Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$112

Unrealized P&L

+$50

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$523

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-26 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

61% 71% -$111

Crypto

17% 100% +$2

Tech

17% 75% -$5

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 38% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	-98	-$45	5¢	$-5	+$41	05-20 11:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+9	$5	42¢	$4	-$1	07-19 12:34
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	-70	-$13	4¢	$-3	+$10	05-20 11:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$116	131	0	+131	No	-$116	02-05 16:56
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$49	52	0	+52	No	+$3	01-07 18:15
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$45	0	98	-98	open	—	05-20 11:56
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$35	46	0	+46	Yes	+$11	02-11 10:54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	-$20	10-26 19:06
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-26 19:04
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	07-19 12:36
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$18	22	0	+22	Yes	+$3	10-26 19:04
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	01-07 18:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	05-20 12:07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$15	18	0	+18	Yes	+$3	07-03 06:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	07-03 06:46
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-20 11:57
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	05-20 11:59
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$13	0	70	-70	open	—	05-20 11:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$12	14	0	+14	Yes	+$1	07-03 06:47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-03 06:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-20 12:06
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	07-19 12:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	05-20 12:07
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-20 11:58
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	-$6	07-03 06:48
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	05-20 12:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	07-19 12:34
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	-$3	07-19 12:35
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	07-03 06:48
will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	07-03 06:53
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	07-03 06:49
ufc mar vin9 2026 02 07	1	$2	3	0	+3	Bautista	+$1	02-05 16:56
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	07-03 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:06:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xe3a1ef…
10-26 19:04:17	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x42f43b…
10-26 19:04:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	85¢	$18	0x3c82d6…
07-19 12:36:12	Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xd7a78f…
07-19 12:35:42	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x250152…
07-19 12:35:06	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xe28e71…
07-19 12:34:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa8afa3…
07-03 06:54:13	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Ghana	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x0baf80…
07-03 06:53:37	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x70a24b…
07-03 06:53:22	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x0751ef…
07-03 06:52:16	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x066b3b…
07-03 06:50:17	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xf5dfba…
07-03 06:50:04	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa4ca81…
07-03 06:49:56	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa8b28b…
07-03 06:49:13	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x64d078…
07-03 06:49:05	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x263e21…
07-03 06:48:56	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4fb3fa…
07-03 06:48:49	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x06f704…
07-03 06:48:40	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd59f3b…
07-03 06:48:31	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc5c083…
07-03 06:48:20	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0xd6a985…
07-03 06:48:11	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xfde391…
07-03 06:47:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0x020abd…
07-03 06:47:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xfbd260…
07-03 06:46:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x2ca1ff…
07-03 06:46:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4fa28f…
05-20 12:09:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x00b64b…
05-20 12:07:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6c6afe…
05-20 12:07:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xeec983…
05-20 12:06:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1e12fe…
05-20 11:59:27	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xde9fa2…
05-20 11:58:37	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xd2bc05…
05-20 11:57:41	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9e11a2…
05-20 11:56:57	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	70	19¢	$13	0x7d8874…
05-20 11:56:48	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	98	46¢	$45	0xe6f56b…
02-11 10:54:45	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0x3232b7…
02-05 16:56:51	ufc mar vin9 2026 02 07	Bautista	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7cf9d0…
02-05 16:56:33	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0x518df6…
01-29 13:20:22	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	79	87¢	$68	0x0cc9b4…
01-07 18:15:35	will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xd6ba2e…
01-07 18:14:21	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x682ee0…