Chubby-Octave — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.21K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,267

lifetime

Volume

$24.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-26 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-3,210

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 408 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	203	$5.8K	4,189	4,163	+25	open	—	04-26 00:24
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	86	$1.7K	990	990	+0	open	—	04-25 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	36	$1.4K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-26 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	20	$1.2K	1,296	0	+1,296	open	—	04-25 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	99	$1.1K	2,158	0	+2,158	Down	$-1,143	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$1.1K	724	724	+0	Down	+$356	05-11 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$1.0K	2,624	0	+2,624	Down	$-1,050	05-05 22:10
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-25 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	6	$696	1,280	0	+1,280	Down	$-696	05-11 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	39	$613	1,160	0	+1,160	Down	$-613	05-05 22:05
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	32	$545	321	320	+1	open	—	04-25 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	10	$541	401	401	+0	open	—	04-28 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$358	257	257	+0	open	—	05-04 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$341	644	0	+644	open	—	04-28 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	36	$300	600	300	+300	open	—	04-27 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	12	$294	600	0	+600	open	—	04-27 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	13	$294	600	0	+600	open	—	04-26 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	14	$294	600	0	+600	open	—	04-27 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	39	$294	600	0	+600	open	—	04-27 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$247	581	0	+581	open	—	05-04 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$217	144	144	+0	open	—	05-04 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	5	$196	400	0	+400	open	—	04-26 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	11	$187	211	211	+0	Down	+$7	05-06 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$154	294	152	+141	Up	$-61	05-10 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	19	$150	320	0	+320	open	—	05-24 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	16	$141	300	0	+300	open	—	05-24 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	05-04 19:09
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	15	$105	200	100	+100	open	—	04-27 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$99	210	0	+210	open	—	05-25 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	5	$98	200	0	+200	open	—	04-26 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 21:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x21631f…
05-25 12:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x0b4672…
05-25 12:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcb7b26…
05-25 12:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xc948be…
05-25 12:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x1f2a55…
05-25 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe7e865…
05-25 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xe49fc2…
05-25 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x9a1100…
05-25 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x990eb2…
05-25 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8e0a79…
05-25 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7a6aee…
05-25 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6cdf6f…
05-25 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3eafab…
05-25 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x35c73a…
05-25 12:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xf248a8…
05-25 12:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	58	49¢	$28	0x734ceb…
05-25 12:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe0eeec…
05-25 12:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xe6c092…
05-25 12:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xae8f94…
05-25 12:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0x0095b2…
05-25 12:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x4f8fdf…
05-25 12:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$5	0xbc6604…
05-25 12:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	51	47¢	$24	0xe5b829…
05-25 12:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x487bf7…
05-25 12:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x47bf76…
05-25 12:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	105	47¢	$49	0xf944ad…
05-25 12:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	98	45¢	$44	0x90463b…
05-25 12:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa264b1…
05-25 12:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x35e18e…
05-25 12:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x270c9a…
05-25 12:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x0ff058…
05-25 12:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x275cc3…
05-25 12:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0x5aa113…
05-25 12:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xe94dd6…
05-25 12:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xaea7e7…
05-25 12:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x23a3a9…
05-25 12:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	80	47¢	$38	0xbe34df…
05-25 11:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x3aab00…
05-25 11:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x79d136…
05-25 11:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0xc9147f…
05-25 11:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0xc7771a…
05-25 11:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x7c1c42…
05-25 11:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x4fd830…
05-25 11:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x23f718…
05-25 11:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0xf236d8…
05-25 11:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0xd5df92…
05-25 11:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb45cdf…
05-25 11:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x8e0659…
05-25 11:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x8a6d1d…
05-25 11:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xb88e64…
05-25 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x5ca1df…
05-25 11:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x83b18a…
05-25 11:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x4b23a8…
05-25 11:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xedd3ff…
05-24 22:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0b0c8b…
05-24 21:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	165	47¢	$78	0xbbbc6f…
05-24 21:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x95dd5e…
05-24 21:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3d955e…
05-24 21:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xcd6d53…
05-24 21:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xcb2a86…
05-24 21:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x841d78…
05-24 21:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5901e5…
05-24 21:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x46dd9c…
05-24 21:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x33c7c5…
05-24 21:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x24c0ba…
05-24 21:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1c9f7c…
05-24 21:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x0abc00…
05-24 21:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$4	0x0327d8…
05-24 21:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x2331f7…
05-24 21:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x5009be…
05-24 21:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd1df07…
05-24 21:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x2fe678…
05-24 21:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0xf70ddf…
05-24 21:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x16c096…
05-24 21:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	89	47¢	$42	0x822e17…
05-24 21:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xfd133d…
05-24 21:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xed1a73…
05-24 21:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xebe52c…
05-24 21:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x948720…
05-24 21:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x6eb223…
05-24 21:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x22dc75…
05-24 21:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xe30065…
05-24 21:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc8a0be…
05-24 21:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xb264d6…
05-24 21:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x86815c…
05-24 21:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	47¢	$21	0x3971e5…
05-24 21:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xa2d55b…
05-24 21:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0x67ebdc…
05-24 21:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x136c3c…
05-24 21:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0xdcdcc4…
05-24 21:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x722f87…
05-11 21:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	56¢	$15	0x1271b3…
05-11 21:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	116	55¢	$64	0x38b65a…
05-11 21:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x740737…
05-11 21:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x140e14…
05-11 21:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,126	54¢	$611	0x0d55e3…
05-11 21:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x02cda1…
05-11 21:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	724	99¢	$716	0x7b0b15…
05-11 21:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xf83ed5…
05-11 21:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	702	50¢	$350	0x2dc8c3…