Plain-Diner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

1,806

Trades

3,906

lifetime

Volume

$21.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$324

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-09 22:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 53% +$7

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes		+340	$291	95¢	$324	+$33	11-09 22:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:35 UTC	25	$329	334	322	+11	Up	-$29	04-24 17:38
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	6	$291	340	0	+340	open	—	11-09 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:30 UTC	51	$199	205	197	+7	Up	-$3	04-24 00:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:10 UTC	12	$142	232	43	+188	Down	-$5	02-13 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 17:45 UTC	17	$140	151	149	+2	Down	$0	01-15 17:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 14:30 UTC	16	$137	144	144	+0	Up	+$28	01-05 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 14:30 UTC	21	$135	187	185	+2	Down	-$14	01-08 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 15:30 UTC	16	$124	152	150	+2	Down	$0	01-09 15:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 16:15 UTC	16	$113	149	145	+4	Down	-$1	01-17 16:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 06:00 UTC	18	$112	150	147	+3	Up	+$1	01-22 06:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 00:30 UTC	14	$91	122	121	+1	Down	+$7	01-13 00:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 14:30 UTC	11	$89	104	101	+3	Up	+$4	01-20 14:42
bitcoin up or down february 8 1am et	18	$89	144	144	+0	Up	+$4	02-08 06:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 14:30 UTC	8	$88	87	43	+44	Up	-$1	02-01 14:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 12:00 UTC	3	$86	83	83	+0	Down	+$1	01-01 12:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 04:15 UTC	4	$84	160	160	+0	Down	-$2	01-01 04:22
bitcoin up or down february 3 1pm et	20	$84	202	202	+0	Down	+$1	02-03 18:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 11:15 UTC	2	$80	82	82	+0	Down	+$2	01-01 11:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 13:45 UTC	6	$77	206	206	+0	Down	-$9	01-01 13:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 22:45 UTC	9	$77	82	81	+1	Up	+$1	01-17 22:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 09:30 UTC	6	$75	82	39	+43	Up	+$4	02-02 09:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 03:30 UTC	11	$72	80	79	+1	Up	$0	01-20 03:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 17:00 UTC	7	$70	61	60	+1	Up	-$2	01-19 17:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 07:45 UTC	9	$70	82	82	+0	Down	-$2	01-06 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:30 UTC	10	$70	74	73	+1	Up	-$6	01-19 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 08:35 UTC	6	$69	159	0	+159	Up	-$5	02-25 08:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 05:15 UTC	10	$67	82	80	+2	Up	$0	01-19 05:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 01:30 UTC	9	$66	73	72	+1	Down	+$1	01-07 01:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 08:15 UTC	8	$64	62	61	+1	Up	+$0	01-08 08:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 12:00 UTC	7	$64	62	61	+1	Down	+$7	01-21 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 22:57:43	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xfc10e5…
11-09 22:57:43	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0xc04c06…
11-09 22:57:43	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x969e1c…
11-09 22:57:43	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x822d0b…
11-09 22:57:43	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	84¢	$221	0x21248a…
11-09 22:57:43	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0071f6…
05-12 02:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5b65e1…
05-12 01:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x411601…
05-12 01:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1f2839…
05-11 22:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x87d5a3…
05-11 22:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x9d5947…
05-11 22:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdae632…
05-11 20:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xef81ec…
05-11 19:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7e7519…
05-11 19:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8f5e44…
05-11 18:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1c039a…
05-11 18:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x962292…
05-11 18:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd10a79…
05-11 17:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1b4a73…
05-11 17:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x923189…
05-11 17:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb5a1f6…
05-11 17:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x781f6c…
05-11 17:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x70fdd5…
05-11 17:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe9813c…
05-11 16:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa88041…
05-11 15:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x610c0b…
05-11 15:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x104ea0…
05-11 14:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x96b911…
05-11 14:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x5f2e31…
05-11 14:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x907589…
05-11 14:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x99bccc…
05-11 13:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x839afd…
05-11 13:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x663405…
05-11 12:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x55e808…
05-11 11:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0xcdf634…
05-11 10:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x186549…
05-11 09:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x1cbae1…
05-11 08:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xec1102…
05-11 08:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x413f97…
05-11 08:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9159f4…
05-11 07:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe0015a…
05-11 07:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x63e00c…
05-11 05:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xe39e73…
05-11 04:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x684134…
05-11 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x0512dc…
05-11 03:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x840790…
05-11 03:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xb77d2f…
05-11 03:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x17e8b2…
05-11 02:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xa8916c…
05-11 02:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb062e8…
05-11 00:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$3	0x184461…
05-11 00:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf1c3fa…
05-10 23:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x37a1ea…
05-10 23:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1117c3…
05-10 23:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7b9e6c…
05-10 23:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa980a2…
05-10 22:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5fb370…
05-10 22:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x84f32a…
05-10 22:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xb345cc…
05-10 21:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa81b94…
05-10 21:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x89c3e2…
05-10 17:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x1adeef…
05-10 17:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x056b47…
05-10 15:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x54e9e9…
05-10 15:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2040da…
05-10 15:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x956b3e…
05-10 15:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xb0d237…
05-10 00:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x030206…
05-09 21:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x780007…
05-09 18:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x407c02…
05-09 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x690912…
05-09 16:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdccc40…
05-09 16:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0ac564…
05-09 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x207091…
05-09 16:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x95e6c5…
05-09 16:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8050b9…
05-09 16:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x25de26…
05-09 15:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x56d40a…
05-09 13:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb4038f…
05-09 07:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x897cda…
05-09 07:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x59e8ba…
05-09 04:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8454af…
05-09 04:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x932104…
05-09 03:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xfaa175…
05-08 23:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x93ee1d…
05-08 23:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc51ac6…
05-08 22:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7c0948…
05-08 22:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x111afd…
05-08 21:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x815b19…
05-08 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9bf1b5…
05-08 17:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6c1d3f…
05-08 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xca2b34…
05-08 16:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf32da9…
05-08 15:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x35104d…
05-08 15:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xed1737…
05-08 15:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcb0f8a…
05-08 14:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xeb71f9…
05-08 13:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc83229…
05-08 13:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x747be4…
05-08 13:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x0b3252…