Partial-Partnership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$424

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

Trades

6,024

lifetime

Volume

$558.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-04 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% 0% $-428

Sports

15% — —

Politics

14% 100% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 648 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	403	$89.9K	93,782	97,772	-3,990	open	—	03-29 23:21
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	137	$33.5K	41,146	44,331	-3,185	open	—	03-30 20:41
cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	128	$24.1K	30,599	24,393	+6,206	open	—	03-23 02:31
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	91	$19.3K	16,155	19,920	-3,766	open	—	03-23 00:45
italy nordio reform referendum passes	192	$16.9K	14,436	12,744	+1,692	open	—	03-23 16:08
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	206	$15.2K	14,979	14,979	+0	open	—	03-26 22:00
cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	68	$15.0K	14,748	19,100	-4,352	open	—	03-28 04:45
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	43	$13.9K	15,842	10,958	+4,884	open	—	03-28 01:21
netanyahu out by march 31 854	68	$13.3K	9,410	13,787	-4,377	open	—	03-14 22:26
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	87	$13.1K	21,244	13,046	+8,198	open	—	03-28 01:56
spx up or down on january 12 2026	144	$13.1K	13,427	7,994	+5,434	open	—	01-12 20:59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	101	$12.9K	10,180	15,966	-5,785	open	—	04-01 01:28
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	161	$12.5K	22,288	12,027	+10,261	open	—	03-27 02:39
nba uta nop 2026 04 07	67	$12.0K	12,429	10,771	+1,658	open	—	04-08 01:24
spx opens up or down on march 24 2026	175	$11.8K	10,096	6,553	+3,542	open	—	03-24 18:42
mlb ari nym 2026 04 08	43	$11.3K	7,342	7,646	-304	open	—	04-08 22:50
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	164	$10.5K	8,558	12,742	-4,184	open	—	03-24 20:27
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	43	$10.4K	9,507	12,000	-2,493	open	—	04-06 18:52
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	76	$8.1K	7,000	9,000	-2,000	open	—	04-05 02:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	29	$7.4K	4,055	6,655	-2,600	open	—	05-23 06:25
nba min orl 2026 04 08	31	$7.3K	9,286	12,140	-2,854	open	—	04-09 00:34
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	126	$6.9K	9,152	10,810	-1,659	open	—	03-14 11:43
mlb cin mia 2026 04 08	81	$6.3K	7,520	6,621	+899	open	—	04-09 00:33
nba mem den 2026 04 08	24	$5.9K	4,384	6,000	-1,615	open	—	04-09 02:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	41	$5.7K	4,896	7,980	-3,084	open	—	03-24 20:28
cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	25	$5.6K	8,068	2,000	+6,068	open	—	03-23 02:43
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	50	$5.2K	5,507	3,614	+1,893	open	—	03-23 02:42
nba phi hou 2026 04 09	55	$5.1K	4,138	7,000	-2,862	open	—	04-10 01:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	73	$5.0K	4,995	3,681	+1,315	open	—	05-20 12:28
mlb oak nyy 2026 04 09	25	$4.9K	3,548	6,000	-2,452	open	—	04-09 18:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 19:35:43	wti closes above 93 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	254	53¢	$134	0xf78882…
06-04 19:32:21	wti closes above 93 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x2150d3…
06-03 11:04:24	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x8ba09a…
06-02 06:19:13	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0xd93a14…
06-02 06:19:13	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	46	28¢	$13	0x270cb2…
06-02 06:19:12	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x8cbbbd…
06-02 06:19:12	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	46	28¢	$13	0x0b011d…
06-02 06:19:10	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x8e6c3e…
06-02 06:19:10	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	46	28¢	$13	0x4b36ec…
06-02 06:19:08	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	46	28¢	$13	0xd34d9f…
06-02 06:19:08	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x01c33e…
06-02 06:19:06	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	46	28¢	$13	0x036129…
06-02 06:19:03	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	83	28¢	$23	0x23729b…
06-01 20:41:03	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0xe0e899…
06-01 10:42:44	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xd3a816…
06-01 10:41:28	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x9f3545…
06-01 06:32:37	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xed0857…
06-01 00:22:40	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xad78f2…
05-25 10:36:35	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	94¢	$76	0xabf8fa…
05-24 10:09:09	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	94¢	$78	0x597035…
05-24 07:27:20	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xa82c01…
05-23 08:41:54	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xef8605…
05-23 08:33:21	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x0fe256…
05-23 06:25:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	55	78¢	$43	0x87f49d…
05-23 06:18:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	55	77¢	$42	0xdd625e…
05-23 06:04:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	1,000	77¢	$770	0x10f637…
05-23 06:02:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	400	78¢	$312	0x65bff4…
05-23 05:37:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	1,957	78¢	$1,526	0x68a289…
05-23 05:37:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0xfd7b52…
05-23 05:32:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xfc04a7…
05-23 05:29:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	18	80¢	$15	0x665979…
05-23 05:29:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x8cd58c…
05-23 05:12:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0xb4d94f…
05-23 05:02:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	29	78¢	$22	0x360503…
05-23 05:01:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	291	80¢	$233	0xef1c08…
05-23 05:01:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	366	81¢	$296	0x967bfb…
05-23 05:00:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	483	82¢	$396	0xa62db6…
05-23 04:59:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	1,000	82¢	$820	0x979599…
05-23 04:59:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0x67d240…
05-23 04:44:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xe66692…
05-23 04:44:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$0	0x487776…
05-23 04:44:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$0	0xd31287…
05-23 04:43:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	450	16¢	$72	0xe24358…
05-23 04:43:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xf77f85…
05-23 04:43:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xa4ea8b…
05-23 04:42:55	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	94¢	$189	0x71f495…
05-23 04:41:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	350	16¢	$56	0x6e8745…
05-23 04:40:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x4c893d…
05-23 04:40:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x0a7606…
05-23 04:39:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x6b1ac4…
05-23 04:39:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x87e06a…
05-23 04:39:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x5bea67…
05-23 04:39:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	199	84¢	$167	0x840301…
05-23 04:26:03	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	92¢	$144	0x867873…
05-22 20:56:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0xfe228e…
05-22 20:56:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1216b4…
05-22 20:55:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x46efd9…
05-22 20:51:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x48c074…
05-22 20:30:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	492	1¢	$4	0x05ecd4…
05-22 20:25:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	477	0¢	$2	0x1e6f0a…
05-22 20:24:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x4377dc…
05-22 20:21:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xb154ac…
05-22 20:20:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x49051b…
05-22 20:18:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0xb05ed0…
05-22 20:14:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x960e19…
05-22 20:06:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x4a9dd8…
05-22 20:01:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x81260f…
05-22 20:01:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x355fb3…
05-22 19:59:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xcb18e8…
05-22 19:56:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc634f4…
05-22 19:56:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x28811c…
05-22 19:56:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xf3c8f5…
05-22 19:56:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa561fc…
05-22 19:52:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xb4ae41…
05-22 19:51:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x1582e8…
05-22 19:29:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xfc5dd5…
05-22 19:22:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x3e9cc5…
05-22 19:14:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x47a980…
05-22 19:14:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb4b19e…
05-22 19:03:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	181	5¢	$9	0xe9bf7b…
05-22 19:03:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x2a1fdc…
05-22 19:03:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x1ad960…
05-22 19:03:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xfdaf3e…
05-22 19:03:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0x4c80f5…
05-22 19:02:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0xd7db56…
05-22 19:02:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0xcfcc4a…
05-22 19:02:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x63b34a…
05-22 19:02:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x2aebfa…
05-22 18:52:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	66	7¢	$4	0xa7994f…
05-22 18:36:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x62acef…
05-22 18:34:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x425138…
05-22 18:27:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xfdd6f1…
05-22 17:55:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x50a7de…
05-22 17:54:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	431	4¢	$17	0x945bbe…
05-22 17:48:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	81	4¢	$3	0xb07817…
05-22 17:37:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	252	95¢	$239	0x7b97cd…
05-22 17:36:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x72ccaa…
05-22 17:33:57	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	87¢	$29	0x97a973…
05-22 17:24:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	53	78¢	$41	0xe6e9e1…
05-22 17:01:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x4857f1…