Brown-Initiative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$541

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 10-07 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Sports

41% 40% -$22

Other

35% 43% -$91

Crypto

15% 20% -$29

Politics

9% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$50	100	0	+100	Ciryl Gane	-$50	06-01 17:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$31	72	72	+0	open	—	10-07 16:27
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?	1	$30	60	0	+60	No	-$30	07-21 17:11
ucl agf lep 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	1	$30	53	0	+53	Over	-$30	07-21 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$25	80	0	+80	Down	-$25	06-05 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:40 UTC	1	$25	51	0	+51	Up	+$26	06-08 13:44
mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	1	$20	40	0	+40	Boston Red Sox	-$20	07-20 07:22
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$20	43	0	+43	Spurs	+$23	06-08 08:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?	1	$20	36	0	+36	No	-$20	06-01 17:26
npb tok chu 2026 07 20	1	$20	36	0	+36	Chunichi Dragons	+$16	07-20 07:22
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$20	74	0	+74	Josh Hokit	-$20	06-01 17:27
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	1	$20	41	0	+41	Matteo Arnaldi	-$20	06-01 17:17
mlb ari stl 2026 06 25 spread home 1pt5	1	$20	48	0	+48	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$20	07-20 07:07
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$20	54	0	+54	Knicks	+$34	06-01 17:29
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?	1	$20	61	0	+61	No	-$20	07-20 07:11
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	1	$20	95	0	+95	Yes	-$20	06-02 08:39
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	07-20 07:27
atp zheng shelbay 2026 07 20	1	$20	26	0	+26	Michael Zheng	+$6	07-20 07:29
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 win by ko tko	1	$20	25	0	+25	Yes	+$5	06-14 16:18
Timberwolves vs. Pacers	1	$10	17	0	+17	Pacers	-$10	10-07 16:44
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$10	15	0	+15	Knicks	-$10	06-05 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 2?	1	$10	587	0	+587	No	-$10	06-01 17:08
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	1	$10	56	0	+56	Justin Gaethje	+$46	06-02 13:25
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	-$10	06-10 03:21
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	1	$6	56	0	+56	No	-$6	07-21 17:13
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	06-11 08:30
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	1	$5	14	0	+14	Yes	+$9	06-09 03:39
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	-$5	06-09 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:55 UTC	1	$5	71	0	+71	Down	-$5	06-08 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	Up	-$5	06-05 07:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 16:44:20	Timberwolves vs. Pacers	Timberwolves	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa467f9…
10-07 16:27:44	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	72	15¢	$11	0x39d230…
07-21 17:13:15	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0xff4111…
07-21 17:12:40	ucl agf lep 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xa601e6…
07-21 17:11:10	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xc71ca9…
07-20 07:29:03	atp zheng shelbay 2026 07 20	Michael Zheng	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x3e4655…
07-20 07:27:13	Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x090962…
07-20 07:22:57	npb tok chu 2026 07 20	Chunichi Dragons	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x10bd7a…
07-20 07:22:18	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x08e2c1…
07-20 07:19:24	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0xc5efca…
07-20 07:11:28	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xc8547f…
07-20 07:07:57	mlb ari stl 2026 06 25 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x593457…
06-14 16:18:30	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xb18d08…
06-11 08:31:09	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfd4820…
06-11 08:30:07	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfc87fb…
06-11 08:29:03	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7b391a…
06-10 03:21:54	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xa054d1…
06-09 03:39:34	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x170a9f…
06-09 03:39:18	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x1f7198…
06-08 15:58:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xbda28f…
06-08 13:44:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x61e940…
06-08 08:52:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xb3783f…
06-05 07:47:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf86435…
06-05 07:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xa73987…
06-05 07:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0xe8f20b…
06-02 13:25:12	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Justin Gaethje	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x8c7021…
06-02 08:39:05	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x048924…
06-01 17:29:05	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xbbddc2…
06-01 17:27:41	UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x7cd816…
06-01 17:27:09	UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Derrick Lewis	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xd21ed3…
06-01 17:26:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x78a4f7…
06-01 17:17:42	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xbc1df4…
06-01 17:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	587	2¢	$10	0xffaf0e…