Insubstantial-Clam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 07-18 17:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

73% 50% +$2

Politics

27% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on june 9 2026	9	$411	395	395	+0	open	—	06-09 19:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	3	$223	130	130	+0	Down	+$13	05-04 17:43
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$160	200	200	+0	open	—	06-07 19:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	2	$158	105	105	+0	open	—	04-29 19:49
iran closes its airspace by june 8	3	$143	98	98	+0	open	—	06-07 20:51
spx up or down on june 10 2026	2	$130	233	233	+0	open	—	06-10 16:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$116	172	172	+0	open	—	06-26 11:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$111	109	109	+0	open	—	06-26 11:38
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	2	$106	71	71	+0	open	—	06-03 14:12
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$100	128	0	+128	open	—	05-11 13:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	120	0	+120	open	—	04-26 16:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	1	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	04-30 15:28
World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada	2	$97	68	68	+0	open	—	05-26 20:36
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$94	65	65	+0	open	—	05-04 12:44
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	2	$82	56	56	+0	open	—	04-29 18:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	2	$76	54	54	+0	open	—	05-28 15:00
spx up or down on july 10 2026	2	$71	54	54	+0	open	—	07-10 16:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$67	91	91	+0	open	—	05-16 19:52
iran closes its airspace by june 15	2	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	06-07 20:53
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	2	$62	43	43	+0	open	—	05-31 21:09
spx up or down on june 25 2026	3	$60	105	105	+0	open	—	06-25 13:46
Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?	3	$55	59	59	+0	open	—	04-28 08:29
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$43	36	36	+0	open	—	05-01 14:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$30	61	61	+0	open	—	05-30 16:28
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$28	0	71	-71	open	—	07-18 17:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	0	83	-83	open	—	05-30 16:26
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia	1	$20	68	0	+68	open	—	05-27 15:43
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$20	94	0	+94	open	—	07-14 20:27
NATO article 5 before 2027?	3	$18	111	111	+0	open	—	07-18 17:48
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	2	$18	125	125	+0	open	—	07-18 17:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 17:48:07	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	11¢	$6	0x383cc4…
07-18 17:48:06	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	125	6¢	$8	0x5b7a05…
07-18 17:48:03	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	111	7¢	$8	0xa28088…
07-18 17:47:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	39¢	$28	0x9a594b…
07-14 20:27:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xd5c223…
07-14 19:40:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xa16d94…
07-10 16:02:01	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	54	77¢	$41	0x6c89c4…
07-10 14:43:32	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xba3f99…
07-07 11:18:05	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x9f47ef…
07-07 11:14:50	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7e080a…
07-07 11:14:34	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xb0e4bc…
06-26 13:11:36	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0xf3b44c…
06-26 12:10:04	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x4740c3…
06-26 11:38:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	109	56¢	$61	0x635a07…
06-26 11:38:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	172	38¢	$66	0x796530…
06-25 13:46:05	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	105	43¢	$45	0x245ad7…
06-25 12:57:46	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x7f011c…
06-25 12:55:37	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x8f1c67…
06-24 11:20:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0x77f50f…
06-22 13:01:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x7d4b8a…
06-22 13:00:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xdf3332…
06-14 14:36:51	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	72	1¢	$1	0x7d676d…
06-10 16:07:01	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	233	13¢	$30	0x66d8ab…
06-10 13:44:10	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x537257…
06-09 19:41:15	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0xd38837…
06-09 18:02:51	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x4bb8a1…
06-09 15:20:42	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	87	75¢	$65	0x842d34…
06-09 15:06:39	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xf67d41…
06-09 15:02:28	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0x4e6414…
06-09 15:01:13	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	67	36¢	$24	0xe63774…
06-09 14:55:01	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x662922…
06-09 14:52:51	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	198	70¢	$139	0x25dd98…
06-09 14:44:30	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	198	50¢	$100	0x2c14c7…
06-07 20:53:58	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x2b96be…
06-07 20:51:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	98	84¢	$83	0xe1ed6c…
06-07 20:13:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x63bcd4…
06-07 19:25:48	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xbea06a…
06-07 19:21:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xe48c84…
06-07 19:15:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0xaf605a…
06-07 15:38:00	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xf8b29a…
06-03 14:12:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	71	80¢	$56	0xe28726…
06-03 13:38:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0xd3150e…
05-31 21:09:04	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x8df2a8…
05-31 18:11:54	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	72	21¢	$15	0x9af4f5…
05-31 16:17:50	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x98de4f…
05-30 16:29:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	169	6¢	$10	0xd883e0…
05-30 16:28:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0x4ad902…
05-30 16:26:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	28¢	$23	0x6054c5…
05-29 19:06:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xdbd95c…
05-28 15:00:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	54	85¢	$46	0x9fd9cd…
05-28 14:10:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xdd9feb…
05-27 15:43:51	World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia	Czechia	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0xa64b42…
05-26 20:36:47	World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada	Canada	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x7c5a78…
05-26 20:10:29	World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada	Canada	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xcc3fd5…
05-16 19:52:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	19¢	$17	0x421134…
05-11 13:48:11	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x505aea…
05-07 18:29:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5511e8…
05-07 16:29:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xee6dc3…
05-04 17:43:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	130	91¢	$118	0x58ebb2…
05-04 16:05:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xa4f100…
05-04 14:49:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd525d4…
05-04 12:44:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	65	83¢	$54	0xa35ff5…
05-01 20:12:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xbd10f2…
05-01 18:26:40	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	0¢	$0	0xd68d28…
05-01 18:25:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	66	2¢	$1	0x7a83f8…
05-01 18:23:34	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x4f82e7…
05-01 16:40:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x744c44…
05-01 14:19:22	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xe86b4a…
05-01 14:07:12	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	36	93¢	$33	0xc8e6a3…
05-01 13:28:36	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xc9f357…
05-01 12:46:46	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x6c9380…
04-30 15:28:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xfee17f…
04-29 19:49:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	105	80¢	$84	0x638457…
04-29 18:45:16	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	56	94¢	$52	0x9508f8…
04-29 17:20:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	105	70¢	$74	0xf6ebd1…
04-29 13:40:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x013ada…
04-28 08:29:24	Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0xd0c864…
04-28 08:28:38	Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0xa027af…
04-27 13:52:22	Will Meta reach $730 in April?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x5e9fc0…
04-27 11:13:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0xc1c38d…
04-26 16:59:42	Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x0056ec…
04-26 16:45:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x9fbe52…
04-26 16:02:30	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0xf6ea39…
04-26 15:51:58	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x320770…
04-26 14:44:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xfbe5c5…