Same-Mistake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

813

Trades

1,776

lifetime

Volume

$3.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-12 02:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 49% -$73

Other

21% 54% -$15

Politics

3% 18% +$4

Tech

1% 14% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 33% -$1

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$59	100	100	+0	Down	+$57	05-12 12:34
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	13	$46	281	235	+46	No	+$16	04-13 11:09
dota2 pari aur1 2026 04 24 game2	7	$35	36	35	+1	Aurora	$0	04-24 15:43
dota2 pr1 l1ga 2026 04 22 game2	4	$32	28	27	+1	Power Rangers	+$13	04-22 17:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:20 UTC	4	$27	26	25	+1	Up	+$8	04-22 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$26	18	18	+0	Down	$0	05-11 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$24	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$21	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	8	$18	35	35	+0	Up	+$4	05-14 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	6	$17	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	05-28 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$16	15	15	+0	Up	-$2	05-15 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 16:47
lol vks los 2026 04 14	4	$15	11	11	+0	Vivo Keyd Stars	+$5	04-14 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$15	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 02:39
lol kcb vitb 2026 04 22	2	$15	18	17	+0	Karmine Corp Blue	+$5	04-22 17:26
dota2 aur1 sar1 2026 04 18	4	$15	17	17	+0	Aurora	+$1	04-18 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 17:32
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	3	$14	10	10	+0	BetBoom Team	+$0	05-13 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$14	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	7	$14	20	20	+0	Up	$0	05-20 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$14	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	04-27 05:30
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	4	$13	10	9	+0	BetBoom Team	+$2	04-25 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$13	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	05-17 17:46
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	4	$13	13	13	+0	No	+$3	05-29 00:24
lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24 game1	2	$13	8	8	+0	KT Rolster	+$3	04-24 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	6	$13	21	21	+0	Up	+$3	05-28 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 13:13
dota2 ngx cb3 2026 04 24 game2	2	$12	8	8	+0	Nigma Galaxy	+$2	04-24 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$12	13	13	+0	Down	$0	05-24 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 02:36:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xf7792f…
06-12 02:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x4464fa…
06-12 02:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa61740…
06-12 00:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x340308…
06-12 00:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd65971…
06-12 00:29:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x0295e1…
06-12 00:29:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc3add8…
06-12 00:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6b7295…
06-12 00:26:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$2	0x3709c8…
06-12 00:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x78c2f1…
06-12 00:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xfede5a…
06-12 00:23:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xae4a43…
06-11 22:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x4d7d82…
06-11 22:12:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xefd41a…
06-11 22:11:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x19395d…
06-11 22:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x875c20…
06-11 19:42:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 19:40 UTC	Down	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x2f5ef1…
06-11 19:40:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x8fc7db…
06-11 19:39:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xe49140…
06-11 19:39:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x89c872…
06-11 03:59:40	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x43d985…
06-11 00:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x93b2c1…
06-11 00:39:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:35 UTC	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xf572c8…
06-11 00:37:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1d0a53…
06-11 00:37:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xcfa7ac…
06-11 00:32:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xab83a9…
06-11 00:30:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x02faeb…
06-11 00:23:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x13cc36…
06-11 00:22:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5e6d69…
06-11 00:14:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf96ea0…
06-10 23:43:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:40 UTC	Down	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xc7ed3e…
06-10 23:41:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdb03b4…
06-10 23:41:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa89f27…
06-10 23:39:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xe5eaf1…
06-10 23:38:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb30a3f…
06-10 19:58:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xacf34a…
06-10 19:47:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x73e647…
06-10 19:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe25d28…
06-10 19:41:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xa42069…
06-10 19:40:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7cb9f6…
06-10 19:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x26e504…
06-10 19:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x585bd2…
06-10 19:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x1b5695…
06-10 19:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x1432dc…
06-10 03:43:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xdb1838…
06-10 03:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd94c29…
06-10 02:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xe8af82…
06-10 02:12:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1029e8…
06-10 01:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc32320…
06-10 01:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x037432…
06-10 01:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x44b730…
06-10 01:36:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf2aebf…
06-10 00:57:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4e7f9d…
06-10 00:52:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:50 UTC	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x87b9ff…
06-10 00:51:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xc4b505…
06-10 00:48:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x90473f…
06-10 00:47:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xe2933a…
06-10 00:46:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x64e2c0…
06-10 00:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe477f2…
06-10 00:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:35 UTC	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xd277d0…
06-10 00:36:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xffeccb…
06-10 00:32:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x54613a…
06-10 00:30:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x7be05f…
06-10 00:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe7d4dc…
06-10 00:29:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe2dc18…
06-10 00:27:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe0b9b9…
06-10 00:26:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x5fdd94…
06-10 00:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x7240c1…
06-02 15:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xd8a1a0…
06-02 15:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x264c65…
06-02 15:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x909d62…
06-02 15:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x790975…
06-02 15:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xce65bc…
06-02 15:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xbb52fa…
06-02 15:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe8652f…
06-02 15:36:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x44c6f6…
06-02 13:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf6cac3…
06-02 13:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x4db376…
06-02 13:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x60dd88…
06-02 13:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x6ab9cc…
06-02 13:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xdb9736…
06-02 13:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x085a07…
06-02 13:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xce6e6f…
06-02 13:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x14226e…
06-02 13:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x7e3762…
06-02 13:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa23264…
06-02 13:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x6635bd…
06-02 13:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7987df…
06-02 11:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xccd341…
06-02 11:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0dd1c5…
06-02 11:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7f939a…
06-02 11:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0x1e355f…
06-02 11:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x3efd75…
06-02 08:17:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x6adb38…
06-01 11:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa8a1c4…
06-01 06:28:41	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xab2e1f…
05-31 13:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x4706a8…
05-31 13:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9d5910…
05-31 12:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x471e8b…
05-31 12:56:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x16cd87…