Partial-Partnership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.4%

Resolved

191

Trades

6,941

lifetime

Volume

$602.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 08-18 01:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

71% 30% -$3,372

Sports

14% 25% -$6,091

Politics

14% 33% -$2,733

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$34

Tech

0% 50% -$55

Crypto

0% 40% +$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	403	$89.9K	93,782	97,772	-3,990	Connecticut Huskies	-$2,036	03-29 23:21
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	137	$33.5K	41,146	44,331	-3,185	No	-$978	03-30 20:41
cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	128	$24.1K	30,599	24,393	+6,206	Arizona Wildcats	-$375	03-23 02:31
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	91	$19.3K	16,155	19,920	-3,766	No	-$114	03-23 00:45
italy nordio reform referendum passes	192	$16.9K	14,436	12,744	+1,692	No	-$19	03-23 16:08
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	206	$15.2K	14,979	14,979	+0	Iowa Hawkeyes	+$46	03-26 22:00
cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	68	$15.0K	14,748	19,100	-4,352	Tennessee Volunteers	-$32	03-28 04:45
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	43	$13.9K	15,842	10,958	+4,884	Duke Blue Devils	-$58	03-28 01:21
netanyahu out by march 31 854	68	$13.3K	9,410	13,787	-4,377	No	-$48	03-14 22:26
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	87	$13.1K	21,244	13,046	+8,198	Michigan Wolverines	-$492	03-28 01:56
spx up or down on january 12 2026	144	$13.1K	13,427	7,994	+5,434	Up	-$103	01-12 20:59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	101	$12.9K	10,180	15,966	-5,785	Yes	-$430	04-01 01:28
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	161	$12.5K	22,288	12,027	+10,261	Arizona Wildcats	-$92	03-27 02:39
nba uta nop 2026 04 07	67	$12.0K	12,429	10,771	+1,658	Pelicans	-$1,098	04-08 01:24
spx opens up or down on march 24 2026	175	$11.8K	10,096	6,553	+3,542	Down	-$159	03-24 18:42
mlb ari nym 2026 04 08	43	$11.3K	7,342	7,646	-304	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$119	04-08 22:50
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	164	$10.5K	8,558	12,742	-4,184	Yes	-$271	03-24 20:27
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	43	$10.4K	9,507	12,000	-2,493	Michigan Wolverines	+$743	04-06 18:52
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	76	$8.1K	7,000	9,000	-2,000	Michigan Wolverines	-$410	04-05 02:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	29	$7.4K	4,055	6,655	-2,600	Yes	-$200	05-23 06:25
nba min orl 2026 04 08	31	$7.3K	9,286	12,140	-2,854	Magic	-$531	04-09 00:34
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	126	$6.9K	9,152	10,810	-1,659	No	+$2	03-14 11:43
mlb cin mia 2026 04 08	81	$6.3K	7,520	6,621	+899	Miami Marlins	-$757	04-09 00:33
nba mem den 2026 04 08	24	$5.9K	4,384	6,000	-1,615	Nuggets	+$328	04-09 02:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	41	$5.7K	4,896	7,980	-3,084	No	-$493	03-24 20:28
cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	25	$5.6K	8,068	2,000	+6,068	Connecticut Huskies	-$37	03-23 02:43
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	50	$5.2K	5,507	3,614	+1,893	Alabama Crimson Tide	+$111	03-23 02:42
nba phi hou 2026 04 09	55	$5.1K	4,138	7,000	-2,862	Rockets	-$162	04-10 01:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	73	$5.0K	4,995	3,681	+1,315	Up	-$171	05-20 12:28
mlb oak nyy 2026 04 09	25	$4.9K	3,548	6,000	-2,452	Athletics	-$1,163	04-09 18:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 01:52:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x085083…
08-18 01:52:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xf48329…
08-18 01:52:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x3f0c76…
08-18 01:52:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x550aca…
08-18 01:52:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xf39682…
08-18 01:52:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xc033e5…
08-18 01:52:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xa9a153…
08-18 01:52:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x537337…
08-18 01:52:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xba2716…
08-18 01:47:45	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xf974f4…
08-18 01:47:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xa21c4c…
08-18 01:46:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	269	9¢	$24	0xe04f6b…
08-18 01:45:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xc9ecfe…
08-18 01:45:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x414673…
08-18 01:44:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	314	10¢	$31	0x0b5eef…
08-18 01:44:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xce07c7…
08-18 01:43:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x978cd5…
08-18 01:42:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc54eb1…
08-18 01:42:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2dd14c…
08-18 01:42:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x2b7aaf…
08-18 01:42:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xe8f620…
08-18 01:42:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x25673a…
08-18 01:40:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xf67e36…
07-30 20:22:39	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xce2d73…
07-30 19:11:14	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0xf81aed…
07-30 18:55:06	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	90	36¢	$33	0x74cd3a…
07-30 18:01:29	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x3a5571…
07-30 17:57:03	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x56210e…
07-30 17:48:38	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x9570d2…
07-30 17:48:36	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x05ce4b…
07-30 17:39:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	583	20¢	$117	0x3ca875…
07-30 17:29:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	82	78¢	$64	0xc8f9e2…
07-30 17:29:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	417	23¢	$96	0xe5ff74…
07-30 17:29:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xb116f9…
07-30 17:29:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	54	78¢	$42	0xa616c4…
07-30 17:29:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	24	78¢	$19	0x29c4ed…
07-30 17:26:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0x5d91f1…
07-30 17:25:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0xf76b9f…
07-30 17:25:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	500	78¢	$390	0x907958…
07-30 17:22:00	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xca11ff…
07-30 17:21:45	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xeb89ba…
07-30 17:13:12	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xe247b1…
07-30 17:13:09	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x40a373…
07-30 17:11:56	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0x87dee6…
07-30 17:10:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x556e9e…
07-30 17:10:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	154	78¢	$120	0xe5f0ef…
07-30 17:10:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0xe8ecad…
07-30 17:10:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0x52c7fb…
07-30 17:10:15	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x074f09…
07-30 17:08:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xf10db9…
07-30 17:07:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	45	78¢	$35	0x7b3383…
07-30 17:07:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xfe83f4…
07-16 20:47:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0x342ddb…
07-16 20:28:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	344	77¢	$265	0x51d8dc…
07-16 19:14:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x8265df…
07-16 18:46:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0xfdac22…
07-16 18:46:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x5db4dc…
07-16 17:10:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0xc84c53…
07-16 17:10:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x2bd4eb…
07-16 14:51:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x2439f2…
07-16 14:43:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0x0dbb34…
07-16 12:41:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0xf16345…
07-16 12:16:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x737826…
07-16 11:58:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0xa9fb2d…
07-16 11:13:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	400	77¢	$308	0x46097f…
07-10 18:58:16	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339 754	Yes	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0xd72deb…
07-10 18:58:14	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339 754	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfed61f…
07-10 18:28:07	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339 754	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x1558dd…
07-10 18:28:07	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339 754	Yes	SELL	300	53¢	$159	0x1558dd…
07-10 17:25:17	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xcc2373…
07-10 17:20:56	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xf4413f…
07-10 17:18:44	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xe84d19…
07-10 17:15:40	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xcaa8c1…
07-10 17:13:19	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	206	10¢	$21	0x99ee3c…
07-10 17:12:31	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	318	9¢	$28	0x2d5ee8…
07-10 17:10:08	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	136	7¢	$10	0xb6ce5c…
07-10 17:10:08	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x197985…
07-10 17:10:01	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0xf8512d…
07-10 17:10:01	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x3567b3…
07-10 17:10:01	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x1ec202…
07-10 17:10:01	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0x0001c8…
07-10 17:09:59	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	187	7¢	$13	0xf5cda7…
07-10 17:01:31	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xed415f…
07-10 17:01:31	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xcee94c…
07-10 17:00:16	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xac6874…
07-10 17:00:08	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbe5ec9…
07-10 16:55:17	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x6446a1…
07-10 16:46:20	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x63acfe…
07-10 16:44:55	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x81f379…
07-10 16:36:28	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x757959…
07-10 16:32:43	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xff8591…
07-10 16:32:23	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x3dcbe4…
07-10 16:28:19	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x574258…
07-10 16:25:44	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xdb93fa…
07-10 16:24:52	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x3d2f31…
07-10 16:03:50	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339 754	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xcb8a1d…
07-10 16:00:08	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xac1b10…
07-10 15:57:31	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x4e1223…
07-10 15:34:34	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	196	24¢	$47	0x802e7f…
07-10 15:32:53	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x972273…