111	0	+111	Under	+$11	11-05 04:29
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	1	$100	120	0	+120	Yes	+$20	10-27 08:27
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	10-27 09:44
Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5	1	$97	122	0	+122	Under	+$25	11-01 14:36
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 236.5	1	$97	121	0	+121	Under	+$24	11-01 14:36
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5	1	$97	124	0	+124	Over	-$97	11-01 14:37
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5	1	$97	122	0	+122	Over	+$25	11-01 14:43
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	2	$94	93,650	0	+93,650	No	-$94	01-20 07:41
lol wb ig1 2026 01 14 game1	1	$93	111	0	+111	Invictus Gaming	+$18	01-14 09:32
Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 27?	1	$90	97	0	+97	Yes	+$7	10-27 02:04
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	3	$81	50	50	+0	Yes	+$18	11-02 05:18
Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5	2	$80	89	0	+89	Over	+$9	10-29 02:01
Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 27?	1	$80	88	0	+88	No	+$8	10-27 02:02
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5	1	$75	94	0	+94	Under	+$19	11-06 23:30
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5	1	$75	95	0	+95	Over	-$75	11-06 23:26
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 242.5	1	$75	95	0	+95	Under	+$20	11-06 23:29
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 241.5	1	$75	94	0	+94	Under	+$19	11-06 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 07:18:06	Yokohama B-Corsairs vs. Kobe Storks	Yokohama B-Corsairs	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc925bb…
11-07 07:16:46	Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki	Yosuke Watanuki	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf1d3d9…
11-07 07:15:45	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x172117…
11-07 06:25:54	Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x2c9570…
11-07 06:25:04	Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat	Jan Kumstat	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x4fd73f…
11-07 06:21:48	Wonju DB Promy vs. Seoul Thunders	Seoul Thunders	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xee5c95…
11-07 06:20:25	Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x1b1f7c…
11-07 05:24:37	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5	Under	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x58c9b5…
11-07 05:21:54	Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 240.5	Under	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x21b304…
11-07 03:43:37	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xd1730e…
11-07 03:41:43	Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 250.5	Under	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0x907541…
11-07 02:54:19	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 246.5	Under	BUY	84	81¢	$68	0xeae3a5…
11-07 02:53:58	Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 244.5	Under	BUY	86	79¢	$68	0x570f50…
11-07 02:13:45	Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0x2a1f34…
11-07 02:13:00	Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	42	81¢	$34	0xc48a5a…
11-07 02:11:54	Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5	Under	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0x09e608…
11-07 02:11:06	Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0x8f0e0e…
11-07 01:55:10	76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0xcc0bbc…
11-07 01:17:27	Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5	Under	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x608aa8…
11-07 01:16:45	Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5	Under	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdffe8d…
11-07 01:16:39	Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5	Under	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x7fb106…
11-06 23:30:27	Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5	Under	BUY	94	80¢	$75	0x9af03b…
11-06 23:29:45	Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 242.5	Under	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0x9d1cfb…
11-06 23:29:10	Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 241.5	Under	BUY	94	80¢	$75	0x6f35f7…
11-06 23:28:33	Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	91	82¢	$75	0xa8728e…
11-06 23:27:37	76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5	Under	BUY	93	81¢	$75	0x6156d3…
11-06 23:27:15	Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5	Under	BUY	93	81¢	$75	0x47a14b…
11-06 23:26:48	Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5	Under	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0x127b92…
11-06 07:01:06	Shiga Lakestars vs. Brave Thunders	Shiga Lakestars	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd2a1cb…
11-06 04:40:37	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x95e488…
11-06 04:40:30	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x15c502…
11-06 04:12:22	Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x79794a…
11-06 04:09:22	Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xb00269…
11-06 03:56:36	Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x10f5a8…
11-06 03:44:49	Magic vs. Suns: O/U 227.5	Under	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xf5b74d…
11-06 03:21:01	Magic vs. Suns: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x01acff…
11-06 01:39:09	Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 249.5	Under	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x79a20d…
11-06 01:38:45	Magic vs. Suns: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x7b4630…
11-05 04:46:00	Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x2f48c5…
11-05 04:29:22	Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 251.5	Under	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x208832…
11-05 04:11:58	Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 241.5	Under	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x19ebed…
11-05 04:11:42	Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	70	79¢	$55	0x451380…
11-05 04:11:12	Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 252.5	Under	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xf074a4…
11-05 04:10:46	Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5	Under	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x2d2aba…
11-05 03:36:43	Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 242.5	Under	BUY	80	81¢	$65	0xd384a8…
11-05 03:21:51	Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	82	79¢	$65	0x50dffb…
11-05 03:15:09	Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 259.5	Under	BUY	82	79¢	$65	0x0adcd0…
11-05 03:08:18	Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 252.5	Under	BUY	82	79¢	$65	0x590c9e…
11-05 03:07:22	Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 235.5	Under	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x9b5a7f…
11-05 02:44:25	Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	80	81¢	$65	0x958d19…
11-04 23:49:06	Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 247.5	Under	BUY	72	81¢	$58	0xf822fa…
11-04 23:48:10	Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5	Under	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0x44a1a2…
11-04 23:47:30	Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5	Under	BUY	70	81¢	$57	0x5a008f…
11-04 23:47:00	Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 248.5	Under	BUY	72	79¢	$57	0x9cf79e…
11-04 23:46:33	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	70	81¢	$57	0x8d1179…
11-04 23:46:00	Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	72	79¢	$57	0x1c92c5…
11-04 23:45:25	76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	72	79¢	$57	0x597e5d…
11-04 23:44:58	Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5	Under	BUY	72	79¢	$57	0x87c7a8…
11-04 01:19:30	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xfad5c8…
11-03 13:54:07	Will Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x670e5e…
11-03 13:52:21	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winner	GenOne	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa5f9f9…
11-03 13:51:37	Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs XI Esport (BO3) - United21 Group A	XI Esport	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xc4d3a1…
11-03 13:50:58	Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs maybe - Map 2 Winner	maybe	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7d3942…
11-03 13:50:43	Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs maybe (BO3) - European Pro League Series 10 Closed Qualifier Play-In	Falcons Force	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xd3180e…
11-03 12:16:39	Shanghai Sharks vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers	Jilin Northeast Tigers	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8f1cea…
11-03 11:51:06	Shanghai Sharks vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers	Jilin Northeast Tigers	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x5e719d…
11-03 11:50:10	Nanjing Monkey King vs. Jiangsu Dragons	Nanjing Monkey King	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x51b27a…
11-03 11:49:03	Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Fujian Sturgeons	Fujian Sturgeons	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdeee4a…
11-03 11:48:36	Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x70a369…
11-03 11:47:58	Shanxi Loongs vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x6cb870…
11-03 11:47:03	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x75170e…
11-03 11:46:06	Tianjin Pioneers vs. Zhejiang Lions	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x53016c…
11-03 11:09:57	Dota 2: rostikfacekid TEAM vs LenS Team (BO3) - Media Eleague Group Stage	LenS Team	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc7decf…
11-03 11:09:13	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Legacy	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7b6b16…
11-03 11:07:24	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x738b65…
11-03 11:07:15	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9cd2bd…
11-03 10:56:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x8da032…
11-03 10:49:10	Will Jeonbuk FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x08c978…
11-03 10:41:09	Kashiwa Reysol vs. Daejeon Citizen FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd73ccf…
11-03 10:38:07	Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?	Yes	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x6f48e7…
11-03 10:36:39	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xdd0b52…
11-03 10:36:03	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xac28c1…
11-03 10:35:43	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa0d052…
11-03 10:33:48	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0b45c1…
11-03 10:32:30	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x2cf763…
11-03 10:31:04	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb15112…
11-03 10:30:24	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xc047cc…
11-03 10:28:36	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x5df171…
11-03 10:24:48	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7be6fc…
11-03 10:24:30	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xcde0de…
11-03 10:24:00	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xcdd6f8…
11-03 10:23:40	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xa409fc…
11-03 10:22:49	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe353ca…
11-03 10:22:28	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb2913e…
11-03 10:22:10	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd9b222…
11-03 10:21:22	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x88c31b…
11-03 10:20:24	Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Just Players (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs	QUAZAR	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x57807c…
11-03 10:19:22	Honor of Kings: Weibo Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO7) - King Pro League Grand Finals Playoffs	Weibo Gaming	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x4e939c…
11-03 10:18:54	Dota 2: LEGION vs OG (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	OG	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x36b923…
11-03 10:16:01	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	TheMongolz	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb7fad4…