Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

147

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$152

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-12

last 11-06 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

82% 56% +$12

Politics

16% 45% -$4

Tech

3% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	44¢	$1	+$0	11-06 13:00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	+1	$1	89¢	$1	+$0	11-03 22:00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	+2	$1	56¢	$1	+$0	11-06 22:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	+5	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	11-03 04:22
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	+2	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-05 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 22:52:10	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4ea2cc…
11-06 13:00:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0ba402…
11-06 03:56:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa1e91b…
11-05 19:17:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2fbac8…
11-05 10:36:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1ceac3…
11-04 23:00:39	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x058b32…
11-04 06:01:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x336576…
11-03 22:00:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7cfc86…
11-03 12:23:03	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x45e7cd…
11-03 04:22:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb4c4c1…
11-02 20:22:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4c61d6…
11-02 12:22:03	Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc27a7b…
11-02 04:21:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7a569b…
11-01 20:02:27	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x114f7a…
10-30 01:51:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa0b8d7…
10-29 09:47:11	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfa7cd6…
10-28 13:43:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc50123…
10-28 04:31:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd3ad3c…
10-27 20:17:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8b390d…
10-27 12:11:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8a30a2…
10-27 03:33:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf53094…
10-25 14:41:20	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdcb79a…
10-25 06:36:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2862d1…
10-21 04:34:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x366e4c…
10-19 20:25:00	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf938fc…
10-19 12:24:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2ce375…
10-19 04:24:29	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2a7ecb…
10-18 20:24:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x70f4e5…
10-18 12:12:48	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5d8b50…
10-18 01:01:24	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x90c585…
10-17 16:11:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x79e4cc…
10-16 09:05:46	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x473bd9…
10-16 01:03:31	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0f02bc…
10-15 10:48:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2c23d8…
10-15 02:00:04	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf459d7…
10-14 17:59:43	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x381f18…
10-14 09:58:02	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x64661a…
10-14 01:55:14	meta close above 750 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd5ce77…
10-13 16:02:10	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x51f2c4…
10-13 07:05:04	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x55a574…
10-12 23:03:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa7c710…
10-12 15:02:45	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $532.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x824783…
10-12 06:45:28	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb305c9…
10-12 06:45:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7e2149…
10-11 22:45:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe43fb8…
10-11 14:36:55	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x33d1d1…
10-11 10:53:06	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6bcbe5…
10-11 08:33:22	Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc63d13…
10-10 21:16:55	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x109478…
10-09 09:47:27	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd54ad2…
10-08 23:26:09	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xda837f…
10-08 10:06:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x94387b…
10-08 00:41:31	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x99729f…
10-08 00:38:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe6ac08…
10-07 16:35:58	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3e1cf0…
10-07 04:45:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x14bda7…
10-06 20:44:50	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8c774e…
10-06 12:35:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb53036…
10-06 04:35:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2f4062…
10-05 15:28:58	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbf0e6f…
10-04 23:52:04	will coin reach 192 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8c2a6b…
10-03 04:35:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x568f92…
10-03 02:10:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9103c2…
10-02 14:16:38	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc81331…
10-02 06:12:54	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8015f9…
10-01 11:40:54	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf2c0dd…
10-01 11:40:51	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfe06d9…
10-01 03:31:53	will tsla reach 360 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5da949…
09-30 17:21:27	will ewy reach 189 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf25391…
09-30 07:40:27	will xauusd reach 4300 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9e7bc6…
09-29 23:37:14	will googl reach 350 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x34903a…
09-29 15:17:51	will abnb reach 160 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb94042…
09-29 06:02:53	will googl reach 345 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1ae118…
09-28 22:01:54	will msft dip to 502 50 by september 28 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc4ecfa…
09-28 13:57:32	will abnb dip to 148 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x79c79c…
09-28 05:26:41	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x252054…
09-27 21:26:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2d252a…
09-27 13:13:20	will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1b3c0a…
09-27 02:43:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xacfe23…
09-26 07:46:53	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe4be12…
09-25 18:52:50	will ewy reach 192 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe0656c…
09-25 10:10:47	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfc4ee4…
09-25 02:08:53	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x45e49d…
09-24 18:07:29	Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x66e792…
09-24 10:06:50	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe17c81…
09-24 10:06:48	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4d9f1d…
09-24 02:06:28	will coin reach 202 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xda00b7…
09-23 18:01:04	will ewy reach 188 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x58fd47…
09-23 08:22:05	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6d43bd…
09-23 00:16:11	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3d945d…
09-22 15:28:28	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdad602…
09-22 07:20:27	will tsla dip to 367 50 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2b2b69…
09-21 23:17:01	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x61bb46…
09-21 15:16:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdfec34…
09-21 07:14:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x944983…
09-21 07:14:15	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcc7353…
09-20 22:38:08	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5ae7ab…
09-19 07:43:19	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x20066b…
09-18 11:47:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x914cb2…
09-17 17:20:42	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xec12fb…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 4?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	11-04 06:01
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:43
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-18 20:24
will googl reach 345 by september 28 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-29 06:02
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-21 23:17
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-11 22:45
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-12 23:03
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-06 20:44
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-24 10:06
will coin reach 202 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-24 02:06
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 15:16
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 16:11
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	10-28 04:31
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-16 10:36
will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-28 05:26
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-16 01:03
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-18 01:01
will ewy reach 188 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-23 18:01
will abnb reach 160 by september 28 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-29 15:17
Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	11-02 12:22
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-03 04:35
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-08 23:26
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-03 12:23
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	09-18 11:47
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 07:46
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-14 17:59
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-27 12:11
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-25 06:36
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	11-01 20:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$2	10-28 13:43