Authentic-Gelding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$364

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

Trades

329

lifetime

Volume

$33.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 05-29 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

66% 70% -$56

Tech

21% 88% +$407

Politics

13% 50% +$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-29).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+0	-$14	64¢	$0	+$14	05-26 18:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	36	$13.0K	8,600	8,600	+0	No	+$88	04-12 10:42
will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	9	$1.8K	921	921	+0	Yes	+$20	02-28 18:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	15	$1.7K	1,205	1,205	+0	No	+$11	04-13 09:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	17	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$20	04-12 11:07
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	7	$1.4K	698	698	+0	Yes	+$8	03-31 22:21
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$984	500	500	+0	Yes	+$14	01-30 16:32
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	6	$968	609	609	+0	No	+$16	04-12 09:43
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 30	11	$885	500	500	+0	Yes	+$113	01-30 16:59
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$885	500	500	+0	No	+$45	02-23 20:30
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	4	$870	500	500	+0	No	+$0	04-12 09:56
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	3	$834	435	435	+0	Yes	+$34	01-30 17:00
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	3	$743	400	400	+0	Yes	+$55	02-27 14:03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	15	$596	362	362	+0	Yes	+$36	05-16 00:15
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	6	$586	300	300	+0	Yes	+$13	01-31 05:04
will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$451	501	0	+501	No	+$50	03-22 13:09
will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$414	432	0	+432	No	+$19	01-22 04:46
will google have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$388	205	205	+0	Yes	+$20	01-31 17:06
will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$381	391	0	+391	No	+$10	03-22 13:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	2	$326	200	200	+0	No	+$2	04-15 05:25
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	1	$324	333	0	+333	Yes	+$9	03-29 03:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	5	$300	200	200	+0	No	-$4	05-07 07:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	8	$276	400	400	+0	Up	-$108	05-29 15:08
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	13	$273	298	199	+100	Yes	+$34	04-21 09:38
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$264	300	0	+300	No	-$264	02-06 18:36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	13	$254	200	200	+0	open	—	05-26 18:35
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$181	322	0	+322	Yes	+$142	02-06 04:18
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 20	4	$175	272	0	+272	No	-$175	02-19 14:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	4	$171	150	150	+0	Up	+$17	05-28 14:12
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	5	$167	100	100	+0	No	+$29	05-20 04:27
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	4	$159	100	100	+0	Yes	+$5	05-26 13:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 15:08:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	400	21¢	$84	0xbdcb54…
05-29 03:14:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x68d850…
05-29 03:14:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	46¢	$69	0x343c66…
05-29 01:42:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xce5054…
05-29 01:42:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0xe5d4a3…
05-29 01:33:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x309b1a…
05-29 01:33:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x274a81…
05-29 01:32:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x6ee7d7…
05-28 14:12:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x27f9f5…
05-28 03:41:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x8ba842…
05-28 02:46:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x4157d7…
05-28 02:35:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x75ccb8…
05-26 18:35:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0xedcb0b…
05-26 17:22:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xaabb6b…
05-26 17:03:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	39	67¢	$26	0xe18caf…
05-26 16:34:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x097113…
05-26 14:14:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x45f163…
05-26 14:11:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x969810…
05-26 13:31:56	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	71	82¢	$58	0x415ac8…
05-26 13:29:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xe32976…
05-26 13:27:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x92691f…
05-26 13:24:57	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	23	82¢	$19	0xb2360b…
05-26 13:07:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x36b772…
05-26 13:04:01	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x3d9e32…
05-26 13:02:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x709e71…
05-26 13:02:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xad24ec…
05-26 13:01:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0xd6b85e…
05-26 12:56:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0xa62e83…
05-26 12:54:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x7cabfb…
05-25 06:46:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe6ff43…
05-25 06:44:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x90b43b…
05-22 03:37:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xbfb799…
05-22 03:36:29	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	16¢	$19	0x4eed25…
05-21 04:59:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	43	92¢	$39	0x81a01d…
05-20 04:27:03	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xa85b2f…
05-20 04:27:03	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x5023e5…
05-20 04:19:11	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0xa907e8…
05-20 04:09:02	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x1348c6…
05-20 03:24:00	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	197	27¢	$53	0x926713…
05-20 03:21:31	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x4fb1fd…
05-18 16:29:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6bd5ef…
05-18 16:27:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0x256ab0…
05-18 16:26:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xb8639c…
05-18 16:26:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x9a09a1…
05-17 16:39:37	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xc5e073…
05-16 00:15:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	169	98¢	$165	0xa44f45…
05-15 16:20:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xc1e466…
05-13 13:14:37	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xa8f65f…
05-11 16:06:26	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xac19ff…
05-11 15:05:41	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	47¢	$27	0xc4dc95…
05-11 14:19:03	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xdbbe5c…
05-11 14:18:59	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x617bc2…
05-11 14:15:22	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xf272b4…
05-11 14:15:15	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x3092cf…
05-11 14:13:41	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x324895…
05-11 06:52:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	116	60¢	$69	0x6c3b3b…
05-11 03:07:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	84	60¢	$51	0xa3b492…
05-11 02:00:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	43	74¢	$32	0x6a06f0…
05-10 22:35:27	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x593766…
05-10 22:35:13	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0xe648ef…
05-10 12:16:40	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x40b67d…
05-09 15:04:01	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x2b76da…
05-09 15:03:45	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xcf685a…
05-09 15:02:19	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xde7e52…
05-09 07:49:35	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	55¢	$11	0xd86488…
05-08 12:01:22	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x7ba8b6…
05-07 13:46:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x543876…
05-07 13:32:51	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x06aef8…
05-07 07:59:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x0b3275…
05-07 06:58:43	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x267c8d…
05-07 06:31:08	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xeeb9aa…
05-07 05:07:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0xd28926…
05-07 04:55:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	112	76¢	$85	0xc74bde…
05-07 04:41:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x72aad0…
05-07 04:40:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	43	76¢	$33	0xd37e0b…
05-07 03:04:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x2921d8…
05-07 02:54:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	44	77¢	$34	0xb460ee…
05-07 02:02:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa36818…
05-07 01:41:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0x1da321…
05-07 01:12:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xfdb40a…
05-07 00:53:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x811f52…
05-07 00:46:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x1c84d8…
05-07 00:39:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0xd6d3ab…
05-07 00:35:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	114	77¢	$88	0x4489ec…
05-06 23:20:27	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0x94ac1e…
05-06 21:07:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	157	75¢	$117	0xd6faac…
05-06 20:48:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xb5d083…
05-05 11:07:46	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$67	0xe797aa…
05-05 09:39:56	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x88f541…
05-02 20:02:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$39	0xed5829…
05-02 10:13:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xb2b77a…
05-02 10:13:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xf1552b…
04-30 08:43:20	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x202a3c…
04-27 14:47:42	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xe720e0…
04-27 05:47:42	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x00220e…
04-22 02:20:28	spx up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x100866…
04-22 01:29:32	spx up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	58	24¢	$14	0xbf280f…
04-22 01:18:42	spx up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x004e5b…
04-21 10:49:16	spx up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe53102…
04-21 10:00:48	spx up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xcd9ff5…