Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$170

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

118

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$2.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-22

last 09-08 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 67% -$113

Politics

24% 72% +$22

Other

16% 41% -$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 5am et	3	$140	90	90	+0	Up	+$40	07-27 10:08
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	5	$136	244	244	+0	Yes	-$13	08-07 23:10
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$120	103	103	+0	No	+$8	08-04 02:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 00:15 UTC	3	$75	85	0	+85	Up	-$75	07-28 00:28
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	4	$59	35	35	+0	Yes	$0	08-10 00:27
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	2	$59	170	170	+0	No	-$15	08-14 00:58
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	2	$59	37	37	+0	Yes	+$15	08-12 02:11
bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 1pm et	3	$54	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	07-29 18:30
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	2	$53	62	62	+0	open	—	08-27 15:35
ethereum up or down july 27 2026 8am et	2	$50	62	0	+62	Down	+$12	07-27 12:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:40 UTC	2	$50	142	0	+142	Up	-$50	08-02 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC	2	$50	59	0	+59	Down	+$9	07-28 00:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 23:15 UTC	2	$50	75	0	+75	Up	-$24	07-27 23:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:45 UTC	2	$50	25	25	+0	Up	+$0	07-27 23:51
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	2	$48	106	106	+0	open	—	08-19 15:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	2	$38	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	08-01 16:27
cs2 fnc lilmix 2026 08 03 map handicap away 1pt5	2	$34	19	19	+0	fnatic	+$4	08-03 11:45
will trump say american dream in september 20260930	2	$30	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	08-29 08:54
Will no press briefing air by August 31?	4	$29	16	16	+0	Yes	$0	08-31 16:38
will leavitt say illegal or illegals during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550017	3	$29	28	8	+20	No	-$16	08-28 20:41
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	2	$27	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	07-24 17:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 15:45 UTC	2	$26	33	0	+33	Down	+$5	07-26 15:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:45 UTC	2	$26	171	0	+171	Down	-$26	07-25 00:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 02:30 UTC	2	$26	29	0	+29	Up	+$1	07-27 02:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 03:45 UTC	2	$26	32	0	+32	Down	+$6	07-27 03:51
bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 10pm et	2	$26	30	0	+30	Down	+$2	07-27 02:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 03:15 UTC	2	$26	26	0	+26	Up	+$0	07-24 03:29
bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 2pm et	1	$25	62	0	+62	Up	+$38	07-26 18:16
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 7am et	1	$25	78	0	+78	Down	-$25	07-27 11:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 18:05 UTC	1	$25	35	0	+35	Up	-$25	07-26 18:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 18:14:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0x57634c…
09-08 18:13:34	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xbae6a1…
08-31 21:38:03	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf2c3c5…
08-31 16:38:00	Will no press briefing air by August 31?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc445a5…
08-29 15:20:51	Will no press briefing air by August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x3df730…
08-29 09:45:24	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0x660fc1…
08-29 08:54:43	will trump say american dream in september 20260930	Yes	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0xe34d12…
08-29 08:54:10	Will no press briefing air by August 31?	Yes	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xb41038…
08-29 03:43:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	SELL	120	5¢	$6	0x23220e…
08-29 03:42:33	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x0797b3…
08-28 20:41:40	Will Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x785e3b…
08-28 20:38:30	Will Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x3da1a6…
08-28 20:37:34	Will no press briefing air by August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xb55c8e…
08-28 16:23:07	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xcc6f1b…
08-28 16:22:31	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x248964…
08-28 09:17:55	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xcd9e32…
08-28 03:53:00	Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xd549fd…
08-28 03:48:49	Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xa4e58b…
08-28 01:19:00	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xfa75ae…
08-27 15:38:01	will trump say american dream in september 20260930	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x59e8c5…
08-27 15:35:36	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	62	50¢	$31	0xec12d2…
08-25 04:31:39	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0xfa4745…
08-22 10:40:57	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5b35da…
08-21 18:18:27	will trump say venezuela during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x20ef37…
08-21 16:42:46	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x38bd95…
08-20 16:52:25	will leavitt say illegal or illegals during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550017	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xa0dd91…
08-20 16:33:58	will ethereum reach 2700 in august 2026	No	SELL	9	86¢	$7	0x1492cc…
08-20 16:01:57	will ethereum reach 2700 in august 2026	No	BUY	9	87¢	$7	0x729396…
08-20 10:33:16	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0xd70eff…
08-20 08:10:16	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x959e66…
08-20 02:03:58	next white house press secretary announced by august 28 2026	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xf7794c…
08-19 15:43:39	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	31¢	$33	0x63e7d0…
08-16 21:06:39	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	14¢	$15	0x8fdef7…
08-15 17:27:22	trump meets with putin by december 31	Yes	BUY	62	36¢	$22	0xf8d31b…
08-15 15:22:19	will trump praise zohran mamdani in august 20260728221212341	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe5eba8…
08-14 19:52:15	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x4c989b…
08-14 19:51:22	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xed4d3c…
08-14 16:18:55	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xa35e54…
08-14 15:23:33	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x0f8480…
08-14 08:29:51	will trump say supreme court during remarks in new york 20260811183234696	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x9c1a18…
08-14 00:58:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	SELL	170	13¢	$22	0x07c79f…
08-13 19:42:18	Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9b2f45…
08-13 17:34:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xfb92e3…
08-13 06:49:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	170	22¢	$37	0x8e4728…
08-13 04:21:03	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd8d50e…
08-12 20:03:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xf30565…
08-12 02:11:31	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x3b91e8…
08-11 17:40:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xcbe971…
08-11 15:38:40	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x82776e…
08-11 00:49:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe4e461…
08-11 00:10:01	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xcb308c…
08-10 14:15:40	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0x13650e…
08-10 12:28:07	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x026703…
08-10 00:27:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0x0b359b…
08-10 00:26:49	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0xf0eb6b…
08-09 14:12:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x051ce2…
08-09 12:26:07	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x46ceab…
08-09 12:25:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x2550ac…
08-09 02:51:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x950113…
08-08 09:18:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x98483a…
08-08 03:38:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	37	22¢	$8	0x165290…
08-07 23:10:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	151	12¢	$18	0x577cbb…
08-07 21:27:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0x0479b5…
08-07 20:33:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0x1f59e5…
08-07 20:26:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	196	19¢	$37	0x768beb…
08-07 13:54:49	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0x925afb…
08-07 13:49:57	will trump say rare earth or mineral during friday roundtable 20260805211427285	Yes	SELL	8	91¢	$8	0xbae49e…
08-06 23:32:24	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x625cd8…
08-06 22:46:45	will trump say rare earth or mineral during friday roundtable 20260805211427285	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x8a5b5b…
08-06 22:11:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	48	78¢	$38	0xdcba08…
08-05 02:22:26	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd612d0…
08-05 01:25:57	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xf0382f…
08-04 19:09:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0x517d6a…
08-04 18:27:24	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0xd4e889…
08-04 09:35:15	lol gen dnf 2026 08 04 game1	Gen.G	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb6df93…
08-04 08:06:57	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 04	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x284db6…
08-04 05:48:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x410a86…
08-04 05:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4ce87c…
08-04 02:30:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	103	62¢	$64	0x41ff66…
08-03 17:01:53	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xeede6b…
08-03 11:54:54	dota2 og gl 2026 08 03	GamerLegion	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xbf9b8d…
08-03 11:45:32	cs2 fnc lilmix 2026 08 03 map handicap away 1pt5	fnatic	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc67a9f…
08-03 10:36:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdec219…
08-03 07:53:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xff12a5…
08-03 00:15:36	cs2 fnc lilmix 2026 08 03 map handicap away 1pt5	fnatic	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xfbb3d4…
08-02 17:44:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	113	22¢	$25	0xa80f42…
08-02 17:43:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x0e68fc…
08-02 17:38:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x551c6b…
08-02 17:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x447f92…
08-02 17:27:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x44fdab…
08-02 17:17:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x365384…
08-02 15:49:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xf9eb08…
08-02 15:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x3095f8…
08-01 16:27:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$19	0x85ed20…
08-01 16:26:29	will trump say through the roof in august 20260728220215921	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x6b1a67…
08-01 01:07:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xb3776a…
07-31 01:19:47	will trump say through the roof in august 20260728220215921	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xc15c09…
07-30 08:54:27	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	103	54¢	$56	0xc6cf37…
07-29 18:35:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x7e6a45…
07-29 18:30:20	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xbbdfe9…