Fickle-Position — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$327

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

4,034

Trades

4,307

lifetime

Volume

$9.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 11-04 10:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 76% -$304

Other

21% 50% -$16

Sports

2% 46% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:45 UTC	1	$80	91	+91	Down	-$80	06-13 07:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 02:25 UTC	1	$50	51	+51	Down	-$50	07-17 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 16:20 UTC	1	$49	55	+55	Up	+$6	06-08 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:15 UTC	1	$46	54	+54	Down	+$9	06-08 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:00 UTC	1	$43	54	+54	Down	-$43	06-08 23:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 16:50 UTC	1	$43	52	+52	Down	+$9	06-08 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$40	44	+44	Up	+$4	06-12 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 18:50 UTC	3	$40	44	+44	Up	-$40	06-19 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:40 UTC	1	$40	46	+46	Up	+$6	06-14 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:40 UTC	1	$40	46	+46	Down	+$6	06-12 19:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:30 UTC	1	$40	46	+46	Down	+$6	06-12 15:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 20:15 UTC	1	$40	46	+46	Down	+$6	06-15 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:50 UTC	1	$40	52	+52	Up	+$12	06-08 15:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:00 UTC	1	$40	41	+41	Down	+$1	07-17 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 23:30 UTC	1	$40	47	+47	Down	+$7	06-17 23:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 06:10 UTC	1	$40	47	+47	Up	+$7	06-17 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 09:30 UTC	1	$40	47	+47	Up	+$7	06-19 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:55 UTC	1	$40	45	+45	Down	+$5	06-18 10:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 10:35 UTC	4	$40	47	+47	Down	+$7	06-17 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 03:20 UTC	1	$40	45	+45	Down	+$5	06-15 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$40	44	+44	Up	+$4	06-14 10:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:30 UTC	1	$40	44	+44	Up	+$4	06-20 00:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:25 UTC	1	$39	45	+45	Up	+$6	06-13 22:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 19:25 UTC	1	$38	46	+46	Up	+$9	06-08 19:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:55 UTC	2	$32	33	+33	Up	+$1	07-17 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:20 UTC	2	$31	34	+34	Up	+$3	07-17 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:25 UTC	1	$30	31	+31	Up	+$1	07-17 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:50 UTC	1	$30	31	+31	Down	+$1	07-17 01:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:25 UTC	1	$30	31	+31	Down	+$1	07-17 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:45 UTC	1	$30	30	+30	Down	+$0	07-17 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 10:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xefd766…
11-04 10:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x142051…
11-04 10:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2d86fe…
11-04 09:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x080c2a…
11-04 09:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x00141c…
11-04 09:21:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8a1880…
11-04 09:18:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x89a056…
11-04 08:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x28b42b…
11-04 08:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x07b683…
11-04 08:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe1f49e…
11-03 14:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xad966d…
11-03 14:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd1a344…
11-03 14:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x718d3e…
11-03 14:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x105c03…
11-03 14:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x3cb41f…
11-03 14:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6389b6…
11-03 14:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf1eb48…
11-03 13:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x00d6c2…
11-03 13:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe8aee7…
11-03 13:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf08d27…
11-03 12:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3d36b9…
11-03 12:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe56a5b…
11-03 12:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x45b2db…
11-03 12:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2414a3…
11-03 12:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xacf924…
11-03 11:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x90256f…
11-03 11:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x580bda…
11-03 11:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x29a82c…
11-03 11:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x67a6f2…
11-03 11:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc9cd42…
11-03 11:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x366781…
11-03 11:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb19ee3…
11-03 11:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd54c30…
11-03 11:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x437df6…
11-03 11:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa153dd…
11-03 11:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb47f1a…
11-03 11:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9eb5d2…
11-03 10:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6bf5ad…
11-03 10:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x129020…
11-03 10:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0d79bc…
11-03 10:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2cb1d0…
11-03 10:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xff247a…
11-03 09:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x554aa4…
11-03 09:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x528973…
11-03 09:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xefd4b0…
11-03 09:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x87bc00…
11-03 09:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4ddbb9…
11-03 08:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x624999…
11-03 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x954001…
11-03 08:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xf005fe…
11-03 08:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x9b7c72…
11-03 08:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8e5d1d…
11-03 08:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0cc338…
11-03 08:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xaa219b…
11-03 08:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x58f03f…
11-03 01:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfd42ed…
11-03 01:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x313d41…
11-03 01:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe17691…
11-03 01:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x357a24…
11-03 01:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd2103d…
11-03 01:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4ad8ac…
11-03 01:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x322f21…
11-03 00:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x42b630…
11-03 00:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdec485…
11-03 00:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6fb915…
11-03 00:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3a3d9b…
11-03 00:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd71050…
11-03 00:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x535434…
11-03 00:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x586788…
11-02 17:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfb15f4…
11-02 16:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb9cc02…
11-02 16:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x826346…
11-02 16:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x35ab69…
11-02 16:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x248d4a…
11-02 16:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0164a4…
11-02 16:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf08f8d…
11-02 16:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa0d4b3…
11-02 16:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf75653…
11-02 16:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x40d3df…
11-02 16:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x53cc3a…
11-02 16:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0c428a…
11-02 16:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdef39f…
11-02 16:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfafa73…
11-02 15:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xff7330…
11-02 15:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb65e6d…
11-02 15:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x95fe42…
11-02 15:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x66f8c5…
11-02 15:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc0f69c…
11-02 15:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1d153e…
11-02 15:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd0c906…
11-02 14:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xcaf324…
11-02 14:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbe21fc…
11-02 14:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf193b8…
11-02 14:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x47fc99…
11-02 14:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x35c3c1…
11-02 14:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x33b24b…
11-02 14:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x99931a…
11-02 14:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x1eb1b9…
11-02 14:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x64947a…
11-02 14:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x09e753…