Afraid-Billboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

Trades

263

lifetime

Volume

$432

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-20 09:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 81% +$9

Sports

8% — —

Politics

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	3	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-30 19:30
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-25 02:54
btc updown 5m 1784538900	2	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	07-20 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-13 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-13 03:28
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	2	$5	1	4	-3	open	—	05-24 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-13 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-13 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-0	05-13 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-14 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-13 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-24 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	3	$4	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-13 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-12 15:29
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-25 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-12 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$4	13	0	+13	Down	$-1	05-13 02:34
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	05-24 22:25
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 00:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 09:18:58	btc updown 5m 1784538900	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x799a6d…
07-20 09:18:13	btc updown 5m 1784538900	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x56cbaf…
06-27 08:35:34	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc2f468…
06-27 08:29:29	btc updown 5m 1782548700	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2b0559…
05-30 19:38:03	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x062e7a…
05-30 19:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5669a0…
05-30 19:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdb7b72…
05-30 19:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbef6d0…
05-25 04:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4db646…
05-25 04:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x78ac91…
05-25 04:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x4959c1…
05-25 03:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x9d2f00…
05-25 03:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x244ddd…
05-25 03:32:30	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x02edcf…
05-25 03:28:29	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x7a9983…
05-25 03:24:26	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8cfd75…
05-25 03:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x2b45d6…
05-25 03:14:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xcb020d…
05-25 03:13:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x09d861…
05-25 03:09:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xba89c6…
05-25 02:54:56	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb7bf96…
05-25 01:50:43	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc47667…
05-24 23:03:51	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Texas Rangers	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xc8a316…
05-24 22:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xae7ded…
05-24 22:25:40	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	Minnesota Twins	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb51eaa…
05-24 20:23:03	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xea09b5…
05-24 20:12:42	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xece649…
05-24 19:08:23	doge updown 5m 1779649500	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xebd877…
05-24 18:15:29	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x669330…
05-24 18:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xb0bf4f…
05-24 18:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xfc3594…
05-24 17:52:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x869e17…
05-24 17:49:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xee06ef…
05-24 17:43:33	doge updown 5m 1779644400	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x748432…
05-24 17:38:56	doge updown 5m 1779644100	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x4c8021…
05-24 17:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf079a2…
05-24 17:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xcebac0…
05-24 17:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xbf5bd2…
05-24 17:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x0224f9…
05-24 17:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x98a086…
05-24 08:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xe56091…
05-24 08:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9af399…
05-24 08:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x68f04f…
05-24 08:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1de5bf…
05-24 08:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x13ce94…
05-24 07:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xf532ad…
05-24 07:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x9eccf0…
05-24 07:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xb0f12e…
05-24 06:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x9d04b6…
05-23 21:05:32	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x4b8cae…
05-20 03:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x2c6a58…
05-20 03:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x1b8d55…
05-20 03:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xe9b1bc…
05-19 21:27:49	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x4ae8f2…
05-18 16:43:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xbd0d38…
05-18 05:21:16	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbc4489…
05-18 05:19:08	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x85f61b…
05-18 05:07:44	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x62c590…
05-18 00:44:01	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xea58cd…
05-18 00:17:00	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x44928e…
05-18 00:04:45	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	San Francisco Giants	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xddef84…
05-17 21:02:31	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	San Francisco Giants	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x10c89a…
05-15 14:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x9d6b33…
05-15 14:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x2334a8…
05-15 14:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xdb87d1…
05-15 14:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x6f27ce…
05-15 13:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x418470…
05-15 13:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x02bbf5…
05-15 13:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x36abad…
05-15 13:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x2b21dd…
05-15 12:37:16	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2e7f47…
05-15 11:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x18a0df…
05-15 11:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2997bf…
05-15 11:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb40e3a…
05-15 11:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa285d3…
05-15 11:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xaea0d7…
05-15 11:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xba550e…
05-15 11:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x06f858…
05-15 10:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x2b60e2…
05-15 10:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd9a1fa…
05-15 07:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb752ea…
05-15 06:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x490cc7…
05-15 06:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x03fb9e…
05-15 06:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf5a586…
05-15 06:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xce74d7…
05-15 06:33:30	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9e46fe…
05-15 06:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdeb56b…
05-15 06:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x665b02…
05-15 06:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x63337a…
05-15 06:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x87b709…
05-15 06:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xaa2a0a…
05-15 06:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x40595b…
05-15 06:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x1b8175…
05-15 06:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9ceaf0…
05-15 06:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0fa5b2…
05-15 06:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xeac50f…
05-15 06:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x98784d…
05-15 06:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x430b1a…
05-15 06:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x1c9df7…
05-15 06:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x33d0e3…