Same-Mistake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

121

Trades

1,640

lifetime

Volume

$3.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-10 00:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 55% +$52

Other

21% 44% $-8

Politics

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$59	100	100	+0	Down	+$57	05-12 12:34
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	13	$46	281	235	+46	open	—	04-13 11:09
dota2 pari aur1 2026 04 24 game2	7	$35	36	35	+1	open	—	04-24 15:43
dota2 pr1 l1ga 2026 04 22 game2	4	$32	28	27	+1	open	—	04-22 17:06
btc updown 5m 1776871200	4	$27	26	25	+1	open	—	04-22 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$26	18	18	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$24	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$21	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	8	$18	35	35	+0	open	—	05-14 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	6	$17	23	23	+0	open	—	05-28 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	05-15 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 16:47
lol vks los 2026 04 14	4	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-14 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$15	17	17	+0	open	—	05-19 02:39
lol kcb vitb 2026 04 22	2	$15	18	17	+0	open	—	04-22 17:26
dota2 aur1 sar1 2026 04 18	4	$15	17	17	+0	open	—	04-18 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 17:32
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	3	$14	10	10	+0	BetBoom Team	+$0	05-13 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$14	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	7	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	05-20 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 05:30
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	4	$13	10	9	+0	open	—	04-25 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	05-17 17:46
lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24 game1	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-24 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	6	$13	21	21	+0	open	—	05-28 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 13:13
dota2 ngx cb3 2026 04 24 game2	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-24 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$12	13	13	+0	open	—	05-24 18:24
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-12 23:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:43:18	btc updown 5m 1781062800	Up	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xdb1838…
06-10 03:41:06	btc updown 5m 1781062800	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd94c29…
06-10 02:12:00	btc updown 5m 1781057400	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1029e8…
06-10 01:45:55	btc updown 5m 1781055900	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc32320…
06-10 01:37:27	btc updown 5m 1781055300	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x44b730…
06-10 01:36:28	btc updown 5m 1781055300	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf2aebf…
06-10 00:57:15	btc updown 5m 1781052900	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4e7f9d…
06-10 00:52:07	btc updown 5m 1781052600	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x87b9ff…
06-10 00:51:18	btc updown 5m 1781052600	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xc4b505…
06-10 00:48:51	btc updown 5m 1781052300	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x90473f…
06-10 00:47:25	btc updown 5m 1781052300	Down	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xe2933a…
06-10 00:46:52	btc updown 5m 1781052300	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x64e2c0…
06-10 00:44:07	btc updown 5m 1781052000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe477f2…
06-10 00:36:21	btc updown 5m 1781051700	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xd277d0…
06-10 00:36:09	btc updown 5m 1781051700	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xffeccb…
06-10 00:32:37	btc updown 5m 1781051400	Up	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x54613a…
06-10 00:30:21	btc updown 5m 1781051400	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x7be05f…
06-10 00:29:58	btc updown 5m 1781051400	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe7d4dc…
06-10 00:29:21	btc updown 5m 1781051100	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe2dc18…
06-10 00:27:58	btc updown 5m 1781051100	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe0b9b9…
06-10 00:26:13	btc updown 5m 1781051100	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x5fdd94…
06-10 00:25:27	btc updown 5m 1781051100	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x7240c1…
06-02 15:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xd8a1a0…
06-02 15:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x264c65…
06-02 15:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x909d62…
06-02 15:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x790975…
06-02 15:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xce65bc…
06-02 15:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xbb52fa…
06-02 15:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe8652f…
06-02 13:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x6ab9cc…
06-02 13:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xdb9736…
06-02 13:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x085a07…
06-02 13:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xce6e6f…
06-02 13:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x14226e…
06-02 13:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x7e3762…
06-02 11:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xccd341…
06-02 11:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0dd1c5…
06-02 11:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7f939a…
06-02 11:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0x1e355f…
06-02 11:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x3efd75…
06-01 11:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa8a1c4…
05-31 13:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x4706a8…
05-31 13:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9d5910…
05-31 05:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x128b98…
05-31 05:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5aa1bc…
05-31 02:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	33	13¢	$4	0xb98383…
05-31 02:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcf5410…
05-31 02:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xad730e…
05-31 02:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xeee5e4…
05-31 02:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x5a2821…
05-31 02:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x09607a…
05-31 00:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xc9bf1c…
05-31 00:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdb2c6f…
05-30 22:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6002bf…
05-30 22:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x797a13…
05-30 22:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x242aa8…
05-30 22:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xfd2ade…
05-30 22:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8f42a8…
05-30 22:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xbbc5f4…
05-30 22:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x93ec0d…
05-30 22:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb102c4…
05-30 21:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x8c2451…
05-30 21:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x523b42…
05-30 21:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0xc9b477…
05-30 21:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xde4080…
05-30 21:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x934d89…
05-30 21:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x0503d4…
05-30 21:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc04b1b…
05-30 21:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xce0bdb…
05-30 21:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x183e4a…
05-30 17:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xa0472a…
05-30 17:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3ae330…
05-30 16:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf1447e…
05-30 16:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xde93c3…
05-30 16:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x52db61…
05-30 10:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x0ddeaa…
05-30 10:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xee118e…
05-30 10:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x3cf940…
05-30 10:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd9f645…
05-29 19:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xfa9e69…
05-29 19:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xb2d35a…
05-29 19:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x0c15af…
05-29 19:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa170b3…
05-29 18:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x9150f2…
05-29 18:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x75a9e9…
05-29 17:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x71e11a…
05-29 17:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xfaff0f…
05-29 17:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x020545…
05-29 16:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe6eefb…
05-29 14:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xf8b3a2…
05-29 11:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x06c8a4…
05-29 11:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf20847…
05-29 11:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x721a37…
05-29 09:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbc5bef…
05-29 09:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3e3f5e…
05-29 09:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xbcfeec…
05-29 09:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xed1db1…
05-29 09:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9b6988…
05-29 09:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x0ef878…
05-29 09:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x551f05…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	649	$581.4K	18,827	06-10 03:46
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	609	$156.6K	27,421	06-10 03:44
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	600	$186.2K	56,960	06-10 03:44
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	600	$162.5K	52,166	06-10 03:44
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	595	$182.1K	34,877	06-10 03:44
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	588	$130.8K	5,696	06-10 03:42
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	572	$40.6K	10,122	06-10 03:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	569	$1.32M	57,781	06-10 03:44