Granular-Budget — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,528

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-03 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 51% $-8

Other

1% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1770913800	14	$452	870	0	+870	open	—	02-12 16:30
btc updown 5m 1771344600	7	$336	600	0	+600	open	—	02-17 16:09
btc updown 5m 1771080600	1	$300	582	0	+582	open	—	02-14 14:45
btc updown 5m 1771088100	27	$228	400	0	+400	open	—	02-14 16:55
eth updown 15m 1769591700	1	$200	435	0	+435	open	—	01-28 09:19
btc updown 5m 1771344000	9	$190	345	0	+345	open	—	02-17 16:00
eth updown 15m 1770382800	1	$189	450	0	+450	open	—	02-06 13:02
eth updown 15m 1769896800	1	$189	328	0	+328	open	—	01-31 21:56
eth updown 15m 1770502500	1	$189	408	0	+408	open	—	02-07 22:16
eth updown 15m 1770480000	1	$189	348	0	+348	open	—	02-07 15:57
eth updown 15m 1770148800	1	$189	344	0	+344	open	—	02-03 19:57
btc updown 5m 1770913500	1	$189	325	0	+325	open	—	02-12 16:25
eth updown 15m 1770467400	1	$188	400	0	+400	open	—	02-07 12:27
btc updown 5m 1771163400	12	$163	370	0	+370	open	—	02-15 13:54
btc updown 5m 1770891300	1	$160	315	0	+315	open	—	02-12 10:15
eth updown 15m 1769613300	2	$146	238	0	+238	open	—	01-28 15:21
xrp updown 15m 1770621300	1	$145	284	0	+284	open	—	02-09 07:13
btc updown 5m 1771087800	35	$140	260	0	+260	open	—	02-14 16:51
btc updown 15m 1770733800	1	$140	255	0	+255	open	—	02-10 14:29
eth updown 15m 1770474600	1	$136	236	0	+236	open	—	02-07 14:26
btc updown 5m 1770910800	9	$135	270	0	+270	open	—	02-12 15:40
btc updown 15m 1770740100	1	$135	237	0	+237	open	—	02-10 16:14
btc updown 15m 1770837300	1	$135	241	0	+241	open	—	02-11 19:12
btc updown 5m 1771080000	14	$135	250	0	+250	open	—	02-14 14:40
btc updown 5m 1771156200	4	$127	240	0	+240	open	—	02-15 11:51
eth updown 15m 1769598000	2	$120	256	0	+256	open	—	01-28 11:02
btc updown 5m 1770909000	1	$116	270	0	+270	open	—	02-12 15:10
eth updown 15m 1770202800	1	$104	188	0	+188	open	—	02-04 11:00
eth updown 15m 1769590800	1	$100	172	0	+172	open	—	01-28 08:58
btc updown 5m 1771343400	3	$100	234	58	+176	open	—	02-17 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 15:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8de00f…
06-03 14:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x875f81…
06-01 12:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xff46c1…
06-01 12:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9f8caa…
06-01 11:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x3aa6ed…
06-01 11:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2c1292…
05-29 13:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xda3710…
05-29 11:46:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x62498d…
05-29 11:19:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x45253a…
05-29 11:17:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xda1d64…
05-29 11:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x2bd1f3…
05-29 11:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xab1591…
05-29 09:52:53	eth updown 5m 1780048200	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa1b7b6…
05-29 09:52:53	eth updown 5m 1780048200	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x349c3b…
05-29 09:50:51	eth updown 5m 1780048200	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb17bfe…
05-29 09:40:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb6501f…
05-29 09:34:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x612cac…
05-29 09:33:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x9148ee…
05-29 09:20:33	hype updown 5m 1780046400	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9915bd…
05-29 09:14:58	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x93104b…
05-29 09:11:44	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x77adb5…
05-29 09:03:53	sol updown 5m 1780045200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbbbcca…
05-29 09:02:22	sol updown 5m 1780045200	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb4dcb8…
05-28 22:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xe3c1fa…
05-28 22:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0x28c391…
05-28 22:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xa9e8a3…
05-28 22:39:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xcc5b4c…
05-28 22:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x637c5f…
05-28 21:08:15	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x3945ea…
05-28 21:05:01	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x97ec79…
05-28 21:01:10	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x569e61…
05-28 20:40:12	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0xfd5de9…
05-28 20:34:59	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xef4090…
05-28 20:31:15	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x834894…
05-28 20:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xdfbf5a…
05-28 20:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x89021d…
05-28 20:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x767c90…
05-28 19:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x7ea56f…
05-28 19:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xad50d8…
05-28 19:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x26e8b8…
05-28 19:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xdc211f…
05-28 19:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9d872d…
05-28 19:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa2c08d…
05-28 19:15:07	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x102a8e…
05-28 19:15:00	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xfa6970…
05-28 19:10:18	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xbe1de4…
05-28 19:06:08	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xaffb79…
05-28 19:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x2bef7e…
05-28 18:59:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xfb7fc1…
05-28 18:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4ebfe1…
05-28 15:37:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x426cc8…
05-28 15:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x7a8e67…
05-28 15:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x20bb98…
05-28 15:33:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7c06cd…
05-28 15:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4afdcc…
05-28 15:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x73f8fc…
05-28 15:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x3062e9…
05-28 14:14:37	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x7f8784…
05-28 14:11:03	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe9d162…
05-28 14:11:03	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xc9c4b9…
05-28 14:11:03	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xa09967…
05-28 14:11:02	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x7f7e1b…
05-28 14:10:11	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x6c49f4…
05-28 14:08:54	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x5b32ce…
05-28 12:51:59	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xfc24f6…
05-28 12:51:56	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x40391d…
05-28 12:51:56	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x20262c…
05-28 12:51:50	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xd57786…
05-28 12:51:50	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x2b12c9…
05-28 12:51:50	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x17a678…
05-28 12:49:20	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xa95001…
05-28 12:45:03	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x4535ae…
05-28 12:41:08	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x24a14d…
05-28 12:40:56	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x7f1367…
05-28 12:40:42	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x9b49f5…
05-28 12:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe2b26f…
05-28 12:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x912017…
05-28 12:12:52	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x9c33f0…
05-28 12:11:21	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xde2fc6…
05-28 10:04:25	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xbbff30…
05-28 10:03:40	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x568fb9…
05-28 10:03:31	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdca38e…
05-28 10:03:29	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0xcf8665…
05-28 10:03:26	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xc29696…
05-28 10:03:24	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb09938…
05-28 10:03:21	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xe2be78…
05-28 10:03:19	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xd7d65c…
05-28 10:02:58	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xaae15c…
05-28 10:02:58	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x0a1e46…
05-28 10:02:56	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcb7f19…
05-28 09:59:05	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x3d21ab…
05-28 09:55:07	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x1bc8af…
05-28 09:50:55	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2d04fe…
05-28 05:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x0a4829…
05-28 05:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x614b06…
05-27 23:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x021cba…
05-27 23:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xfad7de…
05-27 21:58:03	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xe5f902…
05-27 21:58:03	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x593798…
05-27 21:55:29	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb5c104…