Thoughtful-Dirndl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.1%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-21 23:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

50% 0% $-2

Other

35% 100% +$0

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	19	$3.1K	1,595	1,595	+0	No	$-2	04-12 19:53
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	8	$858	455	455	+0	open	—	04-27 23:44
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$805	415	415	+0	open	—	03-08 11:40
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	7	$779	400	400	+0	open	—	03-20 19:52
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$754	395	395	+0	open	—	04-10 20:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$740	384	384	+0	open	—	03-30 05:40
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$723	380	380	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 18:48
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	7	$503	266	266	-0	open	—	03-31 09:38
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$477	246	246	+0	open	—	04-08 10:38
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$453	232	232	+0	open	—	03-31 01:44
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	2	$405	215	215	+0	open	—	03-04 04:12
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$396	212	212	+0	open	—	03-03 22:55
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$396	204	204	+0	open	—	03-16 03:35
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$394	203	203	+0	open	—	03-10 18:00
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	3	$394	209	209	+0	open	—	03-12 20:33
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$392	207	207	+0	open	—	03-06 10:29
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	2	$388	204	204	+0	open	—	03-17 00:12
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$385	199	199	+0	open	—	03-07 18:10
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$382	202	202	+0	open	—	03-18 05:43
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$382	195	195	+0	open	—	03-11 07:00
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$372	188	188	+0	open	—	03-17 21:23
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	5	$371	193	193	+0	open	—	03-21 22:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$366	187	187	+0	open	—	03-28 10:33
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$356	190	190	+0	open	—	03-27 02:28
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$339	175	175	+0	open	—	04-27 12:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	7	$303	157	157	+0	open	—	04-14 22:44
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	6	$290	149	148	+0	open	—	04-12 10:14
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$237	125	125	+0	open	—	04-21 12:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	4	$177	93	93	+0	open	—	05-23 03:24
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$130	68	68	+0	open	—	04-17 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 23:21:16	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	SELL	45	97¢	$43	0xad132a…
06-21 16:18:40	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0x3cad37…
06-21 04:57:19	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0xb0a033…
06-21 00:51:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	44	97¢	$42	0xde35b7…
06-19 14:54:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0xe07f94…
06-19 08:48:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0xcf0973…
06-04 22:44:57	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04 spread away 3pt5	Atlanta Braves	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x0e75a7…
05-23 03:24:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x97f2f3…
05-22 21:20:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xeb23f4…
05-19 14:09:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$59	0x4f6df8…
05-19 13:40:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$59	0x3036be…
05-18 03:30:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0xea058d…
05-16 06:04:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0xc5ae82…
05-12 10:21:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0xc28353…
05-06 05:35:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x69cb10…
04-27 23:44:58	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	41	94¢	$39	0xb1f611…
04-27 23:30:22	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xce1473…
04-27 12:27:12	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	175	96¢	$169	0x7a5114…
04-27 04:17:02	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	175	97¢	$170	0x323994…
04-21 12:13:18	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	65	93¢	$61	0x11e380…
04-21 04:12:24	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	65	94¢	$61	0x30160a…
04-17 06:24:36	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	68	96¢	$65	0xfac60d…
04-17 00:11:02	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0xbacc6f…
04-14 22:44:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x150118…
04-14 07:52:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xccf7c2…
04-13 15:34:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$41	0xcca561…
04-13 11:41:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x7e5890…
04-13 11:08:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x405b49…
04-12 19:53:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0x234c3f…
04-12 12:31:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x72e9f4…
04-12 10:14:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x5cc7e9…
04-12 01:54:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xe1c760…
04-12 01:41:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x2be36d…
04-11 19:34:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$52	0x548b29…
04-11 04:16:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x38fa14…
04-10 20:35:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$38	0x0fe5c3…
04-10 20:20:09	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0xf9b06f…
04-10 15:12:45	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0x2b74de…
04-10 00:31:31	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	59	92¢	$54	0xf545fc…
04-09 20:24:51	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xfccb3b…
04-09 20:24:51	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xe5db73…
04-09 20:24:51	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x9e0b20…
04-09 20:24:43	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x1f86e3…
04-09 19:22:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0xb60da1…
04-09 09:03:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xd63261…
04-09 08:30:07	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x7cbc7c…
04-09 00:33:59	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	61	96¢	$58	0xfeba8b…
04-08 10:38:27	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0xd6ee88…
04-08 05:06:11	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0x239ea3…
03-31 09:38:03	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0x43953b…
03-31 03:45:39	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0x0a2323…
03-31 03:24:15	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc1f34b…
03-31 03:20:31	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xd0930c…
03-31 01:44:33	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0xa63a84…
03-30 21:15:03	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x6de301…
03-30 19:14:01	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xe61add…
03-30 05:40:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	190	97¢	$184	0xa7632d…
03-30 01:16:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	190	97¢	$184	0xb59867…
03-30 00:24:12	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	185	97¢	$178	0x0a76a7…
03-29 17:42:04	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	185	97¢	$179	0x340133…
03-29 09:48:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	180	97¢	$174	0x1ab096…
03-29 03:02:12	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	180	97¢	$174	0x271022…
03-28 10:33:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	187	98¢	$183	0x105412…
03-28 06:02:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	187	98¢	$183	0x8f6f0e…
03-27 02:28:23	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	190	94¢	$179	0x545489…
03-26 21:15:25	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	190	93¢	$178	0xdc776a…
03-26 12:20:49	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	193	97¢	$188	0xa48731…
03-26 08:15:25	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	193	98¢	$189	0x40507e…
03-25 18:48:55	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	188	95¢	$179	0x62b1aa…
03-25 11:13:09	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	188	95¢	$178	0xf2ac14…
03-25 09:12:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	192	95¢	$182	0xce7e26…
03-25 02:30:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	192	95¢	$183	0x5f6302…
03-25 01:21:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	193	97¢	$186	0x205acc…
03-24 20:35:09	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	79	97¢	$76	0x2410b1…
03-24 20:33:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	114	97¢	$110	0x2e32d1…
03-21 22:57:15	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	193	95¢	$183	0xfde0ac…
03-21 18:00:59	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x171a7b…
03-21 17:56:29	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x745084…
03-21 17:51:03	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0x8afdb6…
03-21 17:43:59	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x07f884…
03-21 16:21:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	193	96¢	$186	0xeff8e0…
03-21 10:01:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	193	97¢	$186	0xce5b7d…
03-20 19:52:07	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0xc796dc…
03-20 12:48:47	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xfaf7fd…
03-20 12:22:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	194	96¢	$186	0x83a870…
03-20 05:16:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	194	96¢	$186	0xde6346…
03-20 02:27:31	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	199	96¢	$191	0x8cdc63…
03-19 22:13:27	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xcf18b1…
03-19 22:13:13	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	171	96¢	$164	0xfee2cd…
03-19 09:03:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	202	96¢	$194	0xd396f5…
03-19 04:34:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	202	96¢	$194	0xcdf5af…
03-19 03:07:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	201	96¢	$192	0xb54569…
03-18 19:35:39	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$192	0xce3e2a…
03-18 05:43:49	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	202	95¢	$191	0xdf09a3…
03-17 21:41:05	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$191	0x6c3fd7…
03-17 21:23:55	Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0xa60d57…
03-17 17:06:17	Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	188	98¢	$184	0xc4bed8…
03-17 09:14:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	196	95¢	$186	0x63bb5c…
03-17 01:02:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	196	95¢	$186	0x1df174…
03-17 00:12:57	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	SELL	204	95¢	$194	0x849be7…