Defensive-Limestone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved

171

Trades

383

lifetime

Volume

$1.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 09-23 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 75% +$2

Other

1% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	8	$42	27	27	+0	Down	+$2	09-07 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	8	$34	21	21	+0	Down	+$2	09-23 01:49
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	6	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-23 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$28	23	23	+0	Up	+$0	05-23 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	7	$25	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	09-23 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	6	$25	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	09-23 00:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	6	$24	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	09-23 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-22 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	6	$19	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	09-06 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	8	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	09-06 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	8	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	09-14 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:50 UTC	8	$17	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	09-14 08:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$17	16	11	+5	Up	+$2	05-22 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	09-23 01:29
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$16	14	8	+6	Up	+$2	05-23 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 03:05 UTC	4	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	06-28 03:09
Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	09-08 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$13	10	6	+4	Down	+$1	09-23 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	6	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	09-07 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	09-23 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	6	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	09-06 23:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 02:50 UTC	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	06-28 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-22 20:52
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-22 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	09-07 03:23
Solana Up or Down - September 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	09-08 05:13
Solana Up or Down - September 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	09-08 05:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 03:00 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	06-28 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	09-22 15:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 17:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xa3fe49…
09-23 17:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x19a101…
09-23 08:43:25	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x2eb250…
09-23 03:18:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0x5a4e60…
09-23 03:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0xe9fe53…
09-23 02:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x98923c…
09-23 02:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x1f12c7…
09-23 02:47:23	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7eb22f…
09-23 02:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x761431…
09-23 02:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x81fc0a…
09-23 02:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xfbadc6…
09-23 02:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x03c35d…
09-23 02:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xf9c54a…
09-23 02:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x926d88…
09-23 02:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x979a1b…
09-23 01:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x27622e…
09-23 01:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xa656b6…
09-23 01:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xb97fc1…
09-23 01:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x0289e0…
09-23 01:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x5ae809…
09-23 01:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xb4d04b…
09-23 01:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xb13e87…
09-23 01:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x635108…
09-23 01:43:02	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0xea4080…
09-23 01:42:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd68d39…
09-23 01:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x92a65e…
09-23 01:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc25ee8…
09-23 01:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$3	0xda4425…
09-23 01:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x078d01…
09-23 01:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe7ff93…
09-23 01:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x98a51c…
09-23 01:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x822ca5…
09-23 01:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x78a677…
09-23 01:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb3eeb0…
09-23 01:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x2cd7a7…
09-23 01:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xa5b06f…
09-23 01:23:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xe641e4…
09-23 01:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xeb7352…
09-23 01:22:38	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x348165…
09-23 01:21:44	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x56ab24…
09-23 01:21:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0xdfd8d8…
09-23 01:20:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x7a6268…
09-23 01:19:26	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x9530cb…
09-23 01:19:17	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xee95a0…
09-23 01:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x1e754e…
09-23 01:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x1c3a7f…
09-23 01:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd92cbf…
09-23 01:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x043941…
09-23 00:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xfb1a67…
09-23 00:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xe03e4d…
09-23 00:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x8dc489…
09-23 00:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc220ee…
09-23 00:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xbe50ac…
09-23 00:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x4927b4…
09-22 15:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x7d2d72…
09-22 15:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x589905…
09-22 07:41:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x8da0e0…
09-22 04:51:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc120f0…
09-22 04:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1f2bb0…
09-22 04:45:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0e6f9a…
09-22 04:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x237b26…
09-22 04:43:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf03ab3…
09-21 09:32:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x920324…
09-21 09:31:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x952640…
09-21 06:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5dbca7…
09-20 20:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb27270…
09-20 20:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x088043…
09-20 20:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x105abd…
09-20 00:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9ae56a…
09-15 23:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7246d4…
09-15 17:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xedb97b…
09-15 17:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x778ee6…
09-15 16:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xa3c532…
09-15 16:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x61a23a…
09-15 16:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc6939e…
09-15 16:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xaad98b…
09-14 09:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xcd8f6b…
09-14 09:04:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x9591b4…
09-14 09:04:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6daade…
09-14 08:54:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x86428d…
09-14 08:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x03eec9…
09-14 08:53:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x6bc134…
09-14 08:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xcca74a…
09-14 08:52:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x446d4e…
09-14 08:52:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6eadc6…
09-14 08:51:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xa82b9d…
09-14 08:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x872276…
09-14 08:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x50a25d…
09-14 08:45:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2a3d1b…
09-14 08:44:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xce4113…
09-14 08:43:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x4a84fe…
09-14 08:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x5a995f…
09-14 08:42:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xea86d0…
09-14 08:41:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xb62e82…
09-14 08:41:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x256e39…
09-14 08:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0x0172a6…
09-14 08:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x11beba…
09-14 08:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xbda256…
09-14 08:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x2a4dd2…
09-14 03:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xfc7912…