Necessary-Carotene — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.52K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.6%

Resolved

201

Trades

385

lifetime

Volume

$5.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 10-09 20:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 46% -$363

Politics

28% 0% -$372

Other

16% 0% -$781

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$1.4K	5,268	5,268	+0	Yes	-$372	10-09 19:41
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$820	1,953	1,953	+0	No	-$781	05-30 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$284	354	354	+0	Up	-$116	10-09 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$207	319	85	+234	Down	-$144	05-29 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$123	74	74	+0	Down	+$23	05-30 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$110	61	61	+0	Up	+$10	05-30 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$106	57	57	+0	Down	+$6	05-30 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$106	201	0	+201	Down	-$106	05-30 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$75	7,500	0	+7,500	Down	-$75	05-30 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	10	$51	80	80	+0	Down	+$1	05-29 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$50	98	0	+98	Up	+$48	05-30 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$50	89	0	+89	Up	+$39	05-29 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	10	$50	100	0	+100	Up	+$50	05-29 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	11	$48	100	25	+75	Up	+$53	05-29 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$39	71	71	+0	Up	-$31	05-30 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$37	46	46	+0	Up	-$13	05-30 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$35	43	0	+43	Up	-$35	05-29 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	7	$35	60	0	+60	Up	+$25	05-29 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$35	78	78	+0	Down	-$25	05-30 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	7	$35	38	38	+0	Down	-$5	05-29 03:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$32	47	12	+35	Down	+$7	05-30 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$30	32	0	+32	Down	-$30	10-09 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$27	44	0	+44	Up	-$27	05-30 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$25	47	0	+47	Down	+$22	05-29 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$25	53	0	+53	Up	-$25	05-30 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Down	+$24	05-30 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$25	42	0	+42	Down	+$17	05-30 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	Down	-$25	05-30 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	Down	-$25	05-30 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	Down	+$27	05-29 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 20:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe13fd9…
10-09 20:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x235025…
10-09 20:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x3b665b…
10-09 19:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	109	44¢	$48	0x45810e…
10-09 19:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	246	15¢	$36	0x9474c0…
10-09 19:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	246	41¢	$100	0x48e763…
10-09 19:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xd6e79d…
10-09 19:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x1d1aa7…
10-09 19:41:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5,268	10¢	$527	0x1b9305…
10-07 02:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd77c90…
10-07 02:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb44186…
10-07 02:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x9df935…
10-07 02:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xabf868…
10-07 02:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf4064e…
10-07 02:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa04c3d…
10-07 02:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5eaf4b…
10-07 02:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xf96802…
10-07 02:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x609d10…
10-07 02:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdafe43…
10-07 02:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb94e9a…
10-07 02:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb9318d…
10-07 02:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x48c967…
10-07 01:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3f78c3…
10-07 01:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdb5d43…
10-07 01:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbc06a6…
10-07 01:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xef565f…
10-07 01:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa31ceb…
10-07 01:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x351701…
10-07 01:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc621e6…
10-07 01:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x7270c3…
10-07 01:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbba3f3…
10-07 01:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xee0281…
10-07 01:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2a9850…
10-07 01:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xcb812c…
10-07 01:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9fa075…
10-07 00:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x305d9c…
10-07 00:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0dd6f8…
10-07 00:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x726a06…
10-07 00:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdf1e3c…
10-07 00:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xeed6b8…
10-07 00:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x008c34…
10-06 23:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfba4e2…
10-06 23:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x75864f…
10-06 23:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x419693…
10-06 23:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xaff83c…
10-06 23:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdd6b1d…
10-06 22:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4c1d70…
10-06 22:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x73ebfe…
10-06 22:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3a07e3…
10-06 22:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1e0174…
10-06 22:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5cd495…
10-06 22:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x95cf03…
10-06 22:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa4be6d…
10-06 22:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6324e8…
10-06 22:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x327180…
10-06 22:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x22696e…
10-06 22:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0b97e1…
10-06 22:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x776a83…
10-06 22:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x91d057…
10-06 22:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x105f18…
10-06 22:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7fef75…
10-06 21:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9528b2…
10-06 21:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf1276d…
10-06 21:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xac825c…
10-06 21:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xba14a5…
10-06 21:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4bc61e…
10-06 21:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe5944e…
10-06 21:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x406baf…
10-06 21:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8e4d2a…
10-06 20:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9afa66…
10-06 20:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x10c239…
10-06 20:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x27ddff…
10-06 20:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x63537b…
10-06 20:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb166a0…
10-06 20:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd0a2bf…
10-06 20:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xaa2baf…
10-06 20:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5fa70e…
10-06 20:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa3cbd9…
10-06 20:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x48625a…
10-06 19:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc3496a…
10-06 19:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf3455e…
10-06 19:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x97212c…
10-06 19:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1b651a…
10-06 19:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6837bf…
10-06 19:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf55b1b…
10-06 19:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x63e8ca…
10-05 00:02:19	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,006	15¢	$451	0x1a2554…
10-04 22:38:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	87	15¢	$13	0x506f0e…
10-04 21:15:19	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,175	20¢	$435	0x2ef350…
05-31 01:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd63616…
05-31 01:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x601fdc…
05-31 01:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xed80a9…
05-31 00:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xac802c…
05-31 00:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6b413e…
05-31 00:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb4a65b…
05-31 00:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9d7bee…
05-31 00:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6403f8…
05-31 00:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa6bdd1…
05-31 00:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8c3367…
05-31 00:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x206601…