Realized P&L
+$624
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
49.1%
Resolved
2,280
Trades
18,385
lifetime
Volume
$16.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$261
6 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 08-15 03:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Other
80% 13% +$739
Politics
9% 15% +$52
Tech
9% 21% -$185
Crypto
2% 6% +$11
Pop-Culture
0% 12% +$1
Sports
0% 30% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 759 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +241 $108 100¢ $241 +$133 08-13 23:11
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $4 86¢ $17 +$13 08-12 08:13
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $10 14¢ $3 -$7 08-12 08:04
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +245 $119 0¢ $0 -$118 08-13 23:11
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +255 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 08-13 23:11
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 16¢ $0 $0 06-02 11:45