Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$25,230
Trades
2,685
Unique wallets
654
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
33¢
Latest NO mid
67¢
End date
2026-10-07
First seen
2026-10-06
last 10-07 00:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.6¢
(top1%: 29% YES on $11.4K
vs crowd: 25% YES on $21.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 139 | $3.7K | $8.2K | $4.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 177 | $1.1K | $5.4K | $4.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 198 | $504 | $2.1K | $1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 140 | $243 | $588 | $344 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 143 | $3.3K | $8.1K | $4.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 97 | $432 | $2.7K | $2.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 31 | $25 | $346 | $321 |
| Median | 44 | $45 | $269 | $224 |
| Below median | 138 | $319 | $740 | $421 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 79 | $218 | $495 | $277 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 80 | $416 | $1.3K | $874 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 42 | $783 | $2.4K | $1.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | +1,100 | $41 | $41 | 21 | 10-06 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | +1,000 | $982 | $982 | 1 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +771 | $226 | $226 | 50 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +668 | $424 | $424 | 28 | 10-06 23:58 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +600 | $6 | $6 | 8 | 10-06 23:59 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | +597 | $258 | $258 | 14 | 10-06 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +596 | $144 | $144 | 37 | 10-06 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +592 | $391 | $391 | 26 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +580 | $185 | $185 | 19 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xca35…aa25 | Down | +513 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-06 23:58 |
| Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79 | Down | +508 | $492 | $908 | 7 | 10-06 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x17ea…e98f | Down | +506 | $501 | $501 | 1 | 10-06 23:59 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | +501 | $30 | $30 | 7 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +440 | $174 | $174 | 25 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +422 | $163 | $163 | 17 | 10-06 23:58 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | +418 | $414 | $414 | 12 | 10-07 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f57…280c | Down | +406 | $275 | $275 | 5 | 10-06 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 19 | 10-06 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a92…dc69 | Up | +400 | $136 | $136 | 1 | 10-06 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +394 | $279 | $279 | 22 | 10-06 23:58 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +388 | $118 | $118 | 21 | 10-06 23:59 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +377 | $273 | $273 | 37 | 10-06 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +370 | $241 | $241 | 12 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Up | +362 | $168 | $219 | 8 | 10-06 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e2…22d2 | Down | +358 | $200 | $200 | 8 | 10-06 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | +324 | $220 | $220 | 17 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Up | +323 | $157 | $157 | 12 | 10-06 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +315 | $148 | $148 | 21 | 10-06 23:55 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Up | +304 | $97 | $97 | 8 | 10-06 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc481…2bbb | Down | +303 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-06 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +287 | $95 | $95 | 18 | 10-06 23:58 |
| Lone-Bandwidth 0x2977…4eb0 | Down | +275 | $172 | $172 | 9 | 10-06 23:56 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +266 | $84 | $84 | 27 | 10-06 23:58 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +265 | $24 | $24 | 5 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa576…ac6b | Down | +259 | $142 | $142 | 7 | 10-06 23:54 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +244 | $161 | $161 | 17 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | +240 | $234 | $234 | 7 | 10-06 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb23a…755c | Down | +225 | $120 | $120 | 2 | 10-06 23:55 |
| Dutiful-Psychologist 0x5f6d…976f | Down | +225 | $223 | $223 | 1 | 10-06 23:59 |
| Powerful-Mastoid 0xf03b…3ba1 | Up | +221 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-06 23:55 |
| Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964 | Up | +218 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 10-06 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5964…0031 | Up | +215 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 10-06 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x424e…263b | Down | +212 | $204 | $204 | 2 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | +211 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 10-06 23:58 |
| Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | +210 | $206 | $206 | 1 | 10-06 23:58 |
| Lumpy-Pagoda 0x3615…8fdf | Down | +202 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 10-06 23:58 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | +202 | $148 | $148 | 3 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xb238…2d11 | Down | +202 | $126 | $126 | 36 | 10-06 23:57 |
| Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 10-06 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bd7…7d93 | Down | +195 | $189 | $189 | 6 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Up | +187 | $59 | $59 | 16 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +180 | $51 | $51 | 5 | 10-06 23:58 |
| Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f | Down | +178 | $115 | $115 | 12 | 10-06 23:58 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +169 | $134 | $134 | 2 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xb238…2d11 | Up | +167 | $64 | $64 | 36 | 10-06 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xedf1…a8f6 | Up | +167 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 10-06 23:59 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Up | +160 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 10-06 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +160 | $63 | $63 | 26 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x81ff…9c4d | Up | +147 | $58 | $58 | 13 | 10-06 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | +145 | $41 | $41 | 10 | 10-06 23:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 00:00:07 | (anonymous) 0xc9e3…1cff | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xaa5f68… |
| 10-07 00:00:07 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xaa5f68… |
| 10-07 00:00:03 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x343a79… |
| 10-07 00:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x49da…bfd0 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x343a79… |
| 10-06 23:59:48 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x5ef10f… |
| 10-06 23:59:48 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x5ef10f… |
| 10-06 23:59:46 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb74a19… |
| 10-06 23:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x7401…fe3c | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb74a19… |
| 10-06 23:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x05b3…45c3 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x8b9a4e… |
| 10-06 23:59:43 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x8b9a4e… |
| 10-06 23:59:42 | (anonymous) 0xac43…7b8f | Down | SELL | 31 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x0cd36b… |
| 10-06 23:59:42 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x0cd36b… |
| 10-06 23:59:39 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc89afe… |
| 10-06 23:59:39 | Massive-Honor 0x3d7a…725c | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc89afe… |
| 10-06 23:59:37 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xf8a227… |
| 10-06 23:59:37 | (anonymous) 0xedf1…a8f6 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf8a227… |
| 10-06 23:59:22 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9edfc9… |
| 10-06 23:59:22 | (anonymous) 0xe405…f57e | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9edfc9… |
| 10-06 23:59:21 | (anonymous) 0xe473…7d6f | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xc7017e… |
| 10-06 23:59:21 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xc7017e… |
| 10-06 23:59:19 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x7376c1… |
| 10-06 23:59:19 | Prudent-Cohort 0xa265…1bb3 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7376c1… |
| 10-06 23:59:15 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | SELL | 183 | 99¢ | $181 | 0xcda4c9… |
| 10-06 23:59:15 | Sympathetic-Grief 0xe960…144b | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x125bb8… |
| 10-06 23:59:15 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 158 | 99¢ | $156 | 0xcda4c9… |
| 10-06 23:59:15 | Drafty-Spider 0xc216…7071 | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xcda4c9… |
| 10-06 23:59:15 | Drafty-Spider 0xc216…7071 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x125bb8… |
| 10-06 23:59:12 | Drafty-Spider 0xc216…7071 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x4da6e5… |
| 10-06 23:59:12 | Foolish-Idea 0x6d79…7a1b | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3ae804… |
| 10-06 23:59:12 | Drafty-Spider 0xc216…7071 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3ae804… |
| 10-06 23:59:12 | Drafty-Spider 0xc216…7071 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8ae45d… |
| 10-06 23:59:12 | Blue-Valuable 0x78b3…3a3d | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x4da6e5… |
| 10-06 23:59:12 | (anonymous) 0xbe23…41a0 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8ae45d… |
| 10-06 23:59:09 | Drafty-Spider 0xc216…7071 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xfbf80d… |
| 10-06 23:59:09 | Blue-Valuable 0x78b3…3a3d | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcbe2b1… |
| 10-06 23:59:09 | (anonymous) 0x7c74…0d6b | Down | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x9367bf… |
| 10-06 23:59:09 | (anonymous) 0x607a…207e | Down | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x2494b2… |
| 10-06 23:59:09 | Drafty-Spider 0xc216…7071 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2494b2… |
| 10-06 23:59:09 | Productive-Drapes 0x564c…f4a7 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xfbf80d… |
| 10-06 23:59:09 | Drafty-Spider 0xc216…7071 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcbe2b1… |
| 10-06 23:59:09 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x2494b2… |
| 10-06 23:59:09 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x9367bf… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x005e48… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x005e48… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x27e86c… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x575c1c… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 225 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x7e01b8… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xdedb…2529 | Down | BUY | 57 | 99¢ | $56 | 0x2086c5… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x43f24a… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a1d06… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Dutiful-Psychologist 0x5f6d…976f | Down | BUY | 225 | 99¢ | $223 | 0x7e01b8… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc47d36… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x10b0…e4dd | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x575c1c… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x33e5…fa04 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x551c13… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd5641f… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd5641f… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xb44f…f342 | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x27e86c… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 202 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x302eec… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x575c1c… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 37 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2086c5… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2086c5… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x551c13… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79 | Down | BUY | 202 | 99¢ | $200 | 0x302eec… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x0dfa…c39c | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x1a1d06… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x43f24a… |
| 10-06 23:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x34c6…ec31 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xc47d36… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcbc9cf… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xc481…2bbb | Down | BUY | 303 | 99¢ | $300 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x10b0…e4dd | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x7db5…4b1e | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2512db… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x87a0d9… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 72 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | Physical-Chipmunk 0x0899…459e | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x87a0d9… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48 | Up | BUY | 94 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xe416…329f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x49f26a… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xbe82…90ed | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x17e6…c4b6 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xd4c605… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd4c605… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x962d…23a8 | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xebc3bb… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x49f26a… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xcbc9cf… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | Stiff-Radiator 0x9919…0a5d | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x2512db… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xbfff…2b8d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xa7cf…7768 | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xf06d…d823 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf66e81… |
| 10-06 23:59:06 | Stiff-Radiator 0x9919…0a5d | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xebc3bb… |
| 10-06 23:59:04 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 66 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1e389f… |
| 10-06 23:59:04 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x750416… |
| 10-06 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x507b…c968 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x750416… |
| 10-06 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x17ea…e98f | Down | BUY | 506 | 99¢ | $501 | 0xbb5681… |
| 10-06 23:59:04 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbb5681… |
| 10-06 23:59:04 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 493 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xbb5681… |
| 10-06 23:59:04 | Untidy-Lane 0x0f0d…b27d | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe295e3… |
| 10-06 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x4b07…7912 | Down | BUY | 66 | 99¢ | $65 | 0x1e389f… |