Same-Mistake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

121

Trades

1,689

lifetime

Volume

$3.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-12 02:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 55% +$52

Other

20% 44% $-8

Politics

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$59	100	100	+0	Down	+$57	05-12 12:34
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	13	$46	281	235	+46	open	—	04-13 11:09
dota2 pari aur1 2026 04 24 game2	7	$35	36	35	+1	open	—	04-24 15:43
dota2 pr1 l1ga 2026 04 22 game2	4	$32	28	27	+1	open	—	04-22 17:06
btc updown 5m 1776871200	4	$27	26	25	+1	open	—	04-22 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$26	18	18	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$24	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$21	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	8	$18	35	35	+0	open	—	05-14 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	6	$17	23	23	+0	open	—	05-28 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	05-15 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 16:47
lol vks los 2026 04 14	4	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-14 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$15	17	17	+0	open	—	05-19 02:39
lol kcb vitb 2026 04 22	2	$15	18	17	+0	open	—	04-22 17:26
dota2 aur1 sar1 2026 04 18	4	$15	17	17	+0	open	—	04-18 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 17:32
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	3	$14	10	10	+0	BetBoom Team	+$0	05-13 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$14	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	7	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	05-20 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 05:30
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	4	$13	10	9	+0	open	—	04-25 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	05-17 17:46
lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24 game1	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-24 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	6	$13	21	21	+0	open	—	05-28 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 13:13
dota2 ngx cb3 2026 04 24 game2	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-24 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$12	13	13	+0	open	—	05-24 18:24
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-12 23:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 02:36:33	btc updown 5m 1781231700	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xf7792f…
06-12 02:34:00	btc updown 5m 1781231400	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x4464fa…
06-12 02:33:37	btc updown 5m 1781231400	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa61740…
06-12 00:34:58	btc updown 5m 1781224200	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x340308…
06-12 00:34:42	btc updown 5m 1781224200	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd65971…
06-12 00:29:40	btc updown 5m 1781223900	Down	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x0295e1…
06-12 00:29:06	btc updown 5m 1781223900	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc3add8…
06-12 00:27:42	btc updown 5m 1781223900	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6b7295…
06-12 00:26:24	btc updown 5m 1781223900	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$2	0x3709c8…
06-12 00:25:22	btc updown 5m 1781223900	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x78c2f1…
06-12 00:24:10	btc updown 5m 1781223600	Up	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xfede5a…
06-12 00:23:15	btc updown 5m 1781223600	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xae4a43…
06-11 22:13:19	btc updown 5m 1781215800	Up	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x4d7d82…
06-11 22:12:03	btc updown 5m 1781215800	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xefd41a…
06-11 22:11:15	btc updown 5m 1781215800	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x19395d…
06-11 22:10:55	btc updown 5m 1781215800	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x875c20…
06-11 19:42:46	btc updown 5m 1781206800	Down	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x2f5ef1…
06-11 19:40:43	btc updown 5m 1781206800	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x8fc7db…
06-11 19:39:49	btc updown 5m 1781206500	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xe49140…
06-11 19:39:18	btc updown 5m 1781206500	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x89c872…
06-11 03:59:40	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x43d985…
06-11 00:39:27	btc updown 5m 1781138100	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x93b2c1…
06-11 00:39:16	btc updown 5m 1781138100	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xf572c8…
06-11 00:37:43	btc updown 5m 1781138100	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1d0a53…
06-11 00:37:09	btc updown 5m 1781138100	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xcfa7ac…
06-11 00:32:21	btc updown 5m 1781137800	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xab83a9…
06-11 00:30:36	btc updown 5m 1781137800	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x02faeb…
06-11 00:23:55	btc updown 5m 1781137200	Up	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x13cc36…
06-11 00:22:12	btc updown 5m 1781137200	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5e6d69…
06-11 00:14:21	btc updown 5m 1781136600	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf96ea0…
06-10 23:43:19	btc updown 5m 1781134800	Down	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xc7ed3e…
06-10 23:41:55	btc updown 5m 1781134800	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdb03b4…
06-10 23:41:03	btc updown 5m 1781134800	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa89f27…
06-10 23:39:57	btc updown 5m 1781134500	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xe5eaf1…
06-10 23:38:54	btc updown 5m 1781134500	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb30a3f…
06-10 19:58:28	btc updown 5m 1781121300	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xacf34a…
06-10 19:47:40	btc updown 5m 1781120700	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x73e647…
06-10 19:46:04	btc updown 5m 1781120700	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe25d28…
06-10 19:41:42	btc updown 5m 1781120400	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xa42069…
06-10 19:40:46	btc updown 5m 1781120400	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7cb9f6…
06-10 19:12:31	btc updown 5m 1781118600	Up	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x1b5695…
06-10 19:12:31	btc updown 5m 1781118600	Up	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x1432dc…
06-10 03:43:18	btc updown 5m 1781062800	Up	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xdb1838…
06-10 03:41:06	btc updown 5m 1781062800	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd94c29…
06-10 02:12:00	btc updown 5m 1781057400	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1029e8…
06-10 01:45:55	btc updown 5m 1781055900	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc32320…
06-10 01:37:27	btc updown 5m 1781055300	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x44b730…
06-10 01:36:28	btc updown 5m 1781055300	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf2aebf…
06-10 00:57:15	btc updown 5m 1781052900	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4e7f9d…
06-10 00:52:07	btc updown 5m 1781052600	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x87b9ff…
06-10 00:51:18	btc updown 5m 1781052600	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xc4b505…
06-10 00:48:51	btc updown 5m 1781052300	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x90473f…
06-10 00:47:25	btc updown 5m 1781052300	Down	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xe2933a…
06-10 00:46:52	btc updown 5m 1781052300	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x64e2c0…
06-10 00:44:07	btc updown 5m 1781052000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe477f2…
06-10 00:36:21	btc updown 5m 1781051700	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xd277d0…
06-10 00:36:09	btc updown 5m 1781051700	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xffeccb…
06-10 00:32:37	btc updown 5m 1781051400	Up	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x54613a…
06-10 00:30:21	btc updown 5m 1781051400	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x7be05f…
06-10 00:29:58	btc updown 5m 1781051400	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe7d4dc…
06-10 00:29:21	btc updown 5m 1781051100	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe2dc18…
06-10 00:27:58	btc updown 5m 1781051100	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe0b9b9…
06-10 00:26:13	btc updown 5m 1781051100	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x5fdd94…
06-10 00:25:27	btc updown 5m 1781051100	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x7240c1…
06-02 15:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xd8a1a0…
06-02 15:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x264c65…
06-02 15:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x909d62…
06-02 15:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x790975…
06-02 15:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xce65bc…
06-02 15:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xbb52fa…
06-02 15:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe8652f…
06-02 13:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x6ab9cc…
06-02 13:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xdb9736…
06-02 13:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x085a07…
06-02 13:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xce6e6f…
06-02 13:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x14226e…
06-02 13:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x7e3762…
06-02 11:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xccd341…
06-02 11:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0dd1c5…
06-02 11:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7f939a…
06-02 11:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0x1e355f…
06-02 11:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x3efd75…
06-01 11:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa8a1c4…
05-31 13:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x4706a8…
05-31 13:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9d5910…
05-31 05:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x128b98…
05-31 05:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5aa1bc…
05-31 02:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	33	13¢	$4	0xb98383…
05-31 02:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcf5410…
05-31 02:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xad730e…
05-31 02:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xeee5e4…
05-31 02:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x5a2821…
05-31 02:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x09607a…
05-31 00:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xc9bf1c…
05-31 00:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdb2c6f…
05-30 22:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6002bf…
05-30 22:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x797a13…
05-30 22:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x242aa8…
05-30 22:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xfd2ade…
05-30 22:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8f42a8…